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*IF* it is real.

TLT has +/-3% (and more) repeatedly over the last months. Should be a much bigger move after rates actually peak.

On my radar: Rates exploding higher today. TLT down >2%. DXY (US Dollar up a lot as well)

Nice rate for sure.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-secret-team-would-suppress-driving-range-complaints-report-987a96d7?mod=bnbh

He also just said no 2% inflation until 2025. Big red candles after that statement - Hiking until inflation is at 2% is formula for going past target; if we see inflation coming down credibly we can move down to a neutral level and be below neutral at some point - Don't see inflation back to 2%...

If you're willing to take the punt, why not just wait until post-earnings in 2 weeks? Not very confident in their performance this quarter after streaming costs reported by NFLX, and the apparent park bookings. Films are shit as a cherry on top.

I wanted to go long some DIS at these levels from a purely technical standpoint, but I think my overall fundamental analysis is still too bearish. Their films have been a complete disaster and that is no quick fix, as the run out for better scripts & stories takes years to hit theater. (Plus...

Isn't ChatGPT also limited to 2021 data? Asking it finance questions is probably not the best idea.

Apple joining the AI party. 12:05 [AAPL] Said to be working on large language model AI framework named 'Ajax' - press Apple has created an internal ChatGPT style bot for employees and hopes to challenge OpenAI's tools

And IWM up strong. Still a market rotational force in play. *Edit* I should note, bank earnings are massively helping this. SCHW up 12% today

Fuckity fuck fuck. Bought VZ calls yesterday, went to trim some at 40%, dumped the whole thing. Its now >80%.

Not quite sure the market agrees with you there.

Kind of opens a can of worms of unknown liability. It may seem cheap here, but start getting smashed with lead poisoning fines and lawsuits and it will be an immediate hit to the dividend. Best wait this out a bit. This is likely to be drawn out politically / legally.

Seems they are getting battered by environmentalist calls to the EPA for abandoned lead cabling left by the telcos (T / VZ etc). **EDIT** T hit a 30yr low today

TF going on with these?

VZ getting blasted again today. (-1.6%)

What the fuck Disney? Yikes. Disney announced that 'magical creatures' would replace the seven dwarves to 'avoid reinforcing stereotypes' after Game of Thrones actor Peter Dinklage criticised the 'f****** backwards story' last year. 'I was a little taken aback when they [Disney] were very...

Really hoping that this is just the start of sizeable selling on NVDA. This was nearly a perfect top tick short.

NVDA hit $480. As good a place as any to start a short. Going via options. NVDS is a 1.25% bear short vs NVDA ticker. Much lower premiums vs buying NVDA puts. 20 contracts for $8C September expiry (past earnings) for 50c each. This is a max risk of $1k. Lotto play on NVDA reversion to the mean...

T down about 5% since then. New 52w lows. Good sell. You owe @Blazin a beer. 00:44 T JPMorgan Chase and Co Cuts T to Neutral from Underweight, price target: $17 from $22 - Citing slowing growth drivers and overhang from potential lead liability

Where is the cash parked? Fidelity cash sweep pays ~4.7%. That’s reassuring for me, at least, where I’ve taken some risk off the table in equities.

How cute. AMD was recently >500

And you have all the way until the 23rd of August to keep the AI hype going before any earnings accountability. Quite the wait to see if their guidance is legit or not. (Being mindful TSMC who makes their chips was guiding weakness for Q2)

13:29 Goldman Sachs: - Reportedly next week's earnings report will be its worst in years, with an ROE in low single digits; Results will put more pressure on embattled CEO Solomon - Semafor - Goldman results expected to be markedly worse than other big Wall Street firms...

Therein lies your problem.

Weak dollar, dropping yields. Smart move. Started TLT a tad early at 100.80. Looking for the longer term move.

@Blazin @Sanrith Descartes The forum MTTR drama was simply being late to the party is all.

Oh man, that's -33k UNREALIZED? You're essentially holding and hoping on multiple losing positions? You need to have some basic form of trade plan and stick to it. The hardest part is just admitting we are wrong in a trade and cutting a loser. You can also have the right idea, wrong timing...

NVDA new all time high posted after hours. August 23rd for Q2 earnings are a hell of a long way away.

I'm still bitter on this one. 1k share bid at $100.01 and missed fill by ~$1.50 , then thought I "missed the boat" .. here we are.

One of my classic faves!

Fun read: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-11/citron-s-andrew-left-lives-in-fear-as-us-doj-sec-short-seller-probe-heats-up?srnd=premium&sref=9HT8lz40

Your dividend stocks are getting beat up as treasury rates increase. Zero risk for 3-6 month t-bills paying over 5%. Not as sexy as 7%, but you don't have capital risk on your investment either. So long as rates are increasing, there will be further downward pressure on these type stocks. I...

You're already seeing effects by money managers though. Apple and the other over-weights selling yesterday by firms repositioning. The arbitrage would be short the big 7, and long the equal weight. By the time the Nasdaq hits their rebalance date, the market will have done a fair bit of work for...

Specifically today? *(US) JUN ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: +497K V +225KE (largest increase since Feb 2022); Mega strength in the jobs market continues. We've also had surprise data recently that all leads to high inflation pressures. Fed will have to do exactly as they have been saying for months...

Today's action finally pricing in more hikes does put IWM at risk. These are at / beyond the yield levels that were crushing the regional banks back in March. @Blazin Any stop in place on your recent IWM buy? We're at some nice support here, but I fear the Fed actions may stir banking problems...