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Indexes were up ~.7% premarket. Now hitting red. Today should be fun.

Shonuff kept posting Tom Lee “everything rally / all in” cnbc clips when a few of us were warning and skeptical when the market dynamics were shifting. It’s easy being a bull in the 2020/21 run.

Friday going into a 3 day weekend (markets closed Monday) and Russia uncertainty looming overhead. I think we get continued de-risking tomorrow, short of any diplomatic breakthroughs.

3B moc sale

@Sanrith Descartes go check out the current chart on CPTN. No name small cap stock in the 7th consecutive halt up.

@Pogi.G Far more likely for a buyout before they ever go bankrupt.

Imagine the clustering of complete weirdos in that neighborhood.

FOMC minutes at 2pm today. Potential volatility into the afternoon. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-16/fomc-minutes-eyed-for-clues-on-half-point-hike-runoff-plans?srnd=premium&sref=9HT8lz40

FB, SNAP, etc down on news that Google is going to start to limit ad tracking like Apple.

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-60314572 This can't help

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-15/us-accuses-financial-website-of-spreading-russian-propaganda?srnd=premium&sref=9HT8lz40

PPI numbers are all hot. No shock. More ammo for a more aggressive Fed. Doubt JPow has the balls for it though.

Odd thing to make sarcastic jokes about.

Zelenskiy Sarcasm Over Attack Date Moves Markets (10:15 p.m.) Zelenskiy gave an address in which he admonished other nations for exaggerating the risk of a Russian invasion, wryly suggesting that the Feb. 16 date forecast by some governments instead be turned into a national day of unity...

@Sanrith Descartes That's great and all, but the catalyst moving the markets south right now is the intel on Russian troops on the move for an imminent attack. US has closed the embassy in Kyiv. Canada doing dumb things is dumb, sure.. but that's not the focus of what's moving the market the...

It's tanked because of news headlines coming through. Russia moving off of staging positions to attack positions, Ukraine being briefed likely attack by Weds. No one gives a shit about Canada. lol

AMD quite a strong bounce off of the 200D from premarket too.

Haha.. and Fed Bullard back on CNBC whipping hysteria. "Fed needs to front-load tightening because inflation is possibly accellerating."

Aaaand, we're green premarket. (barely)

SPY is sitting on the 200D. I highly doubt we open below that without some further catalyst to the downside. Russia making their move would surely do it, but until then…

Added some more AMD and some GOOGL into the lows here.

@Blazin The much simpler conclusion is simply, the world is full of a lot of fucking stupid people. Most in this thread are above average IQ. The 100IQ people are kinda dumb comparatively, now half the population is even dumber than that. I've zero faith in humanity.

I find that fascinating. But also, with algo and trading on smart phones for the average joe blow... I feel the same events would play out completely differently in today's environment.

WH press conf announced.

GD, LMT, AA defense sector running on Russia news.

Yea, some Russia / Ukraine stuff hitting the wires. Intel says Putin has informed troops to go next week. Really think the market is going to want to risk-off going into the weekend. We shall see.

AFRM flush again

SPY into 200D and AMD into a pivot. Taking a swing on AMD here.

Jeez, like clockwork.. AFRM on CNBC. @Sanrith Descartes

Twitter seems back up

I think I spammed / live blogged the thread with that craziness yesterday well enough. hah Continued weakness today just bleeding lower.

Well, the only one who could effectively crush the tank (inflation) is Volker, so.. JPow can be the driver of the tank at this point.

10yr yield is creeping back up again.

Still fairly new in options, but dont options settle overnight? Whereas straight equities are T+2?

*Glares in Cathie Woods*

Yea, strange meme choice as that ended poorly for the tank a moment later.

which should shock no one: Norwegian Cruise Line Is Selling $2 Billion of Debt for Refinancing Norwegian Cruise Line Is Selling $2 Billion of Debt for Refinancing

Forward to 1:07:15