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This is some old China conspiracy they peddled ages ago. April 2021 https://www.newsweek.com/russia-china-nikolai-patrushev-vladimir-putin-biological-weapons-1581896 March 2nd https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/02/ukraine-biolabs-conspiracy-theory-qanon/ However, headlines like this won't...

Even if Putin did a 180 and said "Ooopsie, my bad!" and turned Russian troops back home today, I highly doubt foreign business is just going to jump back into Russian markets. The PR optics are bad enough, let alone the risk associated with Putin still in power.

The entire Q1 earnings + forward guides are going to be a real wake-up for companies with Russia exposure. JPM had a report out listing various company exposures to Ukraine / Russia based on digging through financials. Most I glanced were anywhere from 2-10% earnings. Now, we are also talking...

6:23AM bump: (RU) RUSSIAN PRES PUTIN: THERE ARE CERTAIN POSITIVE SHIFTS IN TALKS WITH UKRAINE WHICH TAKE PLACE ALMOST DAILY - COMMENTS FROM MEETING BELARUS PRES LUKASHENKO - Source TradeTheNews.com

Been busy with admin most of the day. Not really any tradeable action anyway. Just looking through my charts and it looks like we will hit the SPY death cross in a few days. (50D below the 200D) Curious if that will spook anyone or we just continue this range chop.

CPI numbers are exactly in-line. m/m 0.8% y/y 7.9%

CRWD nice double beat, upward Q1 and FY23 guides

Posted this 5 hours ago now.

USO macro technical levels for a short yesterday. 3/8/22 15:06:31 SOLD -750 USO @87.44 That's not to say it was the top. Simply, there is a compelling short into that level of overhead traffic resistance in such an extended move. It favors the trade.

There are also very long term macros at play. Specifically for USO. I took a starter short yesterday. I will post chart and entry later when I’m done feeding the kiddo.

SPY 425.86 / 428.72 have been pivot levels. We've lightly bounced here today, but we need to clear these levels, break that down trend as Blazin pointed out, but then you run into the 20D (433.76), a big level of 441.24 and then the 200D at 445.58. Until the macro environment changes, this is a...

Ooops. https://www.wsj.com/articles/amazon-flagged-to-justice-department-for-possible-criminal-obstruction-of-congress-11646827200?mod=hp_lead_pos1

Tmac 3x leveraged to be precise. But it works both ways. It will triple your losses if you screw it up.

VIX clue #1 and SPY / QQQ breaking new low and immediately reversing (rough triple bottom had formed 5min timeframe). As soon as it reclaimed and started moving up, I hit market on that TQQQ too.

3/8/22 16:42:09 BOT +500 TQQQ @40.8648

Got the chart for midterm+1 yr returns on the precipice of WW3? (jokes)

Biden speaking any minute. Live feed: https://www.whitehouse.gov/live/

That was my lesson of the Covid crash. Don't try and perfect a bottom with full size. Just find levels that make sense (support pivots and macro trend lines) and scale into your position.

We're still not in any kind of panic mode. The slow controlled burn is orderly. You want to be scouting your adds when we get the panic dumps like Jan 24 and Feb 24.

Still got the Jan 24th low pivot (420.76) to play with for support. I'd be shocked if we gave that up today. Failing that, we are back in freefall to 412ish

Airlines just getting smashed today.

Quite a bounce premarket. Guessing on this news? https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/russia-ukraine-latest-news-2022-03-07/card/russian-ukrainian-foreign-ministers-set-to-meet-in-turkey-T1tSagKMKdiDvuw7pnym

1B moc sale. (Basically a non-event) See everyone back Monday!

https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article259056243.html https://news.yahoo.com/kentuckys-teacher-pension-system-says-163159349.html Basically.. no, they didnt.

% values are more meaningful. Also, this is a tough market. This is rough for most retail. They get chopped up in this kind of volatility. I am basically flat on the year in my long term account by actively managing.

JPM new 52w low. I added some back.

$2.5B sale MOC

Just wait for the next headline

I wouldnt exactly count on that: Putin Tells Macron Russia Will Fulfill Goals in Ukraine (3:30 p.m. CET) Russian President Vladimir Putin told his French counterpart, Emmanuel Macron, that he planned to fulfill the goals of his invasion of Ukraine, Interfax reported, citing the Kremlin’s press...

However, Janet is currently taking another grilling. https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/02/24/2022/the-semiannual-monetary-policy-report-to-the-congress

In fairness, I don't think he is stepping up for this. He is constantly being questioned by congress because of the lack of faith in his actions.

Absolutely. The market is trading pure emotion and headlines. At least it has respected technical levels of support and resistance. But the whipsaw between is completely headline driven for the time being. As an active trader, my work has been buy the dips and sell the rips. Not buying any kind...

Some ceasefire talks are on the agenda, hence the relief in oil prices & indexes bumping premarket.

In fairness, SNOW earnings released with an EPS miss, which was later revised to a beat (by 4x). Initial sell was hugely overdone. Interestingly, it held the all time low pivot nearly to the penny and has been running back since. Still down 18% premarket, but it is just grinding higher. It's...

No bueno. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/02/bitcoin-sanctions-could-be-next-as-doj-unveils-crypto-crackdown-plans.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/02/russian-oligarch-abramovich-says-he-will-sell-chelsea-soccer-club-amid-ukraine-furor.html This is pretty big news. One of the biggest Russian oligarchs basically going against the Kremlin narrative and offering proceeds of the sale of his Chelsea FC (worth...

Some trade circle chatter about possible no rate hikes in March. Fairly bearish if that holds true. Basically an admission of a rough future in markets. Recession?

There has to be some amazing BTC arbitrage opportunities. Get your shit together super nerds and take advantage.

Fairly interesting list of companies and sales #s associated with Russia / Ukraine. This is likely the repricing we are seeing today. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-28/russia-ukraine-risk-a-who-s-who-of-u-s-consumer-companies?srnd=premium-europe&sref=9HT8lz40