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  1. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

  2. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    And IWM up strong. Still a market rotational force in play. *Edit* I should note, bank earnings are massively helping this. SCHW up 12% today
  3. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Fuckity fuck fuck. Bought VZ calls yesterday, went to trim some at 40%, dumped the whole thing. Its now >80%.
  4. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

  5. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Not quite sure the market agrees with you there.
  6. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Kind of opens a can of worms of unknown liability. It may seem cheap here, but start getting smashed with lead poisoning fines and lawsuits and it will be an immediate hit to the dividend. Best wait this out a bit. This is likely to be drawn out politically / legally.
  7. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Seems they are getting battered by environmentalist calls to the EPA for abandoned lead cabling left by the telcos (T / VZ etc). **EDIT** T hit a 30yr low today
  8. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    TF going on with these?
  9. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    VZ getting blasted again today. (-1.6%)
  10. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    What the fuck Disney? Yikes. Disney announced that 'magical creatures' would replace the seven dwarves to 'avoid reinforcing stereotypes' after Game of Thrones actor Peter Dinklage criticised the 'f****** backwards story' last year. 'I was a little taken aback when they [Disney] were very...
  11. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Really hoping that this is just the start of sizeable selling on NVDA. This was nearly a perfect top tick short.
  12. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    NVDA hit $480. As good a place as any to start a short. Going via options. NVDS is a 1.25% bear short vs NVDA ticker. Much lower premiums vs buying NVDA puts. 20 contracts for $8C September expiry (past earnings) for 50c each. This is a max risk of $1k. Lotto play on NVDA reversion to the mean...
  13. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    T down about 5% since then. New 52w lows. Good sell. You owe @Blazin a beer. 00:44 T JPMorgan Chase and Co Cuts T to Neutral from Underweight, price target: $17 from $22 - Citing slowing growth drivers and overhang from potential lead liability
  14. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Where is the cash parked? Fidelity cash sweep pays ~4.7%. That’s reassuring for me, at least, where I’ve taken some risk off the table in equities.
  15. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    How cute. AMD was recently >500
  16. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    And you have all the way until the 23rd of August to keep the AI hype going before any earnings accountability. Quite the wait to see if their guidance is legit or not. (Being mindful TSMC who makes their chips was guiding weakness for Q2)
  17. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    13:29 Goldman Sachs: - Reportedly next week's earnings report will be its worst in years, with an ROE in low single digits; Results will put more pressure on embattled CEO Solomon - Semafor - Goldman results expected to be markedly worse than other big Wall Street firms...
  18. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

  19. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Therein lies your problem.
  20. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Weak dollar, dropping yields. Smart move. Started TLT a tad early at 100.80. Looking for the longer term move.
  21. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    @Blazin @Sanrith Descartes The forum MTTR drama was simply being late to the party is all.
  22. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Oh man, that's -33k UNREALIZED? You're essentially holding and hoping on multiple losing positions? You need to have some basic form of trade plan and stick to it. The hardest part is just admitting we are wrong in a trade and cutting a loser. You can also have the right idea, wrong timing...
  23. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    NVDA new all time high posted after hours. August 23rd for Q2 earnings are a hell of a long way away.
  24. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    I'm still bitter on this one. 1k share bid at $100.01 and missed fill by ~$1.50 , then thought I "missed the boat" .. here we are.
  25. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    One of my classic faves!
  26. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Fun read: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-11/citron-s-andrew-left-lives-in-fear-as-us-doj-sec-short-seller-probe-heats-up?srnd=premium&sref=9HT8lz40
  27. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Your dividend stocks are getting beat up as treasury rates increase. Zero risk for 3-6 month t-bills paying over 5%. Not as sexy as 7%, but you don't have capital risk on your investment either. So long as rates are increasing, there will be further downward pressure on these type stocks. I...
  28. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    You're already seeing effects by money managers though. Apple and the other over-weights selling yesterday by firms repositioning. The arbitrage would be short the big 7, and long the equal weight. By the time the Nasdaq hits their rebalance date, the market will have done a fair bit of work for...
  29. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Specifically today? *(US) JUN ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: +497K V +225KE (largest increase since Feb 2022); Mega strength in the jobs market continues. We've also had surprise data recently that all leads to high inflation pressures. Fed will have to do exactly as they have been saying for months...
  30. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Today's action finally pricing in more hikes does put IWM at risk. These are at / beyond the yield levels that were crushing the regional banks back in March. @Blazin Any stop in place on your recent IWM buy? We're at some nice support here, but I fear the Fed actions may stir banking problems...
  31. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    US 2Y yield over 5% and 10Y yield over 4%. Getting spicy out there again.
  32. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

  33. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

  34. Jysin

    Home buying thread

    Anecdotal and here in UK. Neighbors sale just fell through as the mortgage rate rise killed their seller. House is relisted -8% today.
  35. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    SPCE (Virgin Galactic) had a launch for their first commercial passenger space flight. All went well. Stock down -10% :trollface:
  36. Jysin

    Home buying thread

    10:00*(US) MAY PENDING HOME SALES M/M: -2.7% V -0.5%E; Y/Y: -20.8% V -20.5%E
  37. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    IWM looking great for the rotation today. SPY / QQQ basically flat while IWM up 1.1%
  38. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Market confirming what I posted there. Yields up across the board by a fair bit. DXY (dollar) up. Indexes selling. Markets are pricing actual hikes to come now.
  39. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    So, recap quick: We had bank stress testing yesterday AH that all passed. This morning, German CPI upside surprise, US GDP higher vs expected. Jobless claims below expected. Personal Consumption above expected. All on the back of other recent news like housing and mortgage deals shooting up...
  40. Jysin

    Investing General Discussion

    Tell that to the TSLA and NVDA shorts that have had their faces ripped off. But yea, I get your point. It could simply be a sell the news event, or it could have a blowout quarter as stated and some big guidance. You're essentially gambling earnings now on the back of the CEO literally...