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NVDA Reports Q2 $2.70 v $2.09e, Rev $13.5B v $11.2Be - Board approves additional $25B share buyback program (2.1% of market cap) - Guides Q3 Rev $15.7-16.3B v $12.3Be

More interesting data being floated around. Student loan payments resuming soon isn't going to help these stats.

Got relatives in town, wasnt at the desk all day. WTF happened?

@Mist Absolutely JEPI is a better performer vs holding S&P500 in a declining stock market, but it lags massively in a positive one. (JEPI +12.2% Oct22-Jul23 (plus divs) vs SPY ~32% (plus divs:emoji_nose: over the same period. We were discussing in relation to corp / gov bonds, so I was merely pointing...

JEPI yields are fantastic, but over a long horizon you are capped in gains due to the selling covered call nature. You are also exposed to downside. Dec'21 to Oct'22 was facing about a 21.5% decline in share price. Just worth looking at the pros vs cons in these type vehicles.

For comparison to the Target debacle: Bud Light distributors no longer expect sales to recover from the Dylan Mulvaney marketing campaign, per NYP.

Still nothing huge, but to be aware of: BREAKING: New credit card and auto loan delinquencies have now surpassed pre-Covid levels, per Moody’s Investors Service.

I'm not predicting his accuracy this time around, however, it's worth remembering that he was wrong for quite some time in 2008 before he was very right and very profitable. Right idea & wrong timing is a common thing in active investing. (Markets irrational longer than you can remain solvent)...

Welcome to the new normal. (0DTEs)

Nice to see some followed. It was a bit of a lotto, but on the day we entered it was screaming extended and had the best risk v reward for participating in an NVDA short without tying up too much capital.

Trimming some of those NVDS calls. Hope others enjoyed the ride.

@Sanrith Descartes @Blazin For full context of that 1T news: 11:00 (US) NY Fed Quarterly Household debt and Credit report: Q2 delinquencies flat q/q but remain at 11-year high; Credit card balances surpassed $1T for the first time ever - Credit card balances rose by $45 billion to $1.03...

NVDA crazy price action. News hit: NVDA nveils Next-Generation GH200 Grace Hopper Superchip Platform for Era of Accelerated Computing and Generative AI Share price spikes on the news, then immediately gives it all back and then some. Closing in on $440 now. PS. Been away a bit. Seems like...

*IF* it is real.

TLT has +/-3% (and more) repeatedly over the last months. Should be a much bigger move after rates actually peak.

On my radar: Rates exploding higher today. TLT down >2%. DXY (US Dollar up a lot as well)

Nice rate for sure.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-secret-team-would-suppress-driving-range-complaints-report-987a96d7?mod=bnbh

He also just said no 2% inflation until 2025. Big red candles after that statement - Hiking until inflation is at 2% is formula for going past target; if we see inflation coming down credibly we can move down to a neutral level and be below neutral at some point - Don't see inflation back to 2%...

If you're willing to take the punt, why not just wait until post-earnings in 2 weeks? Not very confident in their performance this quarter after streaming costs reported by NFLX, and the apparent park bookings. Films are shit as a cherry on top.

I wanted to go long some DIS at these levels from a purely technical standpoint, but I think my overall fundamental analysis is still too bearish. Their films have been a complete disaster and that is no quick fix, as the run out for better scripts & stories takes years to hit theater. (Plus...

Isn't ChatGPT also limited to 2021 data? Asking it finance questions is probably not the best idea.

Apple joining the AI party. 12:05 [AAPL] Said to be working on large language model AI framework named 'Ajax' - press Apple has created an internal ChatGPT style bot for employees and hopes to challenge OpenAI's tools

And IWM up strong. Still a market rotational force in play. *Edit* I should note, bank earnings are massively helping this. SCHW up 12% today

Fuckity fuck fuck. Bought VZ calls yesterday, went to trim some at 40%, dumped the whole thing. Its now >80%.

Not quite sure the market agrees with you there.

Kind of opens a can of worms of unknown liability. It may seem cheap here, but start getting smashed with lead poisoning fines and lawsuits and it will be an immediate hit to the dividend. Best wait this out a bit. This is likely to be drawn out politically / legally.

Seems they are getting battered by environmentalist calls to the EPA for abandoned lead cabling left by the telcos (T / VZ etc). **EDIT** T hit a 30yr low today

TF going on with these?

VZ getting blasted again today. (-1.6%)

What the fuck Disney? Yikes. Disney announced that 'magical creatures' would replace the seven dwarves to 'avoid reinforcing stereotypes' after Game of Thrones actor Peter Dinklage criticised the 'f****** backwards story' last year. 'I was a little taken aback when they [Disney] were very...

Really hoping that this is just the start of sizeable selling on NVDA. This was nearly a perfect top tick short.

NVDA hit $480. As good a place as any to start a short. Going via options. NVDS is a 1.25% bear short vs NVDA ticker. Much lower premiums vs buying NVDA puts. 20 contracts for $8C September expiry (past earnings) for 50c each. This is a max risk of $1k. Lotto play on NVDA reversion to the mean...

T down about 5% since then. New 52w lows. Good sell. You owe @Blazin a beer. 00:44 T JPMorgan Chase and Co Cuts T to Neutral from Underweight, price target: $17 from $22 - Citing slowing growth drivers and overhang from potential lead liability

Where is the cash parked? Fidelity cash sweep pays ~4.7%. That’s reassuring for me, at least, where I’ve taken some risk off the table in equities.

How cute. AMD was recently >500

And you have all the way until the 23rd of August to keep the AI hype going before any earnings accountability. Quite the wait to see if their guidance is legit or not. (Being mindful TSMC who makes their chips was guiding weakness for Q2)

13:29 Goldman Sachs: - Reportedly next week's earnings report will be its worst in years, with an ROE in low single digits; Results will put more pressure on embattled CEO Solomon - Semafor - Goldman results expected to be markedly worse than other big Wall Street firms...