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An especially important observation when it was touted as "digital gold" / "inflation hedge" and we had the most ripping inflation in 40 years, yet here we are back to the 60k's. It behaved purely as a risk on chase for a while, but even that narrative has changed. AI tech / infrastructure is...

Peace pump back on. Title: I had a very productive call with Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu, of Israel, and there will be no Troops going to Beirut, and any Troops that are on their way, have already been turned back. Likewise, through highly placed Representatives, I had a very good call with...

753 currently

Markets are being affected by recency bias. However, under the hood, oil is trading back to highs of day (despite the Axios nonsense). SPY gamma has structurally changed today. There has been relentless gamma pushing the indexes for weeks, but today everything is just flat. The key info being...

I had swung in and out of the position, with my lowest entry around $260. I cut the whole thing when Berkshire announced they exited.

Iran getting spicy again this morning. I talked about cheap hedges on Friday. Might just pay off.

This is for all of you seriously considering the SpaceX IPO. Disclaimer first, this guy typically is a shill for his trading course. Ignore that part. That said, this is the most well presented facts of the upcoming SpaceX IPO and the inherent risks and red flags, especially for investors...

From the WSJ: "Worker compensation—wages and benefits—grew 0.8% in the first quarter from the fourth, while domestic corporate profits jumped 2.7%. As a result, labor’s share of gross domestic income (conceptually similar to GDP) sank to 51%, the lowest since records began in 1947. "

Fun chart of the day: If you just so happened to buy KOSPI (South Korean market index) at the start of the year, you would be up a staggering 100% YTD. Seems like perfectly rational market behavior!

News: The CFTC approves Kalshi to list bitcoin (BTC) perpetual futures, will review similar crypto derivatives on a case-by-case basis

Contrarian take: As you said, we are weeks deep into a continuous rocket up to ATHs. VIX is back at 15. Hedging is cheap right now. You can buy some really cheap downside protection with long dated OTM puts on the ETFs. Don't wait for the shoe to drop and protection costs to go up. Buy now...

Micron quite the ripper today (+21%). Smells like SNDK.

My forum invite was granted by Furor, I woke sleeper twice (in era), and beat FoH into PoTime. This clearly makes me the master stonks investor. I've no clue who you are, but with a Feb 2026 join date and seemingly shitting on people for no clear reason, it just irks me. Hey ho. I am...

First of all, this is the grown up section. Keep it civil. @Blazin Second of all, judging by your profile, you’ve been on this forum for all of 5 minutes. Some have literally been here for 25+ years. Tenure certainly doesn’t make anyone knowledgeable, but prior to insults, I do question how...

I manage my mother's retirement portfolio and I have been contemplating one of her long standing positions in $SO (The Southern Company), which is an electric and natural gas utility company. This was inherited from her father's trust, so the cost basis is decades old. The trajectory has been...

If there are any bears left alive, it's your time to shine.

Another day, another TACO. Title: I have been asked by the Emir of Qatar, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud, and the President of the United Arab Emirates, Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, to hold off on our planned Military attack of the...

More on those ATHs yesterday. Doesn't look great under the hood. Not calling for corrections, but could very easily see some profit taking & rotations happening soon. OpEx this Friday, btw.

Markets cracking new ATHs today on the shallowest breadth on record (probably).

Strangely in something wild like this, I feel safer in premarket where it cant vol halt and really fuck you over by gapping $100s. It closed at highs of day. It also had a monster intraday swing from a low of $570 to nearly $770! Until the float lockup is flushed out, there is still upside risk.

What in the actual fuck?

Got eyes on this now. And enough playing with fire for me.

A great explainer of the CAR squeeze. (Which closed over $610 yesterday) He explains that nearly the entire float is locked up due to delta hedging vs the options accrual certain entities have made. Direct comparison with the Archegos debacle in 2021.

So, this wild short squeeze hasn't relented:

I still dont think markets are appropriately pricing the oil shock that is unavoidable at this point. I have a friend in Oil & Gas who is a senior geologist with decades of experience. The way he put it, even if the entire war was resolved today with guarantees of free traffic through the...

Anyone else been watching the CAR squeeze unfold? Wouldn't want to be on the wrong side of this train.

Man, these markets really want to rip to new highs. We V bounced on these talks,, walked away from said talks, now started a blockade on Iran while threatening new military strikes and… markets just close the gap and are flat on the day. The US is fairly isolated from energy shocks, but Europe...

Oversold near term, yes. But your comparison to quarterly results and Iran is wildly off. Quarterly results are backwards facing and Iran / Oil price pressures is forward looking. There are a myriad of problems with a choked off Strait of Hormuz and persistently high oil prices. These will have...

Too early to even be discussing -20% bear markets when we are barely halfway to a -10% correction. We are still only -5.33% off the highs. We certainly have some headwinds to resolve, but we are massively in a headline driven market environment that can change at a moment’s notice.

Coinbase: 13:16 COIN Notes customers are currently unable to buy, sell or transfer at this time; Says working on the issue and that customer funds are safe - Source TradeTheNews.com

You don’t need managed assets. The fees may seem small on face value, but compound interest works in both directions. The cumulative compounded fees over the entire investment horizon has a very sizable hit to your final portfolio balance. This is why everyone is suggesting simple balanced...

How is no one discussing Silver today? Monster volume on the daily candle. Weekly volume (it's only Monday and hours before the close), yet weekly vol is more than 50% of last week's entire week. Giant shooting star topping tails if we close around this level and worse if we close lower...

Apple catching a bid today. Up over 2.5%

Can has been kicked. 10:08(US) Supreme Court does not issue any rulings on tariff powers today (related EUR/USD TRADEX) - Source TradeTheNews.com

Tariffs back on the menu boys. until we get another TACO