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Seems its over for now. Israel and US conveyed a message to Iran that there will be no further attacks if Iran does not fire again, Al Jazeera reports citing Israel Hayom sources Iran's armed forces announce end of military operations against Israel, warn of harsher attacks if Israel resumes...

For those that feel the sky is falling, some perspective:

This was timely, and paying well. Let's see if the wheels fall off the bus next week. A gap down Monday will really create some panic.

Bitcoin 59k

Just your follow. AI tech being rotated into value. The tech weighs heavy on indexes, so it looks bad. Money is flowing into: Retail trade, Health tech, Healthcare, Consumer staple dividend stocks, etc. All very very green on the day.

I am still dumbfounded how out of touch the administration is with joe average household. The exact same thing they (rightfully) held over the Biden administration. Pointing to stock markets at all time highs and claiming that all of America is strong and prosperous is ignorant at best and...

Your intuition is spot on. Strong jobs report coupled with the inflation risks gives Fed more room to tighten. This is why yields spiked on the print. Trump is just in his own world, detached from fiscal reality.

Oil falling off a cliff today, as if a peace deal has already been inked.

Any STRC gambling addicts here? Current 11.5% yield.

I wouldnt dare buy in until this resolves higher. The risk of Saylor getting blown out (forced sales etc), I dont want to be holding those bags.

Semis weak this morning. SNDK and MU down 7%

An especially important observation when it was touted as "digital gold" / "inflation hedge" and we had the most ripping inflation in 40 years, yet here we are back to the 60k's. It behaved purely as a risk on chase for a while, but even that narrative has changed. AI tech / infrastructure is...

Peace pump back on. Title: I had a very productive call with Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu, of Israel, and there will be no Troops going to Beirut, and any Troops that are on their way, have already been turned back. Likewise, through highly placed Representatives, I had a very good call with...

753 currently

Markets are being affected by recency bias. However, under the hood, oil is trading back to highs of day (despite the Axios nonsense). SPY gamma has structurally changed today. There has been relentless gamma pushing the indexes for weeks, but today everything is just flat. The key info being...

I had swung in and out of the position, with my lowest entry around $260. I cut the whole thing when Berkshire announced they exited.

Iran getting spicy again this morning. I talked about cheap hedges on Friday. Might just pay off.

This is for all of you seriously considering the SpaceX IPO. Disclaimer first, this guy typically is a shill for his trading course. Ignore that part. That said, this is the most well presented facts of the upcoming SpaceX IPO and the inherent risks and red flags, especially for investors...

From the WSJ: "Worker compensation—wages and benefits—grew 0.8% in the first quarter from the fourth, while domestic corporate profits jumped 2.7%. As a result, labor’s share of gross domestic income (conceptually similar to GDP) sank to 51%, the lowest since records began in 1947. "

Fun chart of the day: If you just so happened to buy KOSPI (South Korean market index) at the start of the year, you would be up a staggering 100% YTD. Seems like perfectly rational market behavior!

News: The CFTC approves Kalshi to list bitcoin (BTC) perpetual futures, will review similar crypto derivatives on a case-by-case basis

Contrarian take: As you said, we are weeks deep into a continuous rocket up to ATHs. VIX is back at 15. Hedging is cheap right now. You can buy some really cheap downside protection with long dated OTM puts on the ETFs. Don't wait for the shoe to drop and protection costs to go up. Buy now...

Micron quite the ripper today (+21%). Smells like SNDK.

My forum invite was granted by Furor, I woke sleeper twice (in era), and beat FoH into PoTime. This clearly makes me the master stonks investor. I've no clue who you are, but with a Feb 2026 join date and seemingly shitting on people for no clear reason, it just irks me. Hey ho. I am...

First of all, this is the grown up section. Keep it civil. @Blazin Second of all, judging by your profile, you’ve been on this forum for all of 5 minutes. Some have literally been here for 25+ years. Tenure certainly doesn’t make anyone knowledgeable, but prior to insults, I do question how...

I manage my mother's retirement portfolio and I have been contemplating one of her long standing positions in $SO (The Southern Company), which is an electric and natural gas utility company. This was inherited from her father's trust, so the cost basis is decades old. The trajectory has been...

If there are any bears left alive, it's your time to shine.

Another day, another TACO. Title: I have been asked by the Emir of Qatar, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud, and the President of the United Arab Emirates, Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, to hold off on our planned Military attack of the...

More on those ATHs yesterday. Doesn't look great under the hood. Not calling for corrections, but could very easily see some profit taking & rotations happening soon. OpEx this Friday, btw.

Markets cracking new ATHs today on the shallowest breadth on record (probably).

Strangely in something wild like this, I feel safer in premarket where it cant vol halt and really fuck you over by gapping $100s. It closed at highs of day. It also had a monster intraday swing from a low of $570 to nearly $770! Until the float lockup is flushed out, there is still upside risk.

What in the actual fuck?

Got eyes on this now. And enough playing with fire for me.

A great explainer of the CAR squeeze. (Which closed over $610 yesterday) He explains that nearly the entire float is locked up due to delta hedging vs the options accrual certain entities have made. Direct comparison with the Archegos debacle in 2021.

So, this wild short squeeze hasn't relented: