2025-2026 NFL Season Thread - God hates the Chargers

Kirun

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LMAO. Did you just copy/paste AI to make a "point" using yardage gained data across ALL down and distance scenarios, using the ENTIRE length of the field vs. having to defend a 12 yd section of the field? And even using that fucking garbage data set, it's still only a 70% convert rate vs. the 90% you stated.

No wonder you aren't a head coach. Holy fuck.
 
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BrutulTM

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Football isn't a math problem dude. Get out of here with this shit. No one who knows anything about football is going to take this seriously.
 
Daezuel

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I know a guy....

Bill Belichick Binoculars GIF by Barstool Sports


😅
 
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hory

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Yeah because going for two to win a game is so ground breaking. I’m glad they didn’t the rams will play a better game.
 
Merrith

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Daezuel said:
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Regular season record is fine. His D has underperformed in playoffs, though. Especially relative to their ranking each year. I know it's the thing to blame Allen for their loss, but their D gave up 30+ again in a playoff loss. Both playoff games this year their team blew leads with under 5 minutes to go in the 4th (v Denver they were still up 4 with 1:01 left). Last year they gave up 32 to KC, tie game and their D gives up a score with under 4 minutes to go. In general Mahomes/KC have averaged almost 35 points a game v Buffalo in their 4 wins v them with him as coach.

Now as to who they think is available that is better? Who knows. Maybe no one. But they can't keep spinning their wheels. I would have fired the GM, too. Trade back twice 2 years ago and end up with Keon Coleman at WR as your supposed answer to the problem there? Then you drafted a CB with your first this past draft and your secondary gets beat on a 30 yard TD pass to blow late lead in your final game? Not great looks.
 
Araxen

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Most teams throwing 3 picks in a playoff game don't win many playoff games.

If the Bears don't throw a pick in OT, they win. The pick in OT seemed like a route fuckup. Moore was supposed to be where the ball was thrown.

They got stalled at the goal line twice earlier in the game. Them going for two was no sure thing. Not taking the points earlier in the game cost them as well.

Every playoff loss results in a ton of what-ifs.
 
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Merrith

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Araxen said:
Most teams throwing 3 picks in a playoff game don't win many playoff games.

If the Bears don't throw a pick in OT, they win. The pick in OT seemed like a route fuckup. Moore was supposed to be where the ball was thrown.

They got stalled at the goal line twice earlier in the game. Them going for two was no sure thing. Not taking the points earlier in the game cost them as well.

Every playoff lose results in a ton of what-ifs.
Click to expand...

This all with the benefit of one of the crazier/luckier TD's to even give them the option of the two point. Not hating on the play/throw...Caleb doing the max of what he could do running that far back. Just unreal to ever let that ball get over your head as the DB in coverage there. He was looking back at Caleb when he threw it, too. Zero excuse to not just track the ball and knock it down.
 
BrutulTM

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Araxen said:
Every playoff lose results in a ton of what-ifs.
Click to expand...

And a ton of know-it-all fans and analysts with the benefit of hindsight who know exactly what should have been done after the fact.
 
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Ambiturner

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hory said:
Yeah because going for two to win a game is so ground breaking. I’m glad they didn’t the rams will play a better game.
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Just as ground breaking as teams stopping the two point conversion. This is some retard level understanding of football. Seriously, just stop embarrassing yourself. Going the AI route like you did, I asked a smarter question:

What are the statistics of teams going for a touchdown on 4th and goal from the 2 yard line?

Historical Conversion Rates for Short-Yardage Goal-Line SituationsData from various analyses (including play-by-play from sources like nflfastR, older studies from Advanced Football Analytics, and aggregated short-yardage stats) show:
  • On 4th and goal from the 2, teams historically succeed in scoring a touchdown around ~43% of the time
 
hory

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Ambiturner said:
line?

Historical Conversion Rates for Short-Yardage Goal-Line SituationsData from various analyses (including play-by-play from sources like nflfastR, older studies from Advanced Football Analytics, and aggregated short-yardage stats) show:
  • On 4th and goal from the 2, teams historically succeed in scoring a touchdown around ~43% of the time
Click to expand...
What percentage did you put them winning in overtime ? 50/50. So a 7 percent swing
 
jooka

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Merrith said:
You think Harbaugh wishes he waited with the Buffalo job open now?
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Been kinda wondering, one thing for sure is Harbaugh wouldn't of been ok with reporting to Beane(they have promoted him before even starting the search) given his contract with the Giants being contingent on not reporting to Shoen.
 
Urlithani

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jooka said:
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I dont really feel anything or know anything about this guy, but as a Dolphins fan the bar isnt very high right now. Just do a good job and don't drift into any extremes.

One disadvantage of being a defensive minded coach is that you usually need a good OC to take care of that side of the ball. Unfortunately, if you have a good OC they tend to get interviewed and poached for HC positions.
 
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