Hearthstone
- Thread starter Azrayne
- Start date
Almost.
The probability of getting one specific combination in 10 flips is 0.5^10, but there are 10 permutations, so the actual probability is 10*0.5^10 = 0.009766.
Another way of looking at it is that there's 10 combinations on getting one head in ten flips, and 1024 possible outcomes in flipping a coin ten times. And 10/1024 = 10*(1/2)^10 = 0.009766
Gavinmad
Mr. Poopybutthole
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- 54,025
LiquidDeath
Magnus Deadlift the Fucktiger
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- 12,513
I'm really fucking bad at this game, apparently. 1-3 with that deck.
I got Tirion out 3 of the 4 games. He was tapped by a small creature, shield slammed, then executed (same turn) by the warrior in game 1, polyed by the mage in game 3, and silenced, then 1 for 2ed by the Druid in game 4.
This is my second arena as a Paladin without ever seeing a TC, exactly one consecrate, and one hammer of wrath. Not amused so far. The RNG during draft hates me.
I got Tirion out 3 of the 4 games. He was tapped by a small creature, shield slammed, then executed (same turn) by the warrior in game 1, polyed by the mage in game 3, and silenced, then 1 for 2ed by the Druid in game 4.
This is my second arena as a Paladin without ever seeing a TC, exactly one consecrate, and one hammer of wrath. Not amused so far. The RNG during draft hates me.
LiquidDeath
Magnus Deadlift the Fucktiger
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Wait, I lied. The warrior equipped Gorehowl and proceeded to kill two fatties in a row with it, second one being Tirion after he chump charged with a smaller minion.
Grayson Carlyle
Golden Squire
- 225
- 9
This is my first time playing Rogue (just got it to level 13 off the wins with this arena), and playing it makes me laugh nervously because I don't know how to win with Rogue. Last game I was at 1 hp vs a Druid at 23.
Mures
Blackwing Lair Raider
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Surprised you're seeing that much control at that rank. But the key to beating control is to play a slower, slightly bigger control deck. You could also swap to the cheap warrior aggro deck, it fares better against the mid range control decks than hunter does because you have things like arcanite reapers to remove the ancient watchers/yetis. Also mid-range shaman does well against today's popular druid builds.
Speaking of, wasn't this game supposed to get stale? Its been over 3 weeks since the patch and the meta is still changing every other day. Supposedly everything should be figured out by now and everyone playing one deck.
Speaking of, wasn't this game supposed to get stale? Its been over 3 weeks since the patch and the meta is still changing every other day. Supposedly everything should be figured out by now and everyone playing one deck.
You have a solid amount of delay there to make your Flamestrikes work. And a Pyroblast? I think you'll do pretty well.
Predicting Water Elementals will turn out to be your MVPs if you get past 5 wins.
Thought of a 3 card, 17 damage combo for Warrior. Grommash, Alchemist, Inner Rage. If anyone wants to know why I keep fiddling with this, it is because Savage Roar+trees is just so strong @14 damage. I like it because one Alchemist is pretty useful (kills Pagle, Shaman Totems, also makes Ysera a 12/4 for a sudden burst, lots of applications) and of course Grommash+Inner Rage is 12, and the Inner Rage can be used for removal, card draw on Acolytes, etc. I'm just not sure what to cut.
Thought of a 3 card, 17 damage combo for Warrior. Grommash, Alchemist, Inner Rage. If anyone wants to know why I keep fiddling with this, it is because Savage Roar+trees is just so strong @14 damage. I like it because one Alchemist is pretty useful (kills Pagle, Shaman Totems, also makes Ysera a 12/4 for a sudden burst, lots of applications) and of course Grommash+Inner Rage is 12, and the Inner Rage can be used for removal, card draw on Acolytes, etc. I'm just not sure what to cut.
Time will tell I guess. Four is too many flamestrikes for my taste but hey, I'm all about fucking around with weird decks in arena too sometimes. Might work out.
I'd give it higher marks but needs something more to feed off the minion deaths or spell casts.
I'd give it higher marks but needs something more to feed off the minion deaths or spell casts.
Brand
Molten Core Raider
- 1,159
- 313
Yeah, I switched to a Control Deck...And promptly ran into a bunch of warlock/murloc and warrior control decks. They were delicious.
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UsingAntiGrav1tys Arena Draft Tiers v2.2 || www.twitch.tv/antigrav1tyI drafted exactly the better card value on every single pick. I allowed myself one override per draft. If two or more cards were worth the same value in a single pick then I can pick either one based on deck need or personal preference. The numbers on the right are the card(s) value in points from the above spreadsheet. Terrible is worth 1 point and Top is worth 8. Always Pick is also worth 8. The lowest theoretically possible (though probably impossible due to the programming) score for any deck is 30 (all Never Picks) and the most is 240 (all Tops). The classes I lost to. And the final result of the deck. I have no idea if this information reveals anything or not. I was going to gather more but hey, maybe some other people can add to it. *wink wink nudge nudge saynomore saynomore*
Looking back I would have done some things differently to be sure, but I guess that's part of the process. The Mage deck was probably the best deck. A good Druid with a good deck ate that deck up pretty good, fair enough. But then I ran into him again 2 games later, same result. The Paladin and I went to fatigue and I just ran out of gas but that was a good fight. But all 6 of those wins were steamrolls. That deck was wicked. 4 Flamestrikes is a real luxury let me tell you.
DRUID
Acolyte of Pain over Cult Master at pick 14
Innervate 4
Claw x2 14
Elven Archer 3
Mark of the Wild 4
Power of the Wild x3 21
Knife Juggler 7
Kobold Geomancer 3
Loot Hoarder 6
Savage Roar 4
Acolyte of Pain 5
Flesheating Ghoul 5
Jungle Panther 5
Raging Worgen 6
Wolfrider 4
Swipe x2 16
Silvermoon Guardian 4
Spellbreaker 7
Starfall x2 16
Azure Drake 8
Druid of the Claw x2 16
Starfire 6
Archmage 4
Ironbark Protector 6
Sea Giant 5
179 on 30-240
Hunter, Priest, Priest
5-3
-----
WARLOCK
Voidwalker over Spiteful Smith at pick 13
Soulfire x2 14
Mortal Coil 5
Blood Imp 5
Elven Archer 3
Voidwalker 3
Demonfire 6
Amani Berserker 6
Wild Pyromancer 5
Drain Life 3
Harvest Golem x2 16
Jungle Panther 5
Raging Worgen 6
Razorfen Hunter x2 8
Hellfire x2 10
Chillwind Yeti 8
Cult Master 6
Gnomish Inventor 6
Twilight Drake 7
Doomguard 6
Faceless Manipulator 7
Silver Hand Knight x2 12
Hogger 6
Sunwalker 6
Stormwind Champion 5
War Golem 3
167 on 30-240
Warlock, Hunter, Hunter
5-3
-----
PALADIN
Light's Justice over Ogre Magi at pick 15
Light's Justice 4
Hand of Protection 3
Noble Sacrifice 4
Redemption 3
Voodoo Doctor 2
Argent Protector 7
Blood Knight 7
Earthen Ring Farseer 6
Harvest Golem 8
Imp Master 6
Questing Adventurer 3
Razorfen Hunter 4
Truesilver Champion 8
Blessing of Kings 6
Consecration x3 24
Hammer of Wrath x2 14
Dragonling Mechanic x2 8
Ogre Magi 5
Sen'jin Shieldmasta 7
Azure Drake 8
Fen Creeper 5
Silverhand Knight 6
Boulderfist Ogre 7
Guardian of Kings 6
War Golem 3
Ysera 8
172 on 30-240
Shaman, Druid, Mage
3-3
-----
PALADIN
Ironfur Grizzly over Dire Wolf Alpha at pick 14
Light's Justice 4
Blessing of Might 3
Humility 3
Argent Protector x3 21
Dire Wolf Alpha 5
Mad Bomber 6
Master Swordsmith 4
Youthful Brewmaster 6
Aldor Peacekeeper 8
Harvest Golem 8
Imp Master 6
Ironfur Grizzly 4
Jungle Panther 5
Mind Control Tech 5
Truesilver Champion x2 16
Hammer of Wrath 7
Cult Master 7
Dark Iron Dwarf 8
Oasis Snapjaw 4
Sen'jin Shieldmasta 7
Booty Bay Bodyguard 3
Darkscale Healer 4
Stampeding Kodo x2 14
Avenging Wrath 7
Argent Commander 8
Guardian of Kings 6
179 on 30-240
Mage, Rogue, Priest
3-3
-----
SHAMAN
Ancestral Spirit over Lavaburst at pick 30
Earthshock x2 8
Rockbiter Weapon 7
Worgen Infiltrator 6
Ancestral Spirit 5
Acidic Swamp Ooze x2 16
Amani Berserker 6
Bluegill Warrior 4
Flametongue Totem 6
Hex x2 16
Acolyte of Pain 5
Demolisher 5
Ironforge Rifleman 3
Raging Worgen 6
Scarlet Crusader 6
Shattered Sun Cleric 7
Ancient Brewmaster 6
Cult Master 6
Dark Iron Dwarf 8
Gnomish Inventor 6
Ogre Magi 5
Sen'jin Shieldmasta 7
Bloodlust 5
Earth Elemental 8
Stampeding Kodo 7
Boulderfist Ogre 7
Sylvanas Windrunner 7
Stormwind Champion 6
184 on 30-240
Warrior, Rogue, Rogue
5-3
-----
MAGE
Leper Gnome over Gnomish Inventor at pick 11
Arcane Missles x2 10
Bloodsail Corsair 2
Leper Gnome 3
Mana Wyrm x2 10
Worgen Infiltrator 6
Acidic Swamp Ooze 8
Crazed Alchemist 3
Wild Pyromancer 4
Arcane Intellect 5
Mirror Entity 4
Earthen Ring Farseer 6
Harvest Golem 8
Fireball x2 16
Polymorph 7
Chillwind Yeti 8
Cult Master 6
Gnomish Inventor 6
Mogu'shan Warden 3
Azure Drake 8
Fen Creeper 5
Silver Hand Knight 6
Blizzard 6
Boulderfist Ogre 7
Flamestrike x4 32
179 on 30-240
Druid, Druid (same guy), Paladin (fatigue)
6-3
-----
PALADIN
No overrides
Hand of Protection 3
Noble Sacrifice x2 8
Acidic Swamp Ooze 8
Argent Protector x2 14
Dire Wolf Alpha 5
Loot Hoarder 6
Wild Pyromancer 5
Blood Knight 7
Harvest Golem 8
Ironfur Grizzly 4
Mind Control Tech 5
Razorfen Hunter 4
Shattered Sun Cleric 7
Truesilver Champion x2 16
Blessing of Kings x3 18
Consecration 8
Defender of Argus 8
Sen'jin Shieldmasta 7
Spellbreaker 7
Stormwind Knight 6
Fen Creeper 6
Gurubashi Berserker 4
Stampeding Kodo 7
Archmage 4
Sunwalker 6
181 on 30-240
Druid, Paladin, Mage
3-3
Acolyte of Pain over Cult Master at pick 14
Innervate 4
Claw x2 14
Elven Archer 3
Mark of the Wild 4
Power of the Wild x3 21
Knife Juggler 7
Kobold Geomancer 3
Loot Hoarder 6
Savage Roar 4
Acolyte of Pain 5
Flesheating Ghoul 5
Jungle Panther 5
Raging Worgen 6
Wolfrider 4
Swipe x2 16
Silvermoon Guardian 4
Spellbreaker 7
Starfall x2 16
Azure Drake 8
Druid of the Claw x2 16
Starfire 6
Archmage 4
Ironbark Protector 6
Sea Giant 5
179 on 30-240
Hunter, Priest, Priest
5-3
-----
WARLOCK
Voidwalker over Spiteful Smith at pick 13
Soulfire x2 14
Mortal Coil 5
Blood Imp 5
Elven Archer 3
Voidwalker 3
Demonfire 6
Amani Berserker 6
Wild Pyromancer 5
Drain Life 3
Harvest Golem x2 16
Jungle Panther 5
Raging Worgen 6
Razorfen Hunter x2 8
Hellfire x2 10
Chillwind Yeti 8
Cult Master 6
Gnomish Inventor 6
Twilight Drake 7
Doomguard 6
Faceless Manipulator 7
Silver Hand Knight x2 12
Hogger 6
Sunwalker 6
Stormwind Champion 5
War Golem 3
167 on 30-240
Warlock, Hunter, Hunter
5-3
-----
PALADIN
Light's Justice over Ogre Magi at pick 15
Light's Justice 4
Hand of Protection 3
Noble Sacrifice 4
Redemption 3
Voodoo Doctor 2
Argent Protector 7
Blood Knight 7
Earthen Ring Farseer 6
Harvest Golem 8
Imp Master 6
Questing Adventurer 3
Razorfen Hunter 4
Truesilver Champion 8
Blessing of Kings 6
Consecration x3 24
Hammer of Wrath x2 14
Dragonling Mechanic x2 8
Ogre Magi 5
Sen'jin Shieldmasta 7
Azure Drake 8
Fen Creeper 5
Silverhand Knight 6
Boulderfist Ogre 7
Guardian of Kings 6
War Golem 3
Ysera 8
172 on 30-240
Shaman, Druid, Mage
3-3
-----
PALADIN
Ironfur Grizzly over Dire Wolf Alpha at pick 14
Light's Justice 4
Blessing of Might 3
Humility 3
Argent Protector x3 21
Dire Wolf Alpha 5
Mad Bomber 6
Master Swordsmith 4
Youthful Brewmaster 6
Aldor Peacekeeper 8
Harvest Golem 8
Imp Master 6
Ironfur Grizzly 4
Jungle Panther 5
Mind Control Tech 5
Truesilver Champion x2 16
Hammer of Wrath 7
Cult Master 7
Dark Iron Dwarf 8
Oasis Snapjaw 4
Sen'jin Shieldmasta 7
Booty Bay Bodyguard 3
Darkscale Healer 4
Stampeding Kodo x2 14
Avenging Wrath 7
Argent Commander 8
Guardian of Kings 6
179 on 30-240
Mage, Rogue, Priest
3-3
-----
SHAMAN
Ancestral Spirit over Lavaburst at pick 30
Earthshock x2 8
Rockbiter Weapon 7
Worgen Infiltrator 6
Ancestral Spirit 5
Acidic Swamp Ooze x2 16
Amani Berserker 6
Bluegill Warrior 4
Flametongue Totem 6
Hex x2 16
Acolyte of Pain 5
Demolisher 5
Ironforge Rifleman 3
Raging Worgen 6
Scarlet Crusader 6
Shattered Sun Cleric 7
Ancient Brewmaster 6
Cult Master 6
Dark Iron Dwarf 8
Gnomish Inventor 6
Ogre Magi 5
Sen'jin Shieldmasta 7
Bloodlust 5
Earth Elemental 8
Stampeding Kodo 7
Boulderfist Ogre 7
Sylvanas Windrunner 7
Stormwind Champion 6
184 on 30-240
Warrior, Rogue, Rogue
5-3
-----
MAGE
Leper Gnome over Gnomish Inventor at pick 11
Arcane Missles x2 10
Bloodsail Corsair 2
Leper Gnome 3
Mana Wyrm x2 10
Worgen Infiltrator 6
Acidic Swamp Ooze 8
Crazed Alchemist 3
Wild Pyromancer 4
Arcane Intellect 5
Mirror Entity 4
Earthen Ring Farseer 6
Harvest Golem 8
Fireball x2 16
Polymorph 7
Chillwind Yeti 8
Cult Master 6
Gnomish Inventor 6
Mogu'shan Warden 3
Azure Drake 8
Fen Creeper 5
Silver Hand Knight 6
Blizzard 6
Boulderfist Ogre 7
Flamestrike x4 32
179 on 30-240
Druid, Druid (same guy), Paladin (fatigue)
6-3
-----
PALADIN
No overrides
Hand of Protection 3
Noble Sacrifice x2 8
Acidic Swamp Ooze 8
Argent Protector x2 14
Dire Wolf Alpha 5
Loot Hoarder 6
Wild Pyromancer 5
Blood Knight 7
Harvest Golem 8
Ironfur Grizzly 4
Mind Control Tech 5
Razorfen Hunter 4
Shattered Sun Cleric 7
Truesilver Champion x2 16
Blessing of Kings x3 18
Consecration 8
Defender of Argus 8
Sen'jin Shieldmasta 7
Spellbreaker 7
Stormwind Knight 6
Fen Creeper 6
Gurubashi Berserker 4
Stampeding Kodo 7
Archmage 4
Sunwalker 6
181 on 30-240
Druid, Paladin, Mage
3-3
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Well, since someone said they'd like to see more talk about arena decks, and I'm usually just commenting I'll throw my most recent one out there. Obvious weak point of this draft was the early game, I just never got offered 2 drops. While I had a lot of 4's, most of them aren't that great. I don't remember what the first loss was as that game was yesterday. The second loss was to a Hunter who got ahead of me and I was never able to catch up. The third loss was to fucking double Pyroblast, so fucking stupid. 6-3
Edit: Next draft. I better at least 8 with this or I'll be really sad. I wish I had some more early removal and a Lightning Storm, but the deck is pretty good. Going to cook some dinner then I think I'll stream it after
Edit: Next draft. I better at least 8 with this or I'll be really sad. I wish I had some more early removal and a Lightning Storm, but the deck is pretty good. Going to cook some dinner then I think I'll stream it after