Investing General Discussion

Gravel

Mr. Poopybutthole
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Some bear porn today floating about:

View attachment 587048
Just saying...


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Furry

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They can both be BS and go to the moon... Actual quantum computers are not there yet, so I don't know what they are doing that cannot be done with conventional computers (as per the video). It's a hype/lottery stock, I guess?
I mean, remember how long it took nikola to crash and burn, and it was literally some uneducated concrete layer was going to invent a novel form of hydrogen storage. Quantum computers have way more hype and far less understanding of their issues in the public.

I'm not gonna sit here and bet against it, but I'm very sure its not the sort of stock I want to invest in long term, unless it joins the S&P.
 
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Jysin

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
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(US) Fed's Musalem (voter): Even after May 12th de-escalation, tariffs likely to lead to labor market softening and higher prices - speech text - Source TradeTheNews.com


The obvious question becomes, which part of their dual mandate becomes more important? Taming inflation, or supporting a weakening labor market.
Stagflation is worst case scenario for everyone.
 
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pwe

Silver Baronet of the Realm
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Speculation. I’m holding 300 shares. If I lose it all nbd. If it goes up 100000% in 10 years, neat.
I did consider a gamble. I just couldn't figure out if it should be long or short. Hype vs Nope, fight! Remember to sell at the top!
 
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Kirun

Buzzfeed Editor
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Stagflation is worst case scenario for everyone.
I feel like it's this. The economy seems stuck in the mud. Prices on most things keep slowly trickling up and wages just haven't gone fucking anywhere. Maybe it's limited to my industry, but we're paying starting Ops Supervisors about 2k less than they started at just 3 years ago. Starting salary range was 70-75k and now it's 68k-72k.
 
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Blazin

Creative Title
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yeah totally greece at 3%, let me know when they hit 7% so we can talk about it maybe hitting 10% .

Japan is trying to normalize they are way late but all it's doing is playing a game of catch up as they finally start removing the finger from the scale. Gayed must be having an aneurism .

Oh btw Japan is fucked.
 
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Gravel

Mr. Poopybutthole
42,054
144,775
yeah totally greece at 3%, let me know when they hit 7% so we can talk about it maybe hitting 10% .

Japan is trying to normalize they are way late but all it's doing is playing a game of catch up as they finally start removing the finger from the scale. Gayed must be having an aneurism .

Oh btw Japan is fucked.
I'm confused by that. The US 30 year is at almost 5%. Why would Japan's 3% be a big wtf?

The zero and negative interest rates were insane several years ago.
 
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Jysin

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
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Looks like some reality is finally settling in at The Fed

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We need this kind of forward thinking. I’ve no idea what happens behind closed doors, but all Powell ever seems to talk about is waiting for data / data dependent. The idea that we can only look in the rear view mirror and not look forward has been a problem for years.
 

Lambourne

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
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This shit is a crazy read.



The BNPL services have caught the eye of Sauron in Europe too. They are frequently used by minors who simply put in a false date of birth to get around the age check. Also interesting that 2/3s of revenue was used for fashion shopping and 40% of all goods bought with it were returned.

The sector is going to be facing full oversight from European financial regulators from next year so they will be treated as any other consumer credit provider with all the overhead that comes with it. Looks like UK and Australia are doing the same. I'd expect that thin margin these companies have to be even thinner afterwards.

 
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Jysin

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
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Markets still falling on the back of this bad auction. Yields still pushing new highs. TLT in the shitter.

Bessent must be panicking about now.
 
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Rangoth

Blackwing Lair Raider
1,993
2,110
I sold my TSLA puts for 8%.....it drops another 8$ a few minutes later, could have more than doubled my money. #fail

Trailing stops have increased my % of wins big time, but I miss the big ones I used to catch.....*way* less losses though as I used to get caught bag holding trying to outlast the choppy times. Now once I'm up my safety trigger does successfully fire giving me 2-x%, but sucks on moves like this. I need to find a way to dynamically adjust it as the profit grows somehow, but that's not offered by fidelity.

For history, I used to get burned a shitload when I'd be up 5-10% and my brain tells me, damn that was easy, let it run to 30%!!! Only for it to drop to -5% in an hour and then stay choppy or keep going down. I got sick of losing after I was winning and decided I'll take 100 small wins over continuing to cut my losses hoping for an extra few % points that never came.
 
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Fogel

Mr. Poopybutthole
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I always had trouble with stops on puts as well. The moves are so big both directions so fast, its very easy to get shook out.
 
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Sanrith Descartes

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edit: Grabbed some 4.75% coupon 30-yr treasuries off the secondary market with a 5.14% yield.
 
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