Anybody know the specifics of the Steam Top 100 revenue chart? Three weeks before launch Marathon is currently sitting in-between Crimson Desert and Nioh 3, which has over 400k sold / $28M in PC sales.
Concord had about $1M in sales.
Q: How do the real-time top sellers chart work?
A: For each game, we roll up all the player spending from the trailing 24 hours, and then add extra weight to spending in the last 3 hours. That extra weighting of the most recent spending helps Steam to more quickly reflect changes, like a popular new release or a game trending upward.
Q: Why do the top sellers lists include free to play games?
A: Over time we've seen games utilize a wide variety of approaches to pricing. Traditionally our charts have only included premium games, but that was obscuring the hugely popular free or inexpensive games in which players go on to purchase season passes, huge expansions, or other forms of new content. This newer format also lets us combine multiple editions of the same game so as to avoid duplication on the charts and really highlight what players are most invested in.
TLDR : Top sellers are weighted for the previous 24 hours and the latest 3 hours are weighed even more, meaning if your new release is in a competition free release window your game should always hit no#1, if it doesnt thats a bad start. But more importantly, it actually matters how long it stays there more, because that determines the selling power of the product.
IE - Doesn't mean anything at this stage other than that really sucks with it being 2 weeks out. If it stays in the top 1-2 after the demo for a couple weeks then it typically means it is selling well. Right now the game launches in 2 weeks and is getting crushed in a 24 hour period by "Poppy Playtime 5". Or, currently more people are purchasing BG3, a two and a half year old RPG at full price and not on sale, over Marathon. That doesn't bode well but can change if the open beta is well received, or tank further.
Arc Raiders was Steam's top seller for 2 weeks before launch and held it for weeks after. (If not months)