Yeah, its hard to imagine this Denver team outscoring Pittsburgh right now, or protecting Brock enough against Cinci or even possibly SD.
2 games at home for KC and Denver sound great, but who knows what the weather will look like and how that will influence it. Division games too? Could go either way no matter how the teams are playing.
If Green Bay wins that game, they'd have the tiebreaker, but they'd still be a game back of Arizona. Aside from that game, Green Bay has the Raiders and Minnesota, and Arizona has the Eagles and Seattle. About equal schedule wise, and Green Bay would have to go one better over those 2 weeks even if they win that game head to head against Arizona. Could see it happening, but I wouldn't call it likely to happen.
Yeah good point. I forgot to include that I was assuming Seattle will beat Arizona in week 17 (with how Seattle is playing lately, and the possibility of Arizona not caring about the outcome of the game if they have #2 locked up). Or lose to Philly next week (trap game?!).
Seattle might (most likely actually) clinch the #5 seed and a trip to play the NFC Least champ in week 16 and sit most of their starters for a quasi-bye for the Arizona game.
No trap game, Arizona will be playing for their 1st round bye. They also technically can still get the #1 seed by virtue of better conference record than Carolina (any scenario where Arizona is able to catch Carolina would mean they'll have a better conference record). If they beat Philly as you'd expect next week, they'd have to lose to Green Bay and Seattle while Green Bay beats them and Minnesota as the only way they would lose a 1st round bye.
Not sure if it's likely. I expect the Vikings to beat the Bears and the Giants (both games at home for them). They still control their destiny to win their division too if they win out (would be 1-1 against GB in that case, with edge in divisional record).
