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I'm pretty sure the trick of the question is that people think 1 and 2 are mutually exclusive. They interpret the choices as: 1. She's a teller, AND NOT a feminist. 2. She's a teller AND a feminist. Since the extra information suggests that she's a feminist, they automatically pick 2...

Nah, he gets it. He may not have gotten it in the beginning, but even a retarded monkey would have gotten it by now. He gets it, and he knows hes wrong. But hey, sticking with ignorance is less wrong than reversing yourself and admitting that you were wrong in the first place.

It's also the right answer. I don't get why any statistician would get that wrong. Seems to me people more interested in their intuition and less interested in the math would get that wrong.

I'm sure he's just trolling at this point. He probably argued this in good faith originally. But then a few pages in, he realized that he fucked up and was already in too deep to back-peddle, so he'd rather double-down on ignorance to save face than admit being a dumbass.

I figured crayons would help you and araysar get it better.

That's not proof; that's you word-vomiting. Run through the permutations and report back to me with your results.

Talk is cheap. Prove it.

There was actually no math involved other than the ability to comprehend that 2 is > 1, so I'm not sure how this shit still eludes people like Araysar. It's only a "thought experiment" if all people did was sit there and thought about it. Just fucking go and experiment. All it takes is 5...

This entire thread was fucking stupid. A million words wasted when all you had to do was do the problem yourself. DOOR #1 -(GOAT) DOOR #2 -(GOAT) DOOR #3 -(CAR) Possible outcomes: IF YOU PICKED DOOR #1 (THE GOAT) IN ROUND 1: You pick door #1, host reveals door #2, youSWITCH, and...

I won't rule it out just yet, but I do agree with the sentiment. There's this big build up, but then Shioon didn't do shit. Same with the showdown with the two top-10 elders. There's this massive DBZ-esque build up, but absolutely no payoff. It's manga blue-balls.

Dude. I have no clue wtf you're talking about. This is how things have unfolded from my understanding: Obama sends Congress a draft resolution asking for military force. This first draft was extremely open ended. It had no deadline, no limitations on force, and no prohibitions on whether...

http://www.antiwar.com/casualties/ Aside from the financial costs, Bush's unjustified war cost us the lives of over 4 thousand American soldiers. So by my estimation, Obama needs another thousand Benghazis, give or take, to pass Bush as the bigger fuck-up.

They've signed it, but they haven't ratified it. The reason ? Because the Arab countries around them (Syria and Egypt) haven't done the same. And by the way, your sources suck balls. That Real Agenda website isn't a news website, its a propaganda machine that pulls facts out of its ass. Now...

I don't understand this statement. Just because Congress never declared war doesn't mean Bush just woke up one day and willy-nilly decided to topple Sadam all by himself. We didn't declare war, but that doesn't mean he skirted around Congressional oversight. Congress voted to give him the...

At least the military bombings in Lybia was conducted through the U.N., which gave him political cover. I really don't understand why the fuck he asked for congressional approval to be honest, other than to save face. If he wanted to bomb Syria, like he claims he does, he shoulda just went...

Um. He's actually right. The president doesn't have to ask for shit before he bombs anyone. There's plenty of precedent to support what he said -- recent example being when Clinton bombed Kosovo without asking for Congressional approval. Obama's problem was that, when he was in Congress, he...

Definitely the community. We once had a guy in the guild get his house flattened by a hurricane. Did an in-guild collection and actually got a decent amount of money sent to him. I never met any of these people, but the friendships you build actually felt genuine.

Texas wins. Oakland losses to the Astros (again). Up 2 games. Life is good.

I don't see the problem here ? That's how stings work. Hell, years back I worked as a pharmacy tech to pay my way through college. Dude came in with a forged RX. We called the doc, confirmed it was forged, and filled the prescription. We called 911 and sold him the drugs. Once he paid and...

Ok, first of all, storming a terrorist compound may be an act of war, but who gives a shit ? Certainly not Obama. I mean, that's EXACTLY what we did to get Bin Laden. We stormed a terrorist compound in a foreign country that was -- supposedly -- our ally. Did you want Obama to go to a...

http://www.theguardian.com/technolog...-email-lawsuit Notice how they're not saying that you don't have a reasonable expectation to privacy in regards tometadata, they're saying NOTHING is private, including the meaty contents of the email itself. Sad thing is, this shit has been happening...

Maybe they shouldn't be skipping classified briefings then when they get direct access to all the head-honchos of the intelligence community. http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3...h-flights-home Notice that happened on 6/15, a week after when Snowden started the leaks. Back then, this...

The government actually almost turned off the golden goose a month ago by de-funding section 215. I mean, the American public's attention span is pretty short, but if people can keep making a stink about this for another year and a half, it's certainly possible. But by then the headlines will...

Well, now the argument isn't just being made in front of judges, it's made in front of the people. This goes up for renewal in 2015. We'll see what happens then.

So you're ok with a couple of thousand phone records being recorded, but just not a couple hundred million ? Where is the number you find acceptable ? Why is scale in itself a problem ? If it violates the 4th in regards to one person, then it should stop there. Or are we advancing some kind...

The point of sticking it in a box is so you can touch it later once you get permission (a warrant).

It's not an expectation of privacy -- it's a reasonable expectation of privacy. I believe that you expect that the privacy should be there, but what you expect, according to the courts, isn't reasonable. Taking the example of the phone pen-registers, every time you dial a number on your...

This is where the case-law that you criticize comes in handy. The caselaw already establishes that you have a reasonable expectation to privacy in all areas your home including the restroom and all corresponding curtilage areas, such as your garage. This also expands to other private areas...

Kay. Then my apologies for lumping you with the likes of Tad. I'm not really sure what you mean by ethics and morals, cause you know, that shit differs by the person. If you want to explain to me a step by step guide on how to nail down ethics or morals and analyze what's going on through...

I don't want to be making excuses for this show, but this didn't seem so outlandish to me. She wanted to get Dexter alone in a secluded area so she could, you know, conspire to commit murder. Once she got him there, she changed her mind and bolted.

I stand corrected. After this game, he leads the entire league by like, 30 strikeouts or so, and I *THINK* he also has the best batting average against.

Randy Johnson did it 7 times in 1 season.

That basically happened when it was the Rangers/Giants. No one outside of the teams' immediate cities gave a shit.

Even less people have the ability to launch global nuclear war. I'd say the power to bring about Armageddon trumps the power to go all peeping Tom on your emails. And by the way, if you or anyone thinks the program should be more open, more transparent, or more fortified against the...

Jesus Christ. Yea, I strawmaned you, but I wasn't being serious. I was obviously trying to prove a point. You want to talk straw man ? How the fuck does me defending the constitutionality of the intelligence programs = me wanting to turn the U.S. into a police state ? Do you even THINK...

Well it can't be because they're handing over confidential user information because you know, companies don't do anything with user information.

Yea you must be ok with letting terrorists murder hundreds of innocent Americans. Fuckhead. Either engage me on the substance of my argument or save your one liners for yourself.

Fair enough. But she's actually the chair of the intelligence committee, so we're kinda stuck with her.

Uh. I didn't have it where I was born, that's why I can actually appreciate and understand the freedoms I do have. Morons like Tad wants to talk about a police state ? I have uncles and family members I will never know because they died fleeing a real police state. So when idiots like him...

Came from commieland, never want to go back.