Search results

They also compared the random strategy to index. And there is this one, that you can replicate at home with R https://towardsdatascience.com/could-a-random-portfolio-management-be-applicable-to-investing-ba2d526c83ff

Found my sets at my parents house the other day, haven't been used in about 20 years... Pretty sure it's investment thread material ! I use to buy the double land for $1.5 to $3 at the end.

I'm not going to beat S&P500 with CAC40 stocks ! But still, I'm nearly 2% above cac40 with 69.61% of directly owned stocks, and 30% of ETF (about 2/3rd of them being Korea/Japan/Russia) I've got 15 stocks and 6 different ETF, but I'm not following the weighting of the cac40, only 4.87% of...

Just don't call them vietcongs when in vietnam ! And Yeah do not go to nha trang it's unfortunately a lair of lower middle class Russians looking for young prostitutes.

Well you need to at the least have basic knowledge of all 3 to understand finance a little bit. So I'm going to explain what they did in the research the forbes article mentionned : (it's not exactly that but it's close enough to understand how it involves probabilities, statistics and game...

So, if I have to invest on a 6 faced dice or a 20 faced dice, the amount I'm ready to pay for that investment doesn't depend on the expected value ? The results of the rolls are irrevelant to what i'm willing to bet. By nature a stock is a random variable, the moment I'm investing on it, I'm...

They are distributions, you moron, if they were sample you'd know the outcome. When you invest you don't know the outcome, obvously.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value You're the ones being fucktarded, especialy given the context of the discussion.

If we're discussing finance strategy, I'm guessing we're talking ex-ante not ex-post. If I consider a 6 faced dice roll and I have to invest on it, I can't know what roll I will get, and the average, or mean, or you're right more accurately the expected value is 3.5. It's true that it is...

Because you know the roll you're going to get before investing ? If you're investing on a single 6 faced dice roll, on average you're getting 3.5. I mean, I hate to have to link a wikipedia page, but in that case of high school mathematics, I kinda have to...

If you roll a dice once, you have an average of 3.5. If you roll and infinite number of dice, your average is still 3.5, but the likelyhood of getting 3.5 is 1.

Just spent 1 minute googling it : Computer Simulation Suggests That The Best Investment Strategy Is A Random One They say it's counterintuitive, but it's pretty much Games Theory 101, uninformed players strategy (ok, in a single shot game) No it is not, if I use a 6 faced dice, I'll get on...

0.3% is vanguard global ETF fee 10% is 30 years of losing 0.3% 99.999% is out of my ass, but I must be close. Because if you've made a few hundreds draw of stuff with a 0 average and a relatively low variability (around the index) your total variability is ridiculously low, so to beat even a...

If you use vanguard you'll constantly perform around 0.3% under the index, while if you pick at random... You'll perform on average exactly the index. The variability going down the more pick you make, going to 0. 0.3% per year is a lot for a retirement plan, after 30 years you've just lost...

If you pick at random twice a month for 4 years according to the weight of the index you're trying to match, the difference between your portfolio and the index is going to be very small and the variability likely to be below the fees of the ETF. ETF can be fine, but you do need to read the...

ETF are nice if you're in a hurry to invest, but if you can afford to DCA your investment over a few years, picking stocks at random beat the ETF in the long run because of lesser fees. It's important to pick at random, as it is the optimal strategy of the uninformed player, and you should...

Personnaly, I specificaly bought it for this reason : I can play with my very young daughter (she's 2.5 and already spending about 30 mn a day on it...), in my opinion it is more than fine that Nintendo managed to stay true to themselves over nearly 40 years. We don't need all the devices to be...

Now this thread is the least crazy one in that subforum, go figure.

I totally thought it would end in a gayer way.

If you don't think you'll ever come back to Asia, and it's your first time there, I'd suggest going to Japan, Taiwan or Korea + Thailand. You'll see two very different faces of Asia. Combodia by bus, I wouldn't recommend on the first trip in the area, even Vietnam is getting difficult these...

I can totally recall it.

You're right, no one need to know, and the biggest risk for most of the "autists" is a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Kind of a vicious circle, active population decreasing, so no unemployment, lots of extra hours, which lead to people not having time to marry/have kids... In a country in which most people are employable and have high work ethic, it's getting a problem. That being said, Japanese are...

You're probably right, with proper training, those accidents would probably have been avoided. And at some point a plane designed in the 60's got to be redisgned from scratch. I'm pretty sure that Airbus are also shitting their pants with the A321XLR, at some point, you need a new plane (even...

Half of this board would also, nowadays, I bet. Fuck, it's difficult to not find a kid these days that isn't diagnosed with autism, dyslexia, dysgraphia, dyscalulia,.... When my daughter was 3 months old some stupid ass doctor diagnosed her with sleeping disorder when I told her she was waking...

They might not even be trying to find a technical solution anymore, but rather a financial and industrial one, before calling the 737 max dead. I think they can still recover fairly well by switching from 737 max to 737 NG (which is a good plane), and companies won't have much choice, they'll...

It's probably not heritable, so it's fine. In this thread.

I was about to give up on Kanata no Astra but that episode peaked my interest again. Top shows for me are #1 cop craft and #2 Vinland , Dan Machi is still entertaining. I'll probably stop watching Dr Stone and Arifureta if it doesn't get better (which I doubt for Arifureta).

I'm looking at a study that concluded that there is a risk involved with light drinking, at random (https://pubs.niaaa.nih.gov/publications/arh341/86-91.pdf), and as expected, it's not serious, and they aknowledge it : "I'm only drinking a glass of wine every week, I swear" say alcoholic...

So, you chose to not give your toddlers fruits ? I tried to look up for something, do small quantities of alcohol have any effect whatsoever on a kid, and came up empty. Only some completely stupid data that said that kids that were allowed to drink were more likely to become alcoholic. Next...

https://www.todaysparent.com/family/parenting/how-bad-is-it-to-give-your-toddler-a-sip-of-beer/ Today's world. They don't even mention if the kid actually drunk any beer, funny. They saw the mother fill the kid's glass, and called the police straight away ? lol.

Not socialy acceptable, at all, unfortunately. 1 year old addicted to soda, no problem, but giving 2cl of a 2° beer, CALL THE POLICE. That being said, I don't think it's nearly as taboo as in the US, when I was a kid we would be allowed to drink small quantities of it at family reunions, and...

Same with my daughter, she can only drink water or water with lemon juice (not like I'm complaining she doesn't want anything sweet...), and when she was like 6 months old, I was trying to make a joke by getting her to eat a lemon slice, and... she ate it, and liked it. The joke was on me... She...

My 2.5 year old weight 24 lbs, and that's a blessing for our backs... I can barely feel her when I carry her on my shoulders. Very convenient ! But she's also faster and more agile than all the other kids her age around us, and THAT is very inconvenient...

Feels the guy watched Rambo and was like "Hmmm, nice topic, but I don't believe romcom was the proper medium"

https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2019-07-25/southwest-dumps-newark-airport-as-boeing-737-max-problem-continues Yesterday they were saying 4th quarter 19, today it's "sometime in the 1st quarter 20", Boeing is not being serious, at this point they should know what's up. I'm guessing they...

, Well, it's not unlikely that in order to fly, they'd need to change the engine position, so probably change the engine for a smaller, less efficient and in the end have something barely better than the NG. At that point they'd be better off stopping producing 737max for NG which doesn't have...

Boeing says it might have to shut down 737 Max production The likelyhood of 737max not being allowed to fly ever again is increasing significantly. I can't believe how low on the radar that shit is, no country fly as much as the USA, Boeing is the only plane manufacturer, with a non-zero chance...

They aired 3 ep, so they don't anymore for 3 weeks it seems. Next EP is like next week.

I think we're vastly overestimating the impact of parenting, I'm not saying it's completely irrevelant, but a large part of the outcome is genetic in the end. When I was 5, I was basicaly sleeping and eating at my house and that was pretty much it, I was either at school, or out with friends...