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  1. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    My sister is in a similar boat. She's a nurse working with critical oncology patients in LA. No confirmed cases in their hospital/staff, but they're running low on PPE and all terrified of being the one to bring it in because basically every one of the patients will die if exposed.
  2. Captain Suave

    Health Problems

    Order them from China. (Or maybe Canada. My wife does that; I don't think she needs a current prescription. Do you have a copy of your now-expired prescription?)
  3. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    Can you share roughly where you are without doxing yourself?
  4. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    Does the CDC even report recovered cases? I just see reported cases and deaths on their site. Those other trackers scrape data from various random sources and the nuanced stuff like hospitalizations and recoveries isn't worth the electrons they're written with.
  5. Captain Suave

    Weight Loss Thread

    How are you burning 5500 calories? Are you sure your accounting is right? I suspect your numbers are badly off. That's REALLY high for anyone except a serious endurance athlete. With a 1500-2500 calorie deficit you should be losing 1/3 to 2/3 of a pound a day.
  6. Captain Suave

    Weight Loss Thread

    That guy's great. I don't think it's in that video, but there's one where he looks at the camera and says, "This is one I call 'Leg Flutters... for men.'" And then proceeds to do flutter kicks for time while holding a front lever.
  7. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    Neither snow nor rain nor heat nor gloom of night, motherfuckers.
  8. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    Someone else was already transporting that stuff, and that stuff is no longer being made or sold any more.
  9. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    We're going to have to start extending zero-cost working capital to hospitals and just cut out insurance. The consumables and overtime alone are going to be insane and no one's going to keep up on billing.
  10. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    You're right. I have no idea how I ended up quoting you. My bad.
  11. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    If you thought you could maintain the societal restrictions for that long (I don't think so, no matter how bad your view of this outbreak), you'd presumably be building emergency treatment sites and supply stockpiles during that time. It's hard to know what those projections are worth without a...
  12. Captain Suave

    Investing General Discussion

    My 70 year old dad is looking a lot less nuts for liquidating his entire net worth last year when the S&P was 3k, that's for sure.
  13. Captain Suave

    Investing General Discussion

    “The moment you send everyone home for Spring Break and close the borders, the infection rate will plummet, the stock market will soar, and the clouds will lift,” Ackman wrote. I've got some more hopium he can buy...
  14. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    Unfortunately, those of us who are not specialized medical researchers are left to rely on the conflicting advice of governments and half-baked (by necessity, since there hasn't been time) anecdotal observations. No one has a detailed, peer-reviewed understanding of the pathology for this...
  15. Captain Suave

    The Astronomy Thread

    Now looking like NASA's becomes the Mars Rover 2022, also.
  16. Captain Suave

    Weight Loss Thread

    Down 10 lbs so far (205-195), 25 more to go. Nothing helps a diet like empty grocery stores and being unable to eat out.
  17. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    Order of magnitude increase in 2 weeks. Three orders of magnitude in 3 weeks. Total case growth rate staying consistently exponential with a power of ~1.3. What could go wrong?
  18. Captain Suave

    Home Improvement

    Sorry, misunderstood question. In theory that should never happen, if applied to a stable surface with good worksmanship. In historic buildings you can see tile that lasted 1000+ years. In practice, it can be as short as a few years if you had a shitty contractor.
  19. Captain Suave

    Home Improvement

    Asbestos fibers would be inside the tile itself as a flame retardant. If the tiles break, wear, or get abraded (especially cut by rotary tools), the asbestos filaments are sprayed into the atmosphere. Without proper PPE you breathe it in. The fibers sit in your lungs, and are so sharp that they...
  20. Captain Suave

    Home Improvement

    Asbestos tile was installed as late as 1980. (In a previous life I did modeling for manufacturers subject to asbestos-induced mesothelioma liability.)
  21. Captain Suave

    Home Improvement

    My current rental house has a floor plan that enables this. It's a fucking terrible idea. The kids are doing indoor laps on scooters through your bedroom at 7 AM on weekends, and whenever there are friends/family over they inevitably use that access as a cut-through to wherever they want to go...
  22. Captain Suave

    Investing General Discussion

    Certainly a better time to get in now than a month ago.
  23. Captain Suave

    Investing General Discussion

    I feel guilty for the cognitive dissonance I get from not wanting this to be a full-on catastrophe while sitting on a pile of cash waiting for the market to bottom out. =/
  24. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    Some combination of the following will happen: - We will limit the speed of transmission of the virus through constraining interpersonal contact (and hopefully vaccination, in the long run), allowing the natural resolution of cases to exceed new cases - So many people will be infected (not...
  25. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    You're describing the inflection point in the growth curve, which will happen, but that's not herd immunity.
  26. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    I think you mean, "Everyone is sick" levels. Herd immunity is when a large enough fraction of the population is immune such that the disease can't spread. That's the opposite of what's happening here.
  27. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    The point is, in order to avoid becoming Italy you have to take steps before there is an actual manifest crisis. Everyone staying home and then nothing happening is exactly the target outcome.
  28. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    The case designations cannot be taken seriously. They say currently there are only 10 "serious" cases in the entire US. There are more ICU patients than that in NY state alone. If you look at worldometer's methodology, they're scraping news stories for data. Anything beyond total case count and...
  29. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    Edit: Ok, being fair. That requires some nuance to be accurate. "Until symptoms" can include mild cough of a sort that wouldn't stop someone from going about their normal daily business. As a practical matter, that might as well be asymptomatic. There is some early research detailing patients...
  30. Captain Suave

    Investing General Discussion

    You're right, it isn't, chart I'd found applied to something else.
  31. Captain Suave

    Investing General Discussion

    Edit: I'm wrong.
  32. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    The US added as many new cases on the 14th as we had total cases on the 9th. Exponents...
  33. Captain Suave

    MMA Thread

    Sorry, I suffer from an autistic sense of humor over the internet. IRL too, for that matter.
  34. Captain Suave

    MMA Thread

    I've rolled with GnP, yeah, though obviously not getting hit that hard by that caliber athlete with 4oz gloves. I don't think it's controversial to say that was odd from Lee. Even Bisbing thought so.
  35. Captain Suave

    MMA Thread

    That was weird. I'm a BJJ brown belt, been training for 10 years. I've been choked out a handful of times, and on the verge of it hundreds of times. I can't recall ever being unaware of tapping or not.
  36. Captain Suave

    MMA Thread

    Why in the fuck would you shoot lazy on a lanky grappler like that?
  37. Captain Suave

    MMA Thread

    They both look gassed as hell. I would have expected better cardio from lightweights.
  38. Captain Suave

    MMA Thread

    Lee better watch his knees turning in those calf slicing positions. It's easy to blow an ACL or meniscus.
  39. Captain Suave

    Coronavirus Updates, Important Information, and Ancedotal Experience

    Yeah. % resolved cases fatal is not a very useful metric right now given the long recovery time.