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Yep. One second is probably like, 100-1000 iterations of their control system. My control systems have checks for a single iteration being goofy, and any kind of jitter is very noticeable and tracked down very seriously. If one iteration of totally wrong feedback is a weird twitch in your...

It's a good opportunity for people who aren't sure if they want to curate museums or develop games.

EQ VR would be terrible, it's too UI based.

Yes. Casually. It's actually a lot of fun.

For EQ at least, there's no reason they can't treat it like a cash cow indefinitely and just have a minimal dev team making minimal amounts of content. There's no need to try and revitalize the game, it's doing fine for what it is, and there's no excuse for it to not be revenue positive. DBG...

People are generally happy with it. There's some issues here and there, but the content is not buggy, good and enough to progress through. There's enough to do for a month or two casually. The massive number of fairly diluted and uninteresting AAs is daunting. For some classes there aren't that...

Next Big Future: Cannae will try to prove propellentless propulsion in space in 2017 and has ambitious space probe designs with 33 years of constant acceleration to reach 3% of lightspeed I'll take an avatar bet with anyone that Cannae will never launch a Cannae drive-driven space probe.

Asteroid Mining should have its own section (Planetary REsources, Deep Space Industries). It's the future!

Betteridge's law of headlines - Wikipedia

Did bounties through all the acts and did a rift. Also read a bit about the current meta of the game: http://us.battle.net/forums/en/d3/topic/17346426537 Monk Leveling and Fresh 70 Guide (Patch 2.4.2 / Season 8) It seems like the way to play is to pick a torment level you can faceroll, and just...

Cool. Ill check it out.

Came back to D3 after not playing since before RoS came out. Started off on default difficulty, kept cranking it up and got to torment I before finishing RoS. It seemed like it only took 3 hours to beat RoS, not really sure what to think but it felt uhh, really short. I didn't expect much and...

Well, there's a lot of possibilities and nobody has made a real industry standard way that everyone follows. Like anything else there's a spectrum of possibilities from low-end to ultra-futuristic-cool. On the low end you have a perception system that uses SLAM to map out what is immediately...

Re: the above truck picture, we've all been there in the northern states. Not like Kentucky. There's a textbook approach autonomy uses called Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM), where perception data is compared with previously generated models and live data to perform both...

landfill automation would be goofy. I don't know anything about landfills, but I imagine you'd have to carefully model deformable terrain while driving on it. No idea how much a landfill operator intuitively understands that by knowing generally what's in the garbage he's driving over.

On and re: GPS, with current tech you can expect that 3 meter bubble, but that can be heavily reduced with different methods of what's called differential GPS correction. Most error is atmospheric, so if you know what the current error is in a given location you can offset based on that...

Yes. Certain types of Ground Penetrating Radar can find ground beneath snow. MIT Lincoln Laboratory: News: Lincoln Laboratory demonstrates highly accurate vehicle localization under adverse weather conditions Ground Penetrating Radar Equipment for Ice and Snow Surveys - GSSI Ice and Snow -...

Yes, you'd absolutely need a fairly accurate world model generated from pre-snow data. That's what Ford is doing to do accurate localization (figuring out where the vehicle is) after heavy snowfall when there are no lane markings. Once you have that, you've got a optimization problem of trying...

Yeah it's much harder than that. Everytime you plow it'll require a different solution and you'll need a very smart system that can handle it an uncontrolled environment with a lot of precision.

Autonomous snow plows is a really, really hard problem. A good plow driver moves snow with a 3 ton truck with surgical precision, and can only do so because he's plowed that area many times and knows where all the curbs, bumps and gaps are buried beneath the snow. They have to operate with an...

@jihodj remind me new years day in 2019 about this bet

No idea how correct the above is, I'm sure those elements of AI are used at different levels, but I expect the truth is much more complex and less elegant than what they publish (and that's ok). I'm fine with extending it to Dec 31, 2018. Let me know what you want the duration of the avatar to...

The four spinny things on top are Velodyne HDL32 lidar, about $32k each (Ford gets an unknown discount I'm sure). Ford is working hand in hand with Velodyne to develop the next gen lidar. The course they are on is Univ Michigan's MCity autonomous testing course. I toured it when it opened and...

Ford is working on winter driving. Part of the problem is that the people speaking about vehicular autonomy are selling a product/brand, or are researchers trying to get grant money. All the automotive companies are in the dust compared to Google, and they're all trying to step up their game...

I don't think Tesla will make that because: 1. They haven't demonstrated much yet. 2. They're generally late (and that's ok). I'm excited to see what they put out though. Let's do an avatar bet that Tesla doesn't have a level 5 autonomous car in the hands of consumers by Q1 2018. Note that...

What's funny is the evening after I made this post I was approaching a red light during a sunset. As it turned green the car traveling perpendicularly to me and toward the sun screeched to halt in the middle of the intersection. He backed up and gave me a sheepish look as I safely turned on his...

In five years youll probably see freightliner, peterbilt and some others with very limited releases of freeway driving trucks being tested.

What Tesla has in market now, supercruise, is imminent. It works well on the highway in good conditions. Delphi, Bosch et all have a system that's going into new cars and I think it'll be a standard feature in luxury cars in 5-10 years. But general purpose autonomy like the google car is...

I think at 1N/W you have a perpetual motion machine.

Politics Thread

I think you'd just have something that would quickly burn up and a bunch of nerds would argue whether its orbit was decaying the right way. These things produce so much heat that thermal expansion of the heat sink is the primary possible error source.

As cool as V2x is, it's not a generalized solution and future-looking autonomy is going to have to work on that dirt road in the back of your hunting ground, or anywhere really. Besides that, most vehicles won't know where they are with a huge degree of accuracy and you'll absolutely want some...

Very feasible and vehicle to vehicle and vehicle to infrastructure comms are being actively worked on: Vehicle-to-vehicle - Wikipedia http://www.nhtsa.gov/staticfiles/rulemaking/pdf/V2V/Readiness-of-V2V-Technology-for-Application-812014.pdf

The Impossible' EmDrive Thruster Has Cleared Its First Credibility Hurdle - D-brief

There's a tremendous amount of focus on security and it's a huge issue but I think it'll end up being easier to hack vehicles by dropping a boulder off an overpass onto them. Somebody actually did that to my aunt and it was inches away from killing my cousin when he was a baby.

Yep, and that's just one of the many behavioral challenges that autonomous vehicles have to surmount to be production ready. And it's easy-mode in the US compared to other countries. In places like India motorcyclists can just be modeled via fluid dynamics given how little they observe any laws...

Motorcycles are a significant case that autonomy has to solve, but I expect that it's one of the many cases where autonomy will be able to track motorcycles with much better accuracy than human drivers will, even if it's a problematic case today for Tesla or whomever else. Motorcycles are tough...