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for more:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem

The last time someone was this dense his name was Merlin and I rrp'd him for a few days. Choose your next posts carefully Araysar because you'll find yourself in his position. Who knows maybe you'll learn from it and take some stats classes in community college.

Because you're required to complete two rounds. The second round forces you to chose to stay the same or you choose to switch. It's an irrelevant point I made to agree with some dumb shit you said earlier, pay no attention to it. That's the crux of the issue, it's been explained to you in enough...

Let's be exhaustive here: 1. Your odds of selecting the correct door in the first round are 1/1000. 2. Your odds of winning in the first round are 0. 3. Your odds of winning if you keep your choice in the second round are 1/1000 4. Your odds of winning if you choose are 1 - 1/1000 or 999/1000.

for fun: Start: ManA: $10 ManB: $10 ManC: $10 Hotel: $0 Bellhop: $0 Pay for Lodging: ManA: $0 ManB: $0 ManC: $0 Hotel: $30 Bellhop: $0 Hotel Refund Lodging: ManA: $1 ManB: $1 ManC: $1 Hotel: $25 Bellhop: $2 End delta: ManA: -$9 ManB: -$9 ManC: -$9 Hotel: +$25...

ftfy

I think he's like a fat chick at a party where everyone else is men.

Araysar makes me glad I'm in a profession where being as wrong as he is means you will fail.

Is there a huge rift between current xbox360 and ps3 games? Everytime I saw a comparison they looked very similar.

One sure sign of being confused is making shit more complicated than it is.

Araysar did you run that simulation yet?

Maybe Araysar isn't trolling since now he's backpeddling. I like how he puts valid in quotations to soften the blow of admitting he's full of shit.

I wouldn't say it's silly. Really the variance in optimal builds has narrowed greatly over the last ten years so it makes sense that the latest consoles have very similar specs. It is a little odd that they have nearly the same exact specs though. One thing is for sure, it's good for the...

Whether you get the result you're still picking a goat or a car.

President Boehner!

Ok now you're just fucking with us. Stop ruining the schaedenfreude I get from these threads with fake misunderstanding!

Are the odds in Lejina's 1million-1 goat example also 50/50? Nah, the idea is that when you switch you're the getting the best of two doors. In Lejina's example you're getting the best of 999,999 doors.

Maybe if you throw some more insults in there you'll convince yourself you are right.

Yeah I don't see it anywhere. Not that it's inordinately early.

You ever go to their beer tasting? Next month is Oktober Fest style beers: http://www.arborbrewing.com/events/

Araysar once you accept that you're wrong you can start on the path of enlightenment and follow in the footsteps of Merlin.

It's ironic that the voting on this poll is very close to 66/33 split, which is the probability split of winning if you switch.

I never watched that show. Did he ever pick the suitcases?

yeah whose team are you on Tarrant?

I agree with your post, but Britain didn't vote 'fuck off cunt'. It was a very close vote and if it went the other way wouldn't be a ringing endorsement either. Personally I think the best thing for America would have been for Obama to establish a precedent of non-invasion, so that future...

Looks like it was done in a college town, so probably not fake.

Tanoomba, nothing you said at all addressed the points he made and how they don't destroy your world view. It's pretty disingenuous to respond to that with a bunch of shitty loaded questions and you should be embarrassed.

Maybe it's the recording but that video looks like it uses ENB.

damn tano is still hoisting that sig?

I turned sigs off, what does it say?

It's a cool problem. The trick for me to understand it was knowing that the host would always open the door to a goat.

Nobody is disputing that. You don't need to make it personal to refute his terrible, terrible opinions.

You're no fun! Fine we'll do this slowly. If he said nothing at all do you think Syria would be signing the chem weapons treaty with the UN?

Hey there's no reason to bring a man's profession into this. Either he's right or he's wrong, and he's not making an argument from his own authority.

Sorry I didn't mean dumb as in, "Based on my knowledge this will not work!" I mean dumb as in it's a fucking sailboat in outer space. I think it could work and I'd love to see some sailboats floating around in space. They might even have a certain majesticism to them.

Only thing worse than armchairing the president is talking shit about the actions taken and refusing to offer alternatives!

You should take Eyashusa on that bet.

Yup. It's pretty embarrassing. How should Pres. Obama have handled it and how would that improve things?