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Looks like a lot of people jumped ship before the weekend. We're in for a race between hope and realizing what's coming. The most terrifying trigger in the market right now is the buildup of securities that have lost value and the banks are deferring margin calls on. That can't be sustained...

Crude oil if you can store it is probably the best investment opportunity out there right now. It'll take a while, but those prices will go up.

Free money is the reaper.

Looks like the euphoria from free_money++ is wearing off already. They'll have to start talking about bailout 2.0 at this point.

So are we technically in a bull market again?

TBH, I think any bailout being secured by an equity stake is completely reasonable. Make the gov shares non exchangeable, and make it mandatory that the company buy back gov stocks (no refusal allowed) before any other stocks. Stock prices are deflated, so you could have the equity stake come at...

I think we'll stay pretty optimistic until the end of next week or so, but short term markets are hard to predict. Could implode by the end of today, or we might get as much as 3-4 weeks of optimism. I'm still positioned 100% cash and govies. Would be nice to profit on this upswing, but I'm...

I won't try to teach you the details of this because you obviously won't understand it, but I'm glad you have the faintest glimmer in your head that there is a difference. That's why I said not all negative results are bad, because it can be a matter of framing from a human perspective. But...

It'll be interest to see what kicks the recession back into gear. I did some research into how the fingers of REITs and similar holdings are playing in the markets. MBS market is in turmoil right now. Lots of hand slapping going around with organizations that use them as their main security...

False rallies like this always happen. Negative positions get popular, and at some point you gotta blow them up.

Mudcrush was smart enough to figure it out. Why can you take the root of a positive number and not a negative number without introducing special rules. There's a lot more than that, but obviously I'm wasting my time with you.

Their their, dont loose you're mined

1²=-1² In the negative spectrum you cannot do this operation in reverse, hense the imaginary number. That's the start of the path, walk it yourself bozo.

It's gonna be fun seeing how the markets react to the numbers tomorrow. It'll be a small taste of what's to come in the next few months, and I bet it's bitter.

For anyone feeling bad about their fund's preformance, go have a look at how leverage is preforming. Pretty much every one of those you can click on and see a MASSIVE crater. Extreme volatility is not ideal for playing with leverage. There's a lot of rich people who aint so rich no more...

The hopium has been flowing pretty hard, and we're still weeks from hospitals having trouble in the US. It wouldn't surprise me to see a false recovery for two weeks or so. We're way ahead of schedule on this crash.

I am one furry on a gaming nerd board, though I'll take full responsibility for causing this entire economic crash.

With this much panic and the liquidity issues as bad as they are, it is possible. This crash has been worse than the 1929 crash so far, and the outlook is still poor. The offer of unlimited QE has the potential to turn this economy into post wwi germany, where the reparations are going to the...

I've mentioned before that I see a 5-8k bottom possibility, though I'll likely buy in by 12k. The disease definitely the largest cause for movements, though they are going to be made worse by the underlying condition of credit problems. This is worse in cities and with old people, and that is...

My opinion on REITs has always been no. I have a very poor perception of their business model in general, thus haven't researched them in any strong detail. A quick perusal of the companies fundamentals atm make me believe they'll survive. They appear to be overvalued, and with perception of...

REITs are getting slaughtered by the market, which isn't surprising. As an investment fad, most are very over-valued and some are pretty much just scams. I forsee some getting liquidated and common stock holders getting exactly 0$ from their investment. This is a potential source of turmoil in...

This free liquidity and massive repo operations are not the right way forward. The Fed's quest to destroy the economy is still very alive and worrisome. I'm willing to bet there are at least a few funds that should have gone under and stayed afloat with this. Soon they are gonna go under even...

This fight between the house and senate is really unexpected. The optics are gonna look fucking AWFUL for the dems if it drags out even a couple days, and the markets are going to hate it.

Will be interesting to see where futures go. That stimulus is huge, but looks to be strongly bottom up (as it should be), with loans for businesses rather than bailouts. I'm curious where the text will end up and if it leaves a lot of questions on the table for large industries. It's way too...

We've been getting so monday slaughters over the last month. I think some panic about the upcoming weekend is a likely explanation. Plus it seems like the gov is [rightly] finally realizing it needs to think about the economy from a people level and just let stocks crater. They'll go back up...

Positive numbers are our perceptions, that is what I explicitly said. And we have chosen to attach positive numbers to reality. As such, negative numbers must be relegated to human concepts because of that. Could you flip it around and attach negative numbers to reality? Yes, but the rules of...

Nothing in nature is negative, ever. If you want to go further toward the truth, the sum of nature stays the same too. If you have two apples and eat one, You have one apple and one apple that is mashed up and being processed by your body as food. It still exists, though we would no longer call...

I was thinking in terms of economic impact.

I'm curious if people have noticed this in their areas. I live in a heavily republican area and nobody gives a fuck about the quarantine. Vast majority of businesses are open and busy, including ones "shut down". I have a feeling this is going to hit democratic strongholds a LOT harder than...

With the drumbeat of we have a cure so strong, I think we'll see another late rally friday. Then come around monday get when people aint cured, we'll see another crash. Trying to guess short term emotions of the market is pretty hard though. This thing could fall off a cliff today.

Canada is gonna be able to use its money for toilet paper soon at least.

ECB announced a 750billio euro injection into the markets. I feel about as confident in that as a meth head telling me they'll fund my college for some meth. The need for liquidity suggests a run on a scale that could be even worse than the great depression. Things could get BAD.

I predicted a 20% slide with a 4 year recovery window starting march back in january and have slowly worsened my outlook as things have gone.

I feel like we're seeing all the mistakes of the great depression again. I'm starting to lean to a possibility of markets going below 10(!!!!)k and huge problems in the monetary system as a whole. What's going to really hurt is buying back in as stocks are tumbling. Long term your money will be...

That bet on here for 19k stock market might be realized today. I really do not fucking understand what they are doing with this stimulus package and quarantine. Do they really think tossing a trillion dollars into this bon-fire again will do anything but set it aflame? We're only a week or two...

You don't understand human nature. People like to panic, and panic is contagious. The stock market is the market most tied to emotions. It's the exact reasoning I gave when I predicted this crash hitting stocks first in january. Don't worry, the contagion will spread eventually, but for now the...

My crystal ball is that we'll see two weeks of relative calm in comparison to what we have seen as theirs mild optimism this shutdown will have an effect. After that, when the death curve starts to resolve around april and quarantines fail, market will start to panic. I've been eyeing mid to...

Their fear is a nuke from orbit in the form of democratic lawmaking.

Entertainment and hospitality stocks are going to get thrashed in this environment, but they also have a liquid low-skill workforce that makes it much easier for them to dump employees and wait it out to restart quickly when things are better. I think travel and hotels will have a longer-term...

We're to the point where you're probably okay putting money back in. I'm still sitting out a bit more, but we're definitely entering the realm of clown world where the fed could destroy the entire economy trying to save equity values. They have burned out everything normal in the tool box and...