Search results

Don't worry. It's normal to see my posts as more reasonable the deeper you fall into acceptance.

What really fucked everyone was europe keeping its rates negative. Their hog-tied retarded economies meant there was big business in borrowing there and stashing the money here, and that only would have been worse if rates went up. Europe was the source of this world credit disease.

euro stocks down 10% and they didn't have our rally. Could be multiple limit stops today. Hold onto your seats.

Asian markets down when they didn't have our rally on friday. We in for a beating tomorrow it looks like. Fed blowing its load way too fast and early.

I am still expecting recovery to some degree. Fed is creating lots of free cash and the news this weekend was more good than bad. I think it's optimistic to limit volatility to just two weeks. We're in for a few months of volatility minimum imo.

Bit coin's value is determined by criminal agencies and is bolstered by west coast hipsters investing. Because of this is far more risky than a substantial good. While the criminal need will be constant, the investment added value is subject to large fluctuations. It's truly an odd currency...

It's really, really hard to consistently outperform the SP500

Trump doesn't seem to have any real understanding of the disease, but it appears he's relying on his advisors to get one. I can't really blame him for that, but at least his voice sounds more normal today. I can see why markets reacted positively to this. Dunno if it will carry to next week.

Markets have been consistently brutalized on mondays the last month, and we've seen a few last minute rallies on friday. There's definitely a lot of craziness in the market.

He's lost less than others, but he's taking a beating like a lot of people. He's been moving to a slightly more conservative position for a while, which has been a reason that people have been making fun of him in the past year. Probably won't be saying that next year.

oof, all that free fed money into the system over night and this is what we get. What could go wrong if they keep it up.

I just can't see volatility going away. People are all nuts about this virus and we'll probably get some big swings up and down just like we've been getting. Having a calm day would almost feel weird at this point. I also really think the fed has lost the narrative, which makes me scared they...

That's one way of putting it. Of course hedge funds would never ever bundle their junk securities like mortgage holdings and bonds they view as worthless into vehicles to sell to each other and the fed and then gamble the money they get on leveraged bets to try and return to solvency. I mean...

If they used it responsibly in a perfect world.

This is a bad idea. It looks like they're doing something on paper, but the something they're doing is either going to backfire and amplify losses to come or crash the currency which is even worse then the stock market imploding for a few months.

Luxuries has been sitting on an astronomical mountain of cash the last few years. Probably a prudent move if they are looking long term.

The market is also tied to panicking old people and their money. Analysts can see into the future all they want, if the demand keeps going down, then so will prices. Equities can only be worth what people will pay for them. The major panic event I've stated I'm looking for is trump getting...

With the speed of this decline before much bad news really started to spread, I'm pretty certain we're still in for some major declines this year. A low in the 15-19k range is starting to look more likely.

Boeing is one of companies that is probably bulletproof. I'd say its a safe bet long term, but risky under 5 years, cause its getting turbo thrashed atm.

I'm entirely cash/bonds atm, exactly like I said I was doing since the start of feb. Had a few % of short for a bit, but most of my investments don't allow it. Pretty not stressed.

This. If things get so bad that you need to flee your home, rednecks will probably get you unless you really know what you're doing. That's one of the main reasons I had a thermal scope as one of my high priorities in my first covid prep post. Bit pricey, but extremely useful in that situation.

They really don't like it.

It's true. For a bugout bag: A pot to cook things, something to start fires and water filtration are the main concerns of any bugout bag, and they're useful to preppers. A revolver should be a high priority as well. Very simple to use and maintain. In this current situation, food and water...

Guess the markets decided they don't like it.

Trump gave a pretty decent speech. The big problem is that the content isn't going to be what people want to hear. Hard to figure out how the markets will react. It's pretty obvious now that this is going to be a bleak year no matter what we do. We'll survive, but its gonna definitely cause some...

There gonna be a lot of industries that need propping up. It's easy to make general promises to the first ones getting effected, but it won't be realistic to save everyone with this event. Boeing is not going to go away. The US needs that company. The US doesn't need cruise ships.

We're at where I originally said I'd buy back in at -20%, but I was expecting it in mid-late april. I think its reasonable time for a long term investor to buy back in or put money in the market, but I expect more loses so I'm still out.

Crash != volatility. Almost every day for the last 3 weeks the markets have moved more up or down than most years highest percentage movement.

The volatility of this market is pretty sick. The last 3 weeks of this market have probably been the most volatile in the market's history. These 4-5% swings happening fucking daily are just insane. The swings in the currency market give a small idea of the money moving around. The dollar...

Interesting and pretty extreme. There must be a massive concern over default rates. The credit market is already a complete disaster, a spike in otherwise good mortgages defaulting could topple things.

lulz

No tool in the fed's box can stop this. They shouldn't try to stop it either, they should be focused on forcing firms into lower-risk environments in order to give companies the best chance to weather it, rather than trying to prevent it.

Better than most of the dip suggestions given here. I think a broad-market approach is the best bet when I buy back in. There's going to be a lot of risk of changes to the economic system as a whole which may have huge impacts on industries in hard to predict ways. That said, I view the risk of...

Extremely against. Weakening requirements when loose standards lead to this situation being ready to pop is exactly the wrong way to go. The great depression should have been a lesson on trying to stop inevitable pain. It doesn't work and probably makes it worse.

All you guys buying before it dips and complaining about the drops are litterally making me chortle. You really think the stock markets are gonna go up when they start quarantining cities/states, when trump gets sick? Those things are gonna happen, so button up. Lets not even mention the swing...

Feeling pretty good about that right now.

I'm worried about the political situation around cruise ships going forward. Should do some research into local action against them and general opinions on the ground from mariners who deal with them before being quick to assume it'll blow over instantly. Sure they'll recover, but I think it...

There won't be any. The super high price is probably more a symbolic sign of units being completely sold out and nobody willing to sell and the ETF currently can't make more. People aren't actually paying that unless something messed up.

I don't really think this current market can be compared to anything else. Things are getting bizarre out there. While I was originally predicting a 20% correction at the start of feb, I think this was too optimistic now. I think we have another 6-8 weeks of panic and bad news ahead of us. which...

The time I was thinking to buy back in mid-to late april feels a long way away now. We'll probably approach the -20% I was looking for today. We haven't even seen the fallout of the one thing I was looking for as my buy-in crash signal, trump getting diagnosed with corona from his india visit...