Search results

  1. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    I feel like we're seeing all the mistakes of the great depression again. I'm starting to lean to a possibility of markets going below 10(!!!!)k and huge problems in the monetary system as a whole. What's going to really hurt is buying back in as stocks are tumbling. Long term your money will be...
  2. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    That bet on here for 19k stock market might be realized today. I really do not fucking understand what they are doing with this stimulus package and quarantine. Do they really think tossing a trillion dollars into this bon-fire again will do anything but set it aflame? We're only a week or two...
  3. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    You don't understand human nature. People like to panic, and panic is contagious. The stock market is the market most tied to emotions. It's the exact reasoning I gave when I predicted this crash hitting stocks first in january. Don't worry, the contagion will spread eventually, but for now the...
  4. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    My crystal ball is that we'll see two weeks of relative calm in comparison to what we have seen as theirs mild optimism this shutdown will have an effect. After that, when the death curve starts to resolve around april and quarantines fail, market will start to panic. I've been eyeing mid to...
  5. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Their fear is a nuke from orbit in the form of democratic lawmaking.
  6. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Entertainment and hospitality stocks are going to get thrashed in this environment, but they also have a liquid low-skill workforce that makes it much easier for them to dump employees and wait it out to restart quickly when things are better. I think travel and hotels will have a longer-term...
  7. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    We're to the point where you're probably okay putting money back in. I'm still sitting out a bit more, but we're definitely entering the realm of clown world where the fed could destroy the entire economy trying to save equity values. They have burned out everything normal in the tool box and...
  8. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Don't worry. It's normal to see my posts as more reasonable the deeper you fall into acceptance.
  9. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    What really fucked everyone was europe keeping its rates negative. Their hog-tied retarded economies meant there was big business in borrowing there and stashing the money here, and that only would have been worse if rates went up. Europe was the source of this world credit disease.
  10. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    euro stocks down 10% and they didn't have our rally. Could be multiple limit stops today. Hold onto your seats.
  11. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Asian markets down when they didn't have our rally on friday. We in for a beating tomorrow it looks like. Fed blowing its load way too fast and early.
  12. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    I am still expecting recovery to some degree. Fed is creating lots of free cash and the news this weekend was more good than bad. I think it's optimistic to limit volatility to just two weeks. We're in for a few months of volatility minimum imo.
  13. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Bit coin's value is determined by criminal agencies and is bolstered by west coast hipsters investing. Because of this is far more risky than a substantial good. While the criminal need will be constant, the investment added value is subject to large fluctuations. It's truly an odd currency...
  14. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    It's really, really hard to consistently outperform the SP500
  15. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Trump doesn't seem to have any real understanding of the disease, but it appears he's relying on his advisors to get one. I can't really blame him for that, but at least his voice sounds more normal today. I can see why markets reacted positively to this. Dunno if it will carry to next week.
  16. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Markets have been consistently brutalized on mondays the last month, and we've seen a few last minute rallies on friday. There's definitely a lot of craziness in the market.
  17. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    He's lost less than others, but he's taking a beating like a lot of people. He's been moving to a slightly more conservative position for a while, which has been a reason that people have been making fun of him in the past year. Probably won't be saying that next year.
  18. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    oof, all that free fed money into the system over night and this is what we get. What could go wrong if they keep it up.
  19. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    I just can't see volatility going away. People are all nuts about this virus and we'll probably get some big swings up and down just like we've been getting. Having a calm day would almost feel weird at this point. I also really think the fed has lost the narrative, which makes me scared they...
  20. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    That's one way of putting it. Of course hedge funds would never ever bundle their junk securities like mortgage holdings and bonds they view as worthless into vehicles to sell to each other and the fed and then gamble the money they get on leveraged bets to try and return to solvency. I mean...
  21. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    If they used it responsibly in a perfect world.
  22. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    This is a bad idea. It looks like they're doing something on paper, but the something they're doing is either going to backfire and amplify losses to come or crash the currency which is even worse then the stock market imploding for a few months.
  23. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Luxuries has been sitting on an astronomical mountain of cash the last few years. Probably a prudent move if they are looking long term.
  24. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    The market is also tied to panicking old people and their money. Analysts can see into the future all they want, if the demand keeps going down, then so will prices. Equities can only be worth what people will pay for them. The major panic event I've stated I'm looking for is trump getting...
  25. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    With the speed of this decline before much bad news really started to spread, I'm pretty certain we're still in for some major declines this year. A low in the 15-19k range is starting to look more likely.
  26. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Boeing is one of companies that is probably bulletproof. I'd say its a safe bet long term, but risky under 5 years, cause its getting turbo thrashed atm.
  27. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    I'm entirely cash/bonds atm, exactly like I said I was doing since the start of feb. Had a few % of short for a bit, but most of my investments don't allow it. Pretty not stressed.
  28. Furry

    The Prepper Thread

    This. If things get so bad that you need to flee your home, rednecks will probably get you unless you really know what you're doing. That's one of the main reasons I had a thermal scope as one of my high priorities in my first covid prep post. Bit pricey, but extremely useful in that situation.
  29. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    They really don't like it.
  30. Furry

    The Prepper Thread

    It's true. For a bugout bag: A pot to cook things, something to start fires and water filtration are the main concerns of any bugout bag, and they're useful to preppers. A revolver should be a high priority as well. Very simple to use and maintain. In this current situation, food and water...
  31. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Guess the markets decided they don't like it.
  32. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Trump gave a pretty decent speech. The big problem is that the content isn't going to be what people want to hear. Hard to figure out how the markets will react. It's pretty obvious now that this is going to be a bleak year no matter what we do. We'll survive, but its gonna definitely cause some...
  33. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    There gonna be a lot of industries that need propping up. It's easy to make general promises to the first ones getting effected, but it won't be realistic to save everyone with this event. Boeing is not going to go away. The US needs that company. The US doesn't need cruise ships.
  34. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    We're at where I originally said I'd buy back in at -20%, but I was expecting it in mid-late april. I think its reasonable time for a long term investor to buy back in or put money in the market, but I expect more loses so I'm still out.
  35. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Crash != volatility. Almost every day for the last 3 weeks the markets have moved more up or down than most years highest percentage movement.
  36. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    The volatility of this market is pretty sick. The last 3 weeks of this market have probably been the most volatile in the market's history. These 4-5% swings happening fucking daily are just insane. The swings in the currency market give a small idea of the money moving around. The dollar...
  37. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Interesting and pretty extreme. There must be a massive concern over default rates. The credit market is already a complete disaster, a spike in otherwise good mortgages defaulting could topple things.
  38. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    lulz
  39. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    No tool in the fed's box can stop this. They shouldn't try to stop it either, they should be focused on forcing firms into lower-risk environments in order to give companies the best chance to weather it, rather than trying to prevent it.
  40. Furry

    Investing General Discussion

    Better than most of the dip suggestions given here. I think a broad-market approach is the best bet when I buy back in. There's going to be a lot of risk of changes to the economic system as a whole which may have huge impacts on industries in hard to predict ways. That said, I view the risk of...