Go look at a hashrate chart, yes some miners unplug but most keep going. Price drops don't significantly impact hashrate. A grid needs demand, Bitcoin mining is ideal demand.
Are you just arguing for the sake of arguing? This isn't controversial at all.
You're overstating a very narrow point and inflating it into a universal truth. Yes, Bitcoin miners can act as interruptible load, and yes ERCOT has found ways to monetize that flexibility. Nobody is denying that Bitcoin mining
can be a net positive in certain grid architectures with certain pricing regimes.
But here's the part you're skipping: It isn't because Bitcoin is magical grid infrastructure - it's because
any large, interruptible, price-sensitive load provides the same benefit. It doesn't have to be proof-of-work hash operations. Data centers, desalination, aluminum smelting, compute farms, synthetic fuel production, etc. They all serve the same function.
Bitcoin just happens to be the current buyer of last resort because mining is mobile, energy-price sensitive, indifferent to geography and revenue-generating. But that's not a property of Bitcoin the asset, it's a property of
any industry where revenue > marginal energy cost.
And as far as, "Go look at a hashrate chart… price drops don’t significantly impact hashrate." - Hashrate tracks price with a lag, every cycle. When price falls far enough for long enough, miners capitulate. It's happened in every bear market since genesis. In 2014 you had miner wipeouts, in 2018 you had miner bankruptcies, and in 2022 you had core scientific implodes.
The hashrate doesn't magically stay because miners "believe." It stays because price hasn't been low enough, long enough, to kill them. If BTC hits sustained unprofitability, hashrate will fall, because electricity bills don't care about ideology.
Also, saying Bitcoin provides "ideal demand" glosses over the fact that it adds volatility to load forecasts, it distorts power pricing signals, it competes directly with ratepayers for energy, and its economic incentive to locate in distressed grids is not altruism. If the U.S. tax regime, energy pricing rules, or emissions laws change, that "grid benefit" evaporates overnight.
It's a temporary alignment of incentives. Treating that as a
universal truth instead of a contingent one is why this starts to sound less like economics and more like evangelism.