Fantasy Football 2014 Advice Thread!

Grimmlokk

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
12,190
135
Allen Robinson @ Cincy or Michael Crabtree vs Lambs ?
Robinson. The big play potential is there. Crabtree hasn't broken 50 yards since week 3 and 5 receptions since week 4. Robinson meanwhile has become shockingly steady. 9-10 targets a game for 5+ catches and 50+ yards every week pretty much.

Pick 3:
Andre holmes
Torrey Smith
Martavius Bryant
Keenan Allen
Dwyane Bowe
I mean, Holmes is finding the endzone. It's a gamble but it's probably worth it.

Allen you have to play, even though I fucking hate him he's finally getting targets these last couple weeks. I mildly regret dropping him.

3rd is tough. Smith is random as fuck and career against the Steelers he's had 2 good 1 mediocre, and 4 bad games. I'd find it hard to rely on him. So between Bowe and Bryant you're either gambling on the hot rookie finding the endzone again or Bowe getting you a pretty steady 5ish catches and 50 yards(I know, it's better than I thought this year too) and no whiff of the endzone. I'd probably lean towards Bryant, but don't expect him to keep scoring. It's not like Ben is going to throw for 6 TDs again.
 

Grimmlokk

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
12,190
135
OK I'm pretty much decided on these, but curious if anyone has reasoning that might change my mind.

WR2:
Doug Baldwin vs. Oakland
Mike Wallace vs. SD
Brandon LaFell vs. Denver

I'm going Baldwin right now. #1 target and I expect Seattle to have a huge game against the lowly Raiders in Seattle. But LaFell home vs. Denver in a game where Brady will be slinging it is pretty tempting, even though he's been shit every other week and this is due to be a shit week. Wallace has been the most reliable of course, and only has 2 games without a TD.


I'm also debating playing Alex Smith over Carson Palmer as QB2. Palmer has been rock solid since getting healthy, but Smith is playing the fucking Jets...who in our league their best game against a QB so far was week 1 at 17.9 points. 19.6 in week 3 is their 2nd best and 27+ every other week. That's insanity.
 

Muurloen

Pronouns: zie/zhem/zer
14,030
40,073
I don't buy into Baldwin much or any Seachickens player outside of Lynch and Wilson. Seattle is a run first team that will pound the crap out of the Raiders and will continue to run the ball to kill the clock.

Pats vs Denver has the appearance of a shoot out, but I tend to favor reliability than a possible explosive day of production.

I'd go Wallace vs SD.
 

Grimmlokk

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
12,190
135
Baldwin has 10 and 8 targets in the 2 games since Harvin left. He's getting work. So between that and Oakland playing in Seattle I think it's worth the play. Probably...
 

Muurloen

Pronouns: zie/zhem/zer
14,030
40,073
Baldwin has 10 and 8 targets in the 2 games since Harvin left. He's getting work. So between that and Oakland playing in Seattle I think it's worth the play. Probably...
He has been targeted a ton because Seattle has been involved in close games those two weeks. This will be a blowout win for them thus the need to pass will be not as great, and strategically as a team you want the clock to keep running as much as possible.
 

Grimmlokk

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
12,190
135
Good enough, I'm convinced to go with Wallace again. CONSISTENCY!

Lost last week(fuck you Cam and Julius) so always tempted to over-tinker the next week.
 
6,216
8
Why is that?
He plays great at home and the Rams have the 27th ranked run defense

rrr_img_80516.png
 

Grimmlokk

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
12,190
135
They're 13th against the run in fantasy points allowed and that's inflated by last week when they gave up 3 rushing TD's. Previous 3 weeks they only gave up 7-10pts to RB's each week. That includes against Seattle and San Fran.

I don't expect a bad week from him or anything, but I don't see it necessarily adding up to an amazing week for him. It's totally possible SF gets an early lead and he gets 20 carries and all, but it's far from a sure thing.

I'm kind of waffling between him, Giovanni, and Antonio Gates in my flex. Bernard would be the guy if he was fully healthy but he might not even play. Gates is a TD machine so I figure I'll go that way. Though every time I play him he is shit and every time I bench him he's a fucking killer.
 

Mario Speedwagon

Gold Recognition
<Prior Amod>
19,525
72,216
Robinson. The big play potential is there. Crabtree hasn't broken 50 yards since week 3 and 5 receptions since week 4. Robinson meanwhile has become shockingly steady. 9-10 targets a game for 5+ catches and 50+ yards every week pretty much.



I mean, Holmes is finding the endzone. It's a gamble but it's probably worth it.

Allen you have to play, even though I fucking hate him he's finally getting targets these last couple weeks. I mildly regret dropping him.

3rd is tough. Smith is random as fuck and career against the Steelers he's had 2 good 1 mediocre, and 4 bad games. I'd find it hard to rely on him. So between Bowe and Bryant you're either gambling on the hot rookie finding the endzone again or Bowe getting you a pretty steady 5ish catches and 50 yards(I know, it's better than I thought this year too) and no whiff of the endzone. I'd probably lean towards Bryant, but don't expect him to keep scoring. It's not like Ben is going to throw for 6 TDs again.
Like I'm going to listen to the faggot that told me to pick up the browns defense a few weeks ago!
 

Mario Speedwagon

Gold Recognition
<Prior Amod>
19,525
72,216
Yeah but I forgot to slot them after dropping my previous defense so I got zero and I blame you! My last defense would have started if it wasn't for you.
 

Convo

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
8,792
664
I have cam in other league. Guy I'm playing has Brees. Cam needs to get running
 

Genjiro

Ahn'Qiraj Raider
5,218
5,066
God, someone make sense of my rb situation.

I have Jonas Gray (NE), Zac Stacy, Bobby Rainey and Charles Sims on my bench from TB because Joique Bell and Matt Forte are both on bye (god Bell off of waivers since Montee Ball was complete shit). Sims is predicted to get a lot of touches and 11 points which seems absurd, but Rainey hasnt really done shit all year even when he had the chance. I hate NE running backs because Bellichick is a douche with running backs and I feel like its going to be a shootout and Vereen will get more touches. Stacy seems to be in the doghouse and Mason will be the starter from here on out.

Im leaning towards Gray and Sims but really I have no idea how much pt he will get. Luckily I have AB, Steve Smith and Lafell to hopefully pick up their slack...and I just need to get through this 1 week

Any thoughts? Im thinking Im fucked either way but meh