Investing General Discussion

Jysin

Jysin

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
7,371
5,998
Last week Thursday was a mega dip across the board.

Might not be over.

NVDA is selling off more today and is nearly back to the March lows.

MSFT also overtook NVDA market cap today.
 
Jysin

Jysin

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
7,371
5,998
"Anthropic unveils office tools ahead of IPO, rivalling Microsoft (MSFT), according to reports"

MSFT down on this headline.

If Microsoft is not safe vs AI, no SaaS is safe.
 
Cad

Sheriff Cad

scientia potentia est
<Nazi Janitors>
35,931
87,445
The AI companies as the new software vendors rather than just providing AI services is a new angle.
 
Jysin

Jysin

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
7,371
5,998
Bull bias hopium:

1794334891369.png
 
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Jysin

Jysin

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
7,371
5,998
Someone had been asking me for my investments. I threw the last 6 months into Claude and it spit this out:

Portfolio gain of 5.7% vs VOO (S&P500 -0.7%)
That’s about 6 points of outperformance in five and a half months, with no deposits, while you held 24–36% cash for most of the period. That’s a real result.

Where the outperformance came from: the cap-weighted S&P went nowhere for five months. You beat it by holding cash, XLV, IWM, RSP, TLT and a value sleeve.
Click to expand...

Top profitable trades in net returns order (these are closed realized gains)

1794344238475.png
 
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B_Mizzle

B_Mizzle

Naxxramas 1.0 Raider
9,425
20,451
Last thursday was the first time i lost money on an options trade and felt good about myself. Turns out I was trigger happy and if I had sat on it, would have still been good.

What's the deal with Nvidia, seems like a bargain at $170?
 
Borzak

Borzak

<Bronze Donator>
29,633
40,238
Jensen is the face of Nvidia no different than Musk is the face of Tesla. Jensen having problems is not good for Nvidia regardless of how good their shit may or may not be. In a lot of ways he is in the top number of faces for AI.

Doesn't help when you see a video of someone the last year or so laying out all the deals NVidia props up selling chips to a company that they partially own because they bought into it and such. It's a big weave so to speak.
 
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Fogel

Fogel

Mr. Poopybutthole
17,242
74,200
I noticed CAT is now flat for the year. Last earnings was a double beat and revenue is up YoY. They also have orders all the way through 2027 at least. Looks like this dip is collateral damage from the AI bubble. Thoughts?
 
Rangoth

Rangoth

Vyemm Raider
2,367
2,696
I loaded up 50k on NVDA today. Don’t quite care if I am wrong short term. My two plays are:

  1. If fast correction sell and make fast profit
  2. if not, hold for 1-2 years like I would SPY…cause you know……it’s NVDA

while in the long game it’s unlikely I’ll eat crow, anything is possible.
 
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Jysin

Jysin

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
7,371
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Sold many of last Thursday's dip buys to build my cash position back up for future ammo / opportunities. (30% cash)
 
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Jysin

Jysin

Bronze Baronet of the Realm
7,371
5,998
Fogel said:
I noticed CAT is now flat for the year. Last earnings was a double beat and revenue is up YoY. They also have orders all the way through 2027 at least. Looks like this dip is collateral damage from the AI bubble. Thoughts?
Click to expand...
CAT performance was all based on datacenters. The same trade that has been rocked across the board recently.

Also, this was Burry's perfect short timing trade. (Mike Burry of "The Big Short" fame)

1794408985220.png


 
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Rangoth

Rangoth

Vyemm Raider
2,367
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lol, looks like I loaded up a few days too early. Ohh well, sad that I missed out on more gains but I still believe NVDA is a good long term buy at these prices, thesis hasn’t changed.

I would be a bit concerned about who they replace him with though….god help me if it’s a pajeet
 
P

Pharazon2

Trakanon Raider
875
1,857
Can't believe they'd be ready to remove him that quickly because of "news he had an affair with a senior employee." If its really new news, a board should take its time doing its due diligence. Any board members should be doing whatever they can to justify keeping him there unless they want the value of their shares to drop more.

Headlines can be manipulated to help the short sellers...
 
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