Search results

  1. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    It was flushing when he made the post, turned around in a hurry.
  2. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    This isn't really worth it unless you have low income (like someone retired). Personally, a few years ago my plan was to do a Roth conversion ladder (convert traditional to Roth, pay 0% tax on it because the long term dividend tax rate allows a married couple almost $100k, season for 5 years...
  3. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Oh, and my entire point is, my original post the other day was that there's no way analysts and CFOs all over the country are unaware what a recession is, nor do I believe they think anything has gotten better this quarter. Meaning they're all gaslighting us about it. My post this morning was...
  4. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    I keep pointing it out, it's like an intro to business concept that a recession is two negative quarters of GDP. We've had one, and the 2nd one is announced at the end of the month. Stop trying to look smart. The recession is already here. You don't really think this quarter will be positive do...
  5. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Maybe all those articles about a recession not coming until 2023 were more of a warning than ignorance? Basically saying "it's going to be so much worse than 2022." Because the recession is obviously already here.
  6. Gravel

    Top Gun: Maverick (2020)

    The first had an unnamed enemy country as well. And they bombed the runway, not the hangars. You know, so planes couldn't be launched. Nitpick that an F-14 probably can't take off there if you want to be critical.
  7. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Yeah, reading that article made me smile at the misery of urban millennials.
  8. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    On the plus side, despite dropping 18% in 1990, the market finished just barely in the red by years end. And then 1991 was a 30%+ year. I don't see history repeating in this case though.
  9. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    They were probably right. But they used that time to fellate themselves about "well, we'll wait and see and maybe do something next year in February." They wasted probably 9 months where they could've reacted, and lying about something that even most lay people were calling out. I'm not...
  10. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Was thinking the same thing. Maybe had they raised them 1% a year ago we wouldn't be in this situation. You know, when they were denying inflation or claiming it would be transitory. At this point 1% just makes us bleed slightly faster.
  11. Gravel

    Lost Ark Online

    Lol, what the fuck is that response?
  12. Gravel

    Lost Ark Online

    So I think I'm done with AGS forever now. Back to back games where they've just shown they're incredibly incompetent. They took games which should've had longevity and destroyed them.
  13. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Because the US is on the verge of bankruptcy. We've got a massive amount of debt and inflation, and we have two ways to combat the inflation: 1. Raise the interest rates, but because of our massive debt, this just puts us further and further into the hole. We're already at the point where a...
  14. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

  15. Gravel

    Lost Ark Online

    Man, what happened this week? Did I quit just before the game imploded? Turned on a stream and all they're talking about is how fucked everything is.
  16. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    I talk about this often in other threads, but it's the hubris of Americans, especially every generation since the boomers, to believe that we'll forever live in prosperity. Most can't imagine that the system has any weakness, much less that it could collapse. Power outages, food shortages...
  17. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    I'd say it's not even "long term," but rather permanent. We traded a fix for permanent bad.
  18. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Nah, this is all a timebomb lots of people have been calling for once QE started. And 2020-2021 with the money expansion just compounded it all. We probably could've meandered along for another century had we kept the policies from the 1990's to 2000's. We went fucking retarded after the GFC...
  19. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Kind of makes me think we're here on the GFC (2007-2009) chart, where we bled for a good 6 months and then it really went to shit. Except this time there's nothing to really pull us out of it.
  20. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Seriously, are these people retarded? We're going to see a recession in 2 and a half weeks. It'll be the 2nd negative quarter. These people need to go back to get an intro business course.
  21. Gravel

    New World

    So you're trading one Amazon gaming failure for another, and it's one you already experienced? Why do you hate yourself?
  22. Gravel

    Everything Everywhere All at Once (2022)

    Had barely heard anything about this one, but somewhere I had seen something saying it was a really good movie. So I didn't really have any spoilers about what I was getting into. Watched it today and what a fucking rollercoaster! I wasn't expecting, well, any of it. I laughed pretty hard, had...
  23. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Right, but the wipe out we're talking about here is the big one. When the dollar ceases to exist, all the sudden the entire economy vaporizes. Unless the rich want to live like royalty circa 1850, it seems unwise. Sure, you're still wildly wealthy, but you're going to be significantly more...
  24. Gravel

    Top Gun: Maverick (2020)

    Same. I know in the Army everyone had to get PRK because they were worried that a violent head jarring would leave someone with lasik blind.
  25. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    For sure, but...doesn't that wipe out their wealth too? There isn't any asset for them to put their wealth into that's safe, so that kind of screws everyone.
  26. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Once again, are these people in a bubble? What positive economic news am I missing that's been positive? Seriously, name a single metric. It's going to get worse.
  27. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    A drilling permit also doesn't even mean there's anything there.
  28. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Same as my post last night about "CFO's expecting a recession to hit in 2023," do these analysts pay attention to...anything? How did no one expect the CPI number to be bad? I expected significantly worse. Do none of these people buy things for themselves? Is there some kind of positive...
  29. Gravel

    Top Gun: Maverick (2020)

    For pilots, 20/40 when you join. If it gets worse afterwards though, you can still fly. I don't remember what the cut off is though (looks like 20/100, correctable to 20/20). I took a shit load of bilberry extract and lutein prior to joining because as someone close to the age limit (I was...
  30. Gravel

    Lost Ark Online

    They seem to be of the mind that players will either stick around for trickle content, or come back in droves for it. I don't know how they can be so out of touch. Western audiences aren't coming back once they're lost. If someone was waiting for Scouter, or is an alt-a-holic and wanted the...
  31. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    That's actually the part people miss with the oil talk. Yeah, the domestic production was severely hampered, but bigger is that he basically told the Saudis to fuck off and so they've got no reason to not watch our country burn to the ground.
  32. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Also wtf happened during power hour today? Holy shit. Markets were hovering around 0.5-0.8% down all day, and then tacked on an extra 2% in the last hour.
  33. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Any time I see an article like this I'm baffled. Apparently a bunch of CFOs think we'll get a recession in 2023. Are they unaware of what a recession is? Unaware that Q1 22 was already negative? Are they all that fucking stupid and oblivious? It's no wonder the best we can get are Powell and...
  34. Gravel

    Investing General Discussion

    Elevated means they'll admit to something like 9 or 10%, when reality is it's probably above 25%.
  35. Gravel

    Top Gun: Maverick (2020)

    They were flying single seater F/A-18E's (although the reality is they were all F's so the actors could sit in the back seat and film).
  36. Gravel

    Lost Ark Online

    I think I may be throwing in the towel. I didn't log in two days ago and only una's yesterday. Logged in today with like 2 minutes before Thunderwings, did my bifrost, and the game gave me the can't connect to server error. I just said fuck it and didn't even try to log back in. I realized that...
  37. Gravel

    Top Gun: Maverick (2020)

    It's almost entirely white men. There's an occasional white female. I'm trying to recall a single black or asian pilot that ever rolled through and I'm coming up blank.
  38. Gravel

    Top Gun: Maverick (2020)

    Shit, I completely forgot he was supposed to be in the movie. That's got to be a super bummer to be cut out from the biggest blockbuster since 2019. This interview he just seemed depressed.
  39. Gravel

    White people problem: Too much money and what to do with it all?

    This is when you need to have the conversation with yourself and your wife about how much is "enough." And also, whether you're the type of person who can relax and not work. I've been putting off my early retirement post for a while now, and will likely continue to do so cause I don't really...
  40. Gravel

    Morbius (2020)

    I saw this as a trending movie, looked up reviews, and said "nope." Pretty sad, but the most common review was "this makes Venom look like a masterpiece."