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I'm tempted to get Satisfactory.

My account is fine. Although it's apparently been almost 3 years since I bought some Mexican peso version.

I think he works in that because he's a self entitled asshole type character and that plays to his strengths. Looking through his credits, I'm really underwhelmed. I honestly can't figure out why he's as big a name as he is.

The most those things ever get adjusted is like 0.2-0.3%. At -2.1%, there's no way it gets even remotely close to positive. And why would it? I ask every week, what's gotten better in Q2? Even oil, which is down, is still up from where it was at the start of Q2.

My response wasn't for you necessarily, outside of saying that yes we're in fact in a recession now. The rest of my post was just my frustration with the gaslighting by...everyone...about how we wouldn't see a recession until next year. Maybe they meant it'd last until next year?

Yes, and I've been saying for weeks (months?) that this would happen at the end of June when they released the Q2 GDP numbers. Why this is surprising people I have no clue. No one could've possibly believed we'd have a positive quarter with how shit everything is.

Selling now is locking in (realizing) your losses. At the moment it's all paper losses, which are irrelevant. This is how people get fucked in market downturns. You waited for all the selling to end, and *now* you think it's a good time to sell? It's complete backwards logic. Like above, if...

It's the term used when you're talking about all 5th gen fighters, usually in comparison to older gen fighters. And when talking capabilities, it's the easiest way to talk about it. I can tell you from having worked in the program, it's absolutely a term used regularly. Especially in the...

I will say, too, that that concept is part of why I don't worry about early retirement too much. We'll be fine for at least several years drawing down our cash, and if it starts to look like we're in an "oh shit" situation (our sequence of returns was bad at the front end and we need to salvage...

You just discovered the concept of "barista FIRE." Essentially where you have enough to coast as long as you cover your living expenses (which is significantly less than saving for investment, obviously, since your subtract all the savings and additional taxes of higher income).

Honestly, San Diego doesn't have a lot to do. The Midway is pretty cool. Point Loma lighthouse is okay. The Hotel del Coronado is neat if you're into historic buildings. San Diego zoo is good if you like zoos. Balboa Park is also okay but not something must see. I like La Jolla pretty well and...

Except you'd have to segregate your solar system. That's kind of the issue with using solar as a "world goes to shit" system. It has to tie into your house, which means it ties into the grid. That is, unless you invest heavily in batteries. That's why people are always bummed out when they find...

I've done the math several times over the years and solar is still never worth it. The breakeven point is just always way, way too far out to be worthwhile. It's only somewhat feasible due to subsidies, but that still generally puts you at 10+ years. I guess batteries are finally at the point...

Outside of the parts that they had to bring in a Blue Angels pilot because it was outside of the scope of the capabilities of a normal F/A-18 pilot.

Consumers are "flush with cash" and yet the numbers for consumer debt are at astronomical numbers. I dunno, maybe they have some advance numbers on GDP and are tipping their hand at it?

Was going to say, they may as well have just recast it.

Thought about logging in just for the gift pack, but it's not even one hone attempt. Whoopidy-fucking-doo, 1000 destruction stones?

Another green day, eh? I feel like this is just driving the price up to take profits before the end of the month when new, shitty economic numbers come out before we drop another 10%.

I'm done supporting stuff that makes a point of making political statements, even if the material itself is good. So even if this is amazing, fuck them. Eventually I'll need to get to the point where I stop supporting actors who make dumb shit statements, but that'll leave me with nothing to...

https://sports.yahoo.com/former-colts-ravens-de-tony-siragusa-dies-at-55-200140045.html

They said it was because of Chip and Dale. Which makes sense as opposed to actually reviewing it (although the movie was surprisingly decent). I wonder how much the views on the movies they re:view go up.

Yep, they fucked it. For some reason Amazon is content with short term money and are willing to blow up any long term good will to get it. Which is baffling for a company whose parent can provide them what essentially is limitless funding as far as gaming is concerned. Instead of releasing...

I mean, the thing with real estate is that it's local. While the trend was definitely up across the country, like always it was cities that had the biggest swing in prices. So prices will decrease with interest rates, but it won't be a bubble popping.

This is true. Since it's just my wife and I we wanted something sub-1500 sqft (our last house was 2100, and we just left rooms closed all the time), and it was damn near impossible to find stuff that small. And sadly, we basically ended up breaking even (minus equity). Sold our CA house for...

I figured that the stock market experienced it first, which is why it shot up in 2021.

I was going to say that it seems like they too heavily relied on television shows for phase 4, but I went back through what the other phases consisted of, and I was kind of underwhelmed. It kind of makes me think I was overrating the previous films just because they culminated into something...

I'd say maybe He Got Game is the basketball Rocky. Or maybe Above the Rim. Shit, White Men Can't Jump is probably a better movie for that title than this.

And you can't blame people not going to the movies, or covid, because Top Gun was a smash hit. Disney finally feeling the repercussions of their get woke policies.

I'll give another positive nod to Hustle. I'm not really a basketball fan at all. I don't really watch sports at all anymore, but even when I did, I enjoyed NCAA but hated the NBA. This was a really solid sports movie. Excellent pacing and good story, even if it's not going to be anything...

Hmm? Seems like the floor has quite a ways to go to me. I know GAAP skewed things, but even in the post-2000's era we still have room to fall. And then consider we still have the massive leverage problem the Fed put us in that is completely unprecedented. Also found this link useful with...

Someone else posted that the other day with a story saying the farmers don't think they were heat deaths.

I get an email every other week from Vanguard for their robo whatever the fuck bullshit. I literally have no idea what it is or why I should care. But they really really seem to be pimping it hard.

Yeah, which is why he faked out by telling Hector that he was going with the old plan again. They left enough clues for you to realize he thought the line was being tapped. Were you watching distracted maybe?

They were probably hopeful, as we all were, that our politicians would do something that could pull us out of the tailspin. Instead, we're getting ideas thrown out that exacerbate the problems (like shitting on domestic oil producers instead of helping them).

Probably because people are starting to realize a 26% drop isn't even remotely close to the bottom with how fucked we are.

I mean, I've been saying this for the last week. There is no good economic news. Anyone thinking we'd see something good this month isn't paying attention to anything. There's been no catalyst for change, the economy isn't going to magic itself healthier. The recession is imminent. We're not...

Inflation (that they admit to) is 8.5% and they think adding 75 basis points is being nimble.

Give it a couple hours to adjust.

Same phenomenon I keep mentioning. Who the fuck are these people that are getting even "neutral" economic news and aren't expecting worse numbers every month? What metric or sector is actually doing well enough to make positive statements about anything related to the economy?

I made a post in the inflation thread about it, but the Fed is so reactionary that they're always going to be chasing inflation. Which means they'll never raise rates at the pace to combat it. We need a proactive Fed that looks forward, but that's just not who we have.