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I think we need to reflect on where our economy actually is though. Nothing is good right now. I don't have numbers, but how many businesses closed in 2020? We never really felt the pain of that. The rest of the market has been dipping, but it's been obfuscated by a handful of companies (mostly...

"Experts" That's a meaningless word in 2022.

It's a long march down. We'll probably get a few green days, but I doubt this is over. I still think we see a 25-35% fall from the top (S&P in the low 3000's) before we start recovering. If the Fed decides to bail again, we may see a smaller decline but eventually this shit needs to course...

We're finally in correction territory. 8% more and we're officially in a bear.

That's always funny to me. What other item do people purchase that when the price falls, they say "woah, maybe I should stop buying this." Much better to buy when it's at the highest price it's ever been! Now, retirees asset balancing out of stocks, sure, because you're not contributing...

This is definitely one of the steepest drops in the market over such a short time span. Probably not a good sign that we pull out of it.

Where? Because unless you're talking a specific index, this isn't true.

I'm amazed that everyone has the market being positive for the year. We just had a 27%, 18%, and 29% span of years. Unless everyone collectively believes the new CAGR of the market is like 15-20%, we're due for a negative year.

...right as the Fed floats the idea of their own cryptocurrency. Not that this hasn't been expected (and talked about in this thread) for several years.

She's topless in one of the American Pie movies. I can't tell if they're real or not. If they are, they're pretty amazing.

You're not planning on watching Jay's pervert movie about a carfucker?

I feel bad, when I talked to my mom around Thanksgiving she mentioned she had some money in ARKK. I wanted to tell her to dump it, but I didn't really want to go telling her that I think Cathie is a fraud. I don't think it was a significant amount, because she still mentioned retiring soon the...

Rate locks are only good for generally 30-60 days. I think ours was 45. We ended up closing 1 or 2 days after and they charged us to keep the rate, which I was pretty pissed about.

First, I'm shocked he was only 68. Second, who would've guessed cancer and not a heart attack or diabetes?

I think it's basically the big boys finally heading down to where the rest of the market has been. Everything has been in the shitter except for the top few companies, but because of their weighting, they've been making it look like everything in the market is great. The question will be, will...

Maybe that's why I couldn't get into Yellowstone. The setting was gorgeous, but the dialogue just left me bored. Although I do intend to try again at some point.

I like that smart phones were brought up, because I've been considering for a long time getting rid of mine. In fact, getting rid of a cell phone altogether. I probably never will just because of convenience, but I think my decade or so in IT left me pretty negative on most technologies. I'm...

So it's gained back 1 day of massive losses? It's down 30% in the last 2 months. What a dog.

Making my prediction now that we eventually fall to about 3100 - 3200 on the S&P, and it recovers to my 4150 mark made in the Stonks contest by the end of the year. Makes it a -13.5% year.

What you're talking about though is perfect market timing, just in a negative way. How many people bought the absolute top, and that was the only time they bought? And how many of those people held for a decade? People enter and exit the market at all kinds of points, and so this hypothetical...

I actually think it's the philosophical elements. For instance, the scene where Faith Hill is saying she never would've imagined her life turning out the way it was (heavily implying that it would've been a nightmare to her younger self), but that she wouldn't trade it. Or the one in this...

Gotta say, this might be one of my favorite shows in a long while. There's just something about it that's clicking for me. I have almost no complaints.

That seems incredibly unlikely she'd be able to hear it from 2000 miles away.

I don't understand why they'd be going with a bunch of comedic actors (outside of Chase Stokes). That makes me think this will be trash.

Oh, well, maybe read my post. It was the Brazos River which is only about 50 miles from Fort Worth. Which I'm fine with taking time (they probably only move a couple miles a day), but they've had a ton of people die. Also, the Yellowstone area would come before Oregon. It's not the Oregon...

My wife read it too and after I think maybe only 3 episodes told me I could delete the rest and stop downloading them.

How does that answer my question about how many episodes they're planning on making of this?

This episode was a bit of a miss for me. Still decent, but things like the daughter knowing how to play piano (I imagine only the wealthy or musicians would in the 19th century) and knowing the entire song without sheet music took me out of it a bit. Not being familiar with Texas, the Brazos...

I didn't fill the hopper all the way, and then didn't realize how quickly it'd chew through them. It's my fault, but at the same time, I probably used a good 15 pounds of pellets. Even with my cheap bag from Sam's, that's still like $5-6 in pellets for a single pork butt.

It was probably about 40. I thought the same thing. And once the sun went down, it also dropped into the mid 40's fast. Florida going through a bit of a cold spell right now.

Got the smoker Tuesday and did the burn off that evening. Smoked a pork butt yesterday. It definitely burns through a LOT of pellets. Seems like a very expensive way to smoke compared to the electric one. I actually ran out and didn't realize, which set my cook back by at least an hour I'd guess...

In fairness, you probably need a log graph. It still doesn't look great, but it's not as bad.

PLTR down 6.5%!

Man, that's quite the drop to kick off the morning.

All they talked about was CAPM in 2009 when I went, too. Although I didn't go to a fancy T1 business school like you, so that could account for that.

That sucks. 65 is a pretty good run though. Doesn't feel like he should be that old.

I think we've turned the heat on two days this winter. Even where we were in California we had the furnace on from December through early February.

PLTR at the lowest it's been since November 2020.

Yeah, I was going to say too, growing up with the Oregon Trail game (wife and I both fall in the Oregon Trail generation), maybe this is like finally seeing it in motion over 30 years later.

Really enjoying this through the first three episodes. I feel like I haven't really ever seen a movie or tv show dealing with wagon train settlers. There's probably something I just never watched like Little House on the Prairie or Little Women that might have been like that, but I don't believe...