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  1. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    What?
  2. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Reminds me of what Artamis drove in Ready Player One.
  3. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    My argument is this: 1. It's unlikely that Peterbilt, Daimler, Freightliner, Kenworth etc are 10 years away from selling inter-city autonomy commercial vehicles. Perfectly viable in 5 years is fiction. 2. Even if #1 was false, it's unlikely the first few versions over 5-10 years would cost less...
  4. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    I got to see the delphi system recently. It's very cool. I'm really looking forward to seeing it and all the other systems integrated. I'm betting that the driving behavior of autonomous cars will be very noticeable. My guess is that it will be very cautious.
  5. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Cool paper. Mono and stereo cams play a big role in autonomy, but outdoor computer vision (CV) is hard. People don't realize how great our eyes are, with all their cones and rods. The human eye is really amazing and our cameras can beat it in some ways, but in handling variety they are no where...
  6. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Don't bet the house on that.
  7. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    So, it's likely that Ford will be able to do XYZ by 2021 (by XYZ, I mean have a limited release of highly constrained, driverless taxis. Japan will do it in 2020 for their olympic games). But once that occurs, deep market penetration of autonomy at that level won't happen quickly. And further...
  8. Tuco

    Pokemans and how to catch them with your phone - friend codes in OP

    This is actually pretty disruptive.... ingenious.
  9. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    This is a big problem in advanced research. You're trying to push grand ideas and get funding for them, but you don't have a real idea for what the timeline is going to be. Even research in private sector, bluechip companies like Ford this is important, because the executives and board control...
  10. Tuco

    Join together as Jugs. The union of Rererolled.

    The Jugs have no need for a union, because they run this show now.
  11. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    What advantages does that have over ?
  12. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    By the time we get to the point where the traffic rules change such that no, you won't be allowed to break rank and meatbag drive, you'll probably want to use the autonomous system as it will be hurtling you across the interstate at 100+mph
  13. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Virtually every obstacle whether it's a garbage bag, stroller, box or turkey will be responded to in the same way: hard stop and wait for the obstacle to move away, or move around it if possible.. Google is doing some very amazing things with object analysis from lidar scans, but that's more for...
  14. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    I don't have a projected timeline. Also the differences between level 2,3,4 and 5 are muddier than SAE will admit. It's arguable that until you can go from curb to curb, you're not at level 3. It's not an argument I'd care to have though, because it misses the core point, which is this: People...
  15. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Please contact your congressmen and tell them you care deeply about this issue and they should push for looser money in vehicular autonomy.
  16. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    RIP pizza delivery. I actually think drones delivering pizza/jimmyjohns etc will become more prevalent than cars. And it's going to be awesome.
  17. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    I agree, but standard units change. When driving outside of normal hours I have to realize I'm not driving with the regular pros of my commute but the shitter-class. People in their regular commute are actually very good drivers when it comes to normal speed.
  18. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Suggesting what is bullshit? The work the automotive industry is doing, including uber/google/tesla, volvo/bosch/ford/freightliner/gm/honda/fuckingeveryone, cmu/standford/mit is not bullshit at all. What is bullshit, or rather is too optimistic, is the idea that we're going to all be driven...
  19. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    I'm not big into v2v stuff, but I went to a autonomous vehicles (AUVSI) conference recently and asked all the v2v guys what their security systems were. There's really no good answers yet. In the end I think the difficulty in doing so combined with the ease of creating havok with much simpler...
  20. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Aye, that's the basis of it and one of the big upsides of V2V comms. But it's going to be a long road to get there. And even when you're there, it's going to be a shitshow getting all the vehicles to abide by the same standard.
  21. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    The camera operator will let you watch porn as long as you let the camera watch too.
  22. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    What's funny about this is that until there is widely accepted V2V communication, the opposite will be true. You know how you drive on the freeway during rush hour and most people are driving 70mph+ like 2 car lengths away from the car in front them? An autonomous system will say fucking nope to...
  23. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

  24. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Question is whether that's a good thing or not. Right now you have a X mph road that everyone travels X+10 on and gives police officers an easy reason to pull everyone over, but everyone is generally happy with the speed. If you systematically enforce it, you now have more traffic and people...
  25. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    The problem is getting the data. GPS receivers like in your phone only receive the data and don't broadcast it. Cops would have to retrieve that data some how and don't tread on me.
  26. Tuco

    Pokemans and how to catch them with your phone - friend codes in OP

    The problem is that the type bonuses have the same impact as Same Type Ability Bonus (STAB). So a vapereon's water attack on a vap has the same benefit as an electric's attack on a vap.
  27. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    I'm saying that not only will you be forced to go via the DMV-mobile to your approved destination during your approved curfew hours, but you'll also be monitored by your BigBrotherCam while doing it. This setup is double-plus good. Do you have something to hide, Citizen Aldarion?
  28. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Yep and the upcoming lidar are going to put the price point in the same range as the radar/cams that they are using. Tesla is trying to do a lot with just a radar and cam.
  29. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Oh, and my prediction on how the above question will play out: For decades OEMs will tell users, "Don't take fucking naps. Pay attention. if the autonomy system fails and you don't catch it, it's on your dumb ass." Much to Aldarion's dissent, a big part of autonomy development is a camera in...
  30. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    This will be an interesting question. Shit will happen and people will die, but in many cases a failure of the autonomy system will be due to either a software defect, poor tuning, sensor failure or bad design. Up to this point the scope of what those vehicles were trying to accomplish were...
  31. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Unlikely. The car is people's second home, not just a transportation device. Cars are also inexpensive to own and operate for most people. And for people outside very dense areas you aren't just going to "hail" a car. If I need to go to the 24 hour drugstore at midnight for some formula, I'm...
  32. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    No deal. Self driving cars have been available on the market since the 90s.
  33. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    I'm not scared by it, but the loss of control and the possibility for abuse is there. Even more so than my house I feel like my car is my domain. I can get in, pump it full of gas and just go anywhere I damn well please and nobody can really stop me effectively.
  34. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    I'd say that ABS isn't a good comparison. ACC is probably a better one. Autonomous cruise control system - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia It never really caught on for a variety of reasons that directly relate to further autonomy on vehicles. Basically: It costs more, doesn't work as well...
  35. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    I absolutely can and debating it at this point is useless. Believe what you want about potential futures with potential technology, but the pace and and constraints of autonomous vehicles will likely disappoint you.
  36. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    In vehicular autonomy lidar will almost certainly be augmented by radar and cameras. Those three sensors are great in different ways and combining them is very powerful.
  37. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Phrases like "of course" have no place in a serious discussion of this topic.
  38. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    No idea about autonomous trains. My guess is they have different levels of autonomy depending on the application and the appetite for automation. When you're talking about this many-million dollar, many ton system carrying millions of dollars worth of goods, the cost of having a human managing a...
  39. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    Doesn't go fast enough and isn't agile/small enough.
  40. Tuco

    Autonomous Systems

    They can if they are looking directly at each other, and these type of lidar can get confused when it's in very close (sub 1 meter) to a reflective object (Like a flat piece of sheet metal). However all the reasonable configurations you might see have no problem with interaction between them...