2025 box office goes up but misses $9 billion projections, 2026 projections

Goatface

Goatface

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another year of mostly disappointment, still not been to theater since before covid. the only 2 movies i wanted to see (sisu2 and warfare) were not shown at local places.

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asked grok and chatgpt to pull early projection, pretty meaningless, most numbers are from just a few websites and reddit

Grok
RankMovie TitleRelease Date (Approx.)Projected Worldwide GrossProjected Domestic Gross
1Avengers: DoomsdayMay 2026$1.8B–$2.2B+$700M–$900M
2Spider-Man: Brand New Day (untitled Spider-Man 4)July 2026$1.5B–$1.9B$600M–$800M
3The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (Super Mario Bros. Movie sequel)April 2026$1.3B–$1.6B$500M–$700M
4Toy Story 5June 2026$1.1B–$1.4B$450M–$600M
5Dune: Messiah (Dune Part 3)December 2026$900M–$1.2B$350M–$500M
6The Mandalorian & GroguMay 2026$900M–$1.2B$350M–$500M
7Minions 3 (or Mega Minions)July 2026$900M–$1.1B$350M–$450M
8The OdysseyJuly 2026$800M–$1.1B$300M–$450M
9Jumanji 3 (next sequel)December 2026$800M–$1B$300M–$400M
10Supergirl: Woman of TomorrowJune 2026$700M–$900M$300M–$400M
11The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the ReapingNovember 2026$600M–$800M$250M–$350M
12Disclosure Day (Spielberg UFO film)June 2026$600M–$800M$250M–$350M
13Michael (Michael Jackson biopic)April 2026$500M–$700M$200M–$300M
14Moana (live-action)July 2026$500M–$700M$200M–$300M
15Project Hail MaryMarch 2026$400M–$600M$150M–$250M
16Scream 7February 2026$300M–$500M$150M–$250M
17The Devil Wears Prada 2TBD 2026$300M–$500M$150M–$250M
1828 Years Later: The Bone TempleJanuary 2026$200M–$400M$100M–$200M
19Digger (Iñárritu/Cruise film)October 2026$300M–$500M$150M–$250M
20Practical Magic 2TBD 2026$200M–$400M$100M–$200M

Chatgpt
RankMovie TitleRelease DateProjected Domestic GrossProjected Worldwide Gross
1Avengers: DoomsdayDec 18, 2026~$700M+~$1.6–$1.8B
2The Super Mario Galaxy MovieApr 3, 2026~$550M~$1.3B
3Spider-Man: Brand New DayJul 31, 2026~$500M~$1.25B
4Moana (Live-Action)Jul 10, 2026~$450M~$1.1B
5Toy Story 5Jun 19, 2026~$350M~$900M
6Minions 3Jul 1, 2026~$350M~$880M
7The OdysseyJul 17, 2026~$350M~$850M
8The Mandalorian & Grogu (The Movie)May 22, 2026~$390M+~$500M–$900M
9Dune: Part ThreeDec 18, 2026~$300M+~$675M
10The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the ReapingNovember 2026~$250M–$300M~$650M–$700M+
11The Devil Wears Prada 2May 1, 2026~$200–280M~$500M–$700M
12Jumanji 4December 11, 2026~$275M~$625M
13SupergirlJun 26, 2026~$240M~$400M–$550M
14Project Hail MaryMar 20, 2026~$250–375M~$350M–$450M
 
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Furry

Furry

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Movies are all gay now. Until they fix that I'm a hard pass on going to the theater.
 
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zzeris

zzeris

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That’s a long list of shitty repetition. May be part of the issue, Hollywood. None of those excite me at all.
 
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Hateyou

Hateyou

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I’ll watch dune in theatres but that’s it. They just retread stories now, have shitty agendas, ugly actresses. Prices are expensive as hell and people are struggling to buy groceries. Watching at home is cheaper, more convenient, and nicer environment. Gee why is no one going.
 
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Dr.Retarded

Dr.Retarded

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Fucker said:
Jesus. What a horrible lineup.
Click to expand...
Pretty much. I think the only movie I'm somewhat interested in is the 28 days Bone Temple deal just because I think it's going to be absurdly fucked up. There's not anything else on that list that I care about, but I'm also not going to go to the theater to see that particular movie.
 
TBT-TheBigToe

TBT-TheBigToe

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I hope everything underperforms, at best, or outright fails embarrassingly, at worst, because I want Hollywood to collapse and to take California with it.

 
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Vuuxo

Vuuxo

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Part of me REALLY wants movie theaters to completely disappear and collapse because Fuck. Hollywood. A part of me will miss it. Used to go to the movies almost every Friday for years and years. Now I can count on one hand the number of movies I've seen in theaters in the past oh...6 or so years.

Nosferatu
Deadpool and Wolverine
Last Spider-Man movie
Top Gun II
Superman
 
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Dr.Retarded

Dr.Retarded

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Vuuxo said:
Part of me REALLY wants movie theaters to completely disappear and collapse because Fuck. Hollywood. A part of me will miss it. Used to go to the movies almost every Friday for years and years. Now I can count on one hand the number of movies I've seen in theaters in the past oh...6 or so years.

Nosferatu
Deadpool and Wolverine
Last Spider-Man movie
Top Gun II
Superman
Click to expand...
I'll look back and all throughout childhood, my dad used to take us to the dollar cinema, or the regular movie theater to see the big films on the weekends. I mean I remember seeing Batman and Jurassic Park, fucking Willow, Predator 2, RoboCop 2, Die Hard 1-3, and all kinds of other movies like Ghost Dad, which if you think about it is pretty ironic considering Bill Cosby is black, but he was also Cliff Huxtable, an American father figure. I mean I couldn't count the number of films I've seen in the theater.

Taking your kids to the movie theater and letting them spend a buck in the arcade, grabbing some popcorn and sneaking in some candy it was a time-honored tradition.

All through high school and college my friends and I would always go and catch movies opening weekend, or if we were at a class in college go grab a matinee after lunch or something. Even through most of the 2000s I used to go and see a movie maybe once a week with a buddy or my brother when I was living up in Charleston. There was always something to at least go and see, or you were going out on a date or something.

Hell my wife and I used to go at least once a month to go watch a movie that we could both agree upon. I know I've said it in the past but the last movie I saw in the theater was 1917, so that was what 2020?

Fuck going and spending the amount of money you might spend at a decent restaurant for a full meal and a drink for some current Hollywood bullshit. It's just not worth it when I can be just as happy watching the film on my widescreen monitor in my office with my good headphones, and if it's a scary movie I can turn the lights off and enjoy it even more.

They're just really hasn't been anything that has made me just want to jump up and run to the theater. I mean I saw all of the Lord of the rings movies every Christmas with my dad and it became a tradition, and it was something to look forward to. I remember him taking me to see all of the Star Trek movies in the theater from Wrath of Khan and on. Indiana Jones, Back to the Future, all the great '80s and early '90s stuff. The Goonies in the theater as a kid was one of my favorite movie experiences.

It's just that Hollywood doesn't make the magic that it used to, and butts aren't getting filled in seats.
 
spronk

spronk

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lol




there are 100% movies worth watching in theaters, especially IMAX/Dolby for the immersion. Its like... 3 movies a year. Theaters are fucked otherwise. I saw a few movies in theaters last year and I don't think any of them were really "worth" it. Avatar 3 sucked blue dick, Marvel was slop, Superman was just ok.

china box office is also kicking ass, while still overall smaller than US (i think around $7 billion for 2025) its growing 20-50% a year while US keeps shrinking. Not surprising, theaters are shutting down constantly here while they added over 2000 theaters in china last year. Cars, roads, tech, women without penises are all doing better in Chyna.
 
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