We are in a different world when it comes to investing right now. Davey Day Trader is right in this respect. Investing the same way we did for 100 years isnt the answer. It has to go beyond valuations and fundamentals because there are so many investors who have no idea what those things are. Its FOMO or GTFO. The trick we can never forget is to ALWAYS be one of the first guys out the door, even if it means giving up some profits. I got out of NKLA at $40-ish so I left money on the table but I have no regrets. Never look at what you "lost" by taking profit. Look at what you made. This applies doubly so when a stock has gone parabolic on FOMO. You can't know when its going to peak, but you can guarantee it will reverse course at warp speed. I bought into NVDA on June 8th on a dip after a nice run up and figured I might get 5% or so by the end of the year. Its up almost 30% since I bought it 8 weeks ago. Ludicrous. Investing today is anything but dull.
I'm not telling you to sell AMD, just trying to add perspective. its not up there on fundamentals. Its a hip stock, it has a following and INTC opened the door for some marketshare acquisition by screwing the pooch. The question to be asked is will it revert to the mean at some point. Let your winners run, but also dont be afraid to say I made enough to be ahppy with the trade. Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered.
AMD is definitely offblasting into outer space. Not even close to TSLA levels of ludicrously overvalued, so plenty of room to grow still.
One thing worth confirming is whether the company has a maximum match per paycheck. Some companies will only fully match if you defer the amount in each pay period. If you lump sum into the 401k in a short time period you may miss some matching. Sounds like you may not have a choice in the short term, but worth finding out.It's a starting position, so the paycheck is only ~4700 before taxes/401k/hsa/premium/whatever would come out, so will take about 5 months to cap out a 401k and HSA on that. But yeah, intending on putting in the full 19500/3500. Can swing about 36,000 in "savings/investing" a year once I start the job, since I've got a supplementary source of ~2k a month and don't have any kids/wife to consume my excess. Would then probably have to continue bombing the paychecks in to make sure to max out 2021 by the end of the year, then switch to 12-month-averaged contribution in january 2022.
They've got a vesting schedule for the match at 33%/year, 100% after you've been there 4 years. So there's a possibility I change companies before the match is fully vested, but that's a bit down the road from here.
Believe me. if you are investing for the long term, even if it is nothing more than buying the SPY or QQQ, you are 1000% better off than 90% of the people in this country.
So, starting a new job and will have a 401k and an HSA, both of which I haven't had the last six years. Says I can backfill both for 2020 up until April 2021. If I've got enough money from other sources to cover my living expenses for the next year or so, can I just bomb my entire paycheck into capping those out before the April deadline? Is that a good idea?
In academic terms we refer to asymmetrical information. Its when a transaction occurs and one party doesn't have access to the same info that the other party does. Its why stocks get halted for "pending news". Pre-tech explosion, the average Joe had no idea about the ins and outs of a company's financials or the latest management changes at the top , or merger talks. That was info dominated by Wallstreet and why you needed a broker. Those days are gone. Twitter is a cesspool, but the financial tags give us access to info faster than you see it on the news most times and one of the main reasons I am on it. Reddit, the same way. I have respected the hell out of Buffet for a long time, but i truly think he has failed to adapt to a changing environment in terms of trading and investing. All he has done since selling out of the airlines at a huge loss is increase his stake in BAC. Berkshire now owns like 12% of a bank in a zero interest environment with a possible tsunami of mortgage defaults down the road. Adapt to survive. I told myself there were some stocks I would never own. FB was on that list. I put that philosophy aside. I am up 15% in FB since I bought it 6 weeks ago. GOOG and tobacco stocks are about the only things I refuse to own at this point.This is thanks to the Smartphone and Robinhood (or similar). Think about it y'all. Smartphones, as they exist today, weren't even mainstream until around 2010. I didn't even have one personally until 2015. The iPhone 1.0 came out in 2008.
Before the era of Robinhood anyone interested in investing had to seek out a brokerage. Signing up on Fidelity or Etrade was never mind you. But you still had to get on your PC go to the site and signup. Link your bank account or whatever and that process wasn't instantaneous. Also, there were commission fees per trade to further deter people.
In comes Robinhood. You can load up the app on your phone in 30 seconds and transfer funds in from your linked bank app in another 90 seconds. Then you can trade on whatever the fuck you want #yolo.
This has a profound impact on market pressure that can be exerted on shit like KODK that didn't exist even three years ago.
TSP is very good, but not responsive. It's always surprising to me how few people took advantage of it. Luckily, they changed it so you have to opt out of it instead of opting in recently. A lot of people probably just didn't understand what it was. As far as the government is concerned, its one of the few things they did mostly right, probably by accident.
It really is all about tax savings. There are charts about to help you calculate the max you can legally hide from taxes. With the 401k, even if the company match is up to 6%, if you can pre-tax 15% (or whatever the amount is) and can afford to do so then bang it. Every pre-tax dollar is money you arent being taxed on. Same with the HSA. Then check to see how much (if anything) you can deduct putting into an IRA (it depends on your 401k contributions for you and/or a spouse). Rich people stay rich by not giving the gubmint a single dime they dont have to.This is exactly what I do each year. Just put paycheck on 100 percent to 401k and HSA until maxed. Its really helped me catch up since I was late to the savings/retirement savings game. Your earned income really does go along way when you think of the tax savings and company matchings, not to mentoin the actual growth in the investment acount too. I assume your HSA allows you to put the money into a ETF. Mine lets me on any amount over 1k thats sitting in it.
Actually there is one last nuance between 401k and HSA. You can contribute to your HSA on your own too, outside of your paycheck, which is not possible with the company 401k. So if you find yourself in a position of running out of paycheck weeks but still have not maxed your HSA, you can contribute to it with other funds and still count if off your taxed income come tax time.
Dont try to time the market ups and downs for long term investments. Pretty much no one can do it. Long term the index will do what it does and continue its march upwards. assuming you have dividend reinvestment on, when the market corrects it just means the dividends are buying more shares. Short-term trading is a different animal entirely. but for long-term retirement investing, just let it ride the ups and downs.When I got out they were just doing 401K TSPs, I don't think Roth option was available yet. Probably 50 %+ of people that just sign onto TSP just let everything ride in a G account. I wasted my 20s by dipping into mine as an easter egg. I dumped my 401k into an available blue chip index during coronavirus, I feel like I should get out pretty soon as I feel fundamentals are finally going to hit us like a ton of bricks and want to protect some really insane profits.
In academic terms we refer to asymmetrical information. Its when a transaction occurs and one party doesn't have access to the same info that the other party does. Its why stocks get halted for "pending news". Pre-tech explosion, the average Joe had no idea about the ins and outs of a company's financials or the latest management changes at the top , or merger talks. That was info dominated by Wallstreet and why you needed a broker. Those days are gone. Twitter is a cesspool, but the financial tags give us access to info faster than you see it on the news most times and one of the main reasons I am on it. Reddit, the same way. I have respected the hell out of Buffet for a long time, but i truly think he has failed to adapt to a changing environment in terms of trading and investing. All he has done since selling out of the airlines at a huge loss is increase his stake in BAC. Berkshire now owns like 12% of a bank in a zero interest environment with a possible tsunami of mortgage defaults down the road. Adapt to survive. I told myself there were some stocks I would never own. FB was on that list. I put that philosophy aside. I am up 15% in FB since I bought it 6 weeks ago. GOOG and tobacco stocks are about the only things I refuse to own at this point.
Dont try to time the market ups and downs for long term investments. Pretty much no one can do it. Long term the index will do what it does and continue its march upwards. assuming you have dividend reinvestment on, when the market corrects it just means the dividends are buying more shares. Short-term trading is a different animal entirely. but for long-term retirement investing, just let it ride the ups and downs.
HSAs are amazing. It sits forever and healthcare is the #1 cost for retired people. Max out that tax deferred amount if you can.
Im jelly of people who can do HSAs. Being a gov worker, the rolls royce medical plan is way too good to pass up. Surgery with a 4 day hospital stay that includes CT scans, physical therapy and all those tests and medicines. 150k on paper, 600$ out of pocket.
If I had a way to weasel a HSA into my retirement life I would.
That's actually pretty fucking awesome
YeahWhats your twitter strategy?
Do you track certain hashtags and follow certain accounts?