Investing General Discussion

Fucker said:

The biggest scandal of all?

Their fucking donuts aren't even crispy.

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I used to stop at one 35 yeas ago to buy from offices and shops. Then they got into this thing of making them and packaging them to be put in stores and gas stations and that was the end of that. Became trash.

UPST about to touch $85. I sold calls for 8/1 expiry at $95.. earnings are on 8/5. Premiums are pretty awesome for earnings.

This has the setup and timing to squeeze all the way into the $100s.. could see $125-150 if things go well.

Tesla is turning into some mixture of OCP and Umbrella corp. Have your Tesla car drive you to the Tesla Diner where you recharge your car with Tesla energy while you get a Tesla robot to serve you food in a Tesla shaped box while watching Tesla media and post about it on X, which is not from Tesla but is owned by the same guy.

I both want to own this stock and am also worried that Tesla turning into The Everything Corp is priced in already.

Sanrith Descartes said:

ED-209 will be sent to hunt down anyone who scratches a Tesla because they hate Musk.

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You don't have to sell it to me, I already said I like Tesla.

Robot + AI + cameras everywhere means there really will be a cop on every street corner.

The puts were for next week so I bet I could have milked more out of it, but I won't complain about a 100% gain in a day. Normally I'd say I should have bet more but given that this was a total gamble based on my gut of TSLA/Elon just getting beat down in the public sphere, my risk tolerance was low.

Sanrith Descartes said:

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I keep reading robotaxis as robot axis. A Million robots saluting Elon, I see.

INTC getting ravaged after earnings. -8.5% (Blew through 50D, 100D, and 200D MA supports)

Big EPS miss. Big hit to margins.

Jysin said:

INTC getting ravaged after earnings. -8.5% (Blew through 50D, 100D, and 200D MA supports)

Big EPS miss. Big hit to margins.

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Intel is a zombie. New CEO is alright, but there's just too much going against them after over a decade+ of bad decisions. Missed out on mobile, missed out on GPU, missed out on AI. Their fabs are a mess and will likely be dropped. Far too many employees for what they produce.

AMD is killing it though.

Fucker said:

Intel is a zombie. New CEO is alright, but there's just too much going against them after over a decade+ of bad decisions. Missed out on mobile, missed out on GPU, missed out on AI. Their fabs are a mess and will likely be dropped. Far too many employees for what they produce.

AMD is killing it though.

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From both a company and investment perspective, zombies are ok actually. I do often wonder do I place my "safe cash" in SPY or safe company X, and 90% of the time I go with SPY because it has never been lower than it's low within a 3-5 year time frame, which I still have. However if you were a trader with knowledge and skill you could probably make a ton by riding these waves, let's face it, intel chips are *probably* not going away......but quote and mock if I am wrong in 5 years. I trades on technicals, so if I see the 3/6m start to convert I will absolutely buy some heavy calls on this. I don't see this company dying.

Gonna add some:
This is actually an awesome discussion for a forum like FoH to separate us from just reddit noise. It also acts as good practice on when to jump in. Im ignoring GEX because this is a 5-10 minute post before I go out and try to bang a 20 year old at the bar(FYI: i will fail).

Here is the 10D chart, wow what a hit right?



And yet here is the 6M chart:


Perspective is a bitch, yea? This is the kind of shit I use to pinpoint when to get an option. Right now is terrible. However you see that resistance line at 20.10$? Will you make 1 million dollars and retire, no? However I bet if you let this bleed a bit more and then around that price buy a call that is ATM/NTM(near) you could easily turn 10%+ and I will do just that.

Blah blah, not financial advice and if you look it did dip below my stated level 2 times in the last 6 months, but only for a brief period. So I will absolutely be monitoring this stock now.

Rangoth said:

From both a company and investment perspective, zombies are ok actually. I do often wonder do I place my "safe cash" in SPY or safe company X, and 90% of the time I go with SPY because it has never been lower than it's low within a 3-5 year time frame, which I still have. However if you were a trader with knowledge and skill you could probably make a ton by riding these waves, let's face it, intel chips are *probably* not going away......but quote and mock if I am wrong in 5 years. I trades on technicals, so if I see the 3/6m start to convert I will absolutely buy some heavy calls on this. I don't see this company dying

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CPU aren't going away, but their business will continue to shrink on all sides.

Fucker said:

CPU aren't going away, but their business will continue to shrink on all sides.

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Why do you say that? AI, next gen, blah blah, all that shit needs physical hardware to make it do things that it does. Isn't it pretty much NDVA/AMD/INTC in that space? Is there someone else?

I dont mean another meme stock that may overtake them if X/Y/Z happens, I mean a legitimate chip company that even touches their scope, capacity, and volume? I'm convince that INTC will bleed a bit more but it's not going anywhere.

Rangoth said:

Why do you say that? AI, next gen, blah blah, all that shit needs physical hardware to make it do things that it does. Isn't it pretty much NDVA/AMD/INTC in that space? Is there someone else?

I dont mean another meme stock that may overtake them if X/Y/Z happens, I mean a legitimate chip company that even touches their scope, capacity, and volume? I'm convince that INTC will bleed a bit more but it's not going anywhere.

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Their market share in all areas has been dropping. AMD is gaining server share off them in large chunks, and ARM based units are popping up all over the place. Hell, the big players make their own server CPUs.
Their new CEO is alright, but he's going to have to cut really deep in order to make a measurable impact on the bottom line. The fact that he's likely going to give up on fabs means he sees the future of Intel in the same way I do.

So, we are in the stock thread, and I'm not gonna trade on it or shit on you, but generally want your opinion, do you think they will keep dropping below ~= 19$?

The pure technicals say no, and thus where I would consider an entry, but I also don't follow chip technology or space at all. I trade almost 100% on lines(company must at least not be a phantom lol). Do you really think intel will die or are you just saying that the 19/18 line isnt their turning point?

In the last 6M, which is longer than I hold almost anything, they bounces off that low twice. According to the chart we could argue an ATM call 1M out would produce a 25% profit.

Rangoth said:

So, we are in the stock thread, and I'm not gonna trade on it or shit on you, but generally want your opinion, do you think they will keep dropping below ~= 19$?

The pure technicals say no, and thus where I would consider an entry, but I also don't follow chip technology or space at all. I trade almost 100% on lines(company must at least not be a phantom lol). Do you really think intel will die or are you just saying that the 19/18 line isnt their turning point?

In the last 6M, which is longer than I hold almost anything, they bounces off that low twice.

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No clue where their stock will go. Merely commenting on how much work they have to do to turn the company around in the midst of declining market share across the board.

I just read he wants to bring back SMT, which means their brand new cpu design is going to be thrown away.

Ouch.

Fucker said:

No clue where their stock will go. Merely commenting on how much work they have to do to turn the company around in the midst of declining market share across the board.

I just read he wants to bring back SMT, which means their brand new cpu design is going to be thrown away.

Ouch.

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All good. I'm not an attacker. I actually love this thread. It's been posted 50 times previously but something about asking even my "close" friends about their money is almost worse than asking if they are gay or what their politics are. I kind of get it, but it sucks. So I love this thread.

But my hypothesis is that it will bounce off the 18/19 line. Now I have not done anything yet, but(and I post my fails here too) if it hits <19$ there is a super strong chance I will buy 1M out calls and I would post it.

While I would love to be the reddit dude who posts that he went from 10k to 1M, I am not that guy, but I do try to make 10%+ consistently. I will bail at 1%. Profit is always better than loss and according to the above, INTC has not gone below 18$ for more than 2 days in 6 months.

Rangoth said:

will bail at 1%.

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what do you mean by this? bail at 1% loss or 1% gain?

I meant 10%, but more importantly I meant that if my thesis of 80-90 is wrong I would bail at approximately 85$.

But I also promise you will see me here within 2 weeks buying some calls depending on it's fall line