Investing General Discussion

Haus said:

Interesting analysis of the AI Capital Investment Circle Jerk...



The actual Substack article if you want to go straight to the real deal.

The Algorithm That Detected a $610 Billion Fraud: How Machine Intelligence Exposed the AI Industry’s Circular Financing Scheme

On November 20, 2025, trading algorithms identified what may become the largest accounting fraud in technology history—not in months or years, but in 18 hours.

substack.com

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Pretty sure someone called this in this thread or in the General forums yesterday.

NVDA continuing the bleed here after hours. Given up the 100D MA as well.

Tech outflows the last 4 weeks are the greatest of all time since records began. Yowza.

Jysin said:

Tech outflows the last 4 weeks are the greatest of all time since records began. Yowza.

View attachment 609844

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Interesting, the real question is what is the rotation if they are moving out of tech. They just going cash?

As if today wasn't busy enough, Japan commentary hitting the wires about a Yen intervention.

In Asia, Japan may be closer to intervening in the currency market than many investors assume.

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s pro-stimulus policies might deter the Bank of Japan from hiking its benchmark rate in the near term at a time when bets on a Fed cut have receded. Takaichi is set to unveil a stimulus package that will include ¥17.7 trillion ($112 billion) of spending, according to documents seen by Bloomberg Thursday.

Grok's analysis if they intervene:

I finally exited 3 different sets of puts, and while I still think it will crawl down to ~=150$ I don't have the conviction to play it with my cash.

I bought 3 different sets of puts, each making more than 20% in a matter of about 2 weeks. If I had just held the original(until today), I would have made like 600% or some shit blah blah never go broke taking a profit, but I guess I'll also never have the luxury of posting on reddit that I turned 500$ into millions or whatever

Like everyone else I am kind of sitting on money with a plan to come back in on general market, BTC(IBIT), and other "big" names from the top of each sector. I'm not as good at picking price targets like everyone else so I tend to watch charts and when it approaches a level I like I just set a trailing buy and look away. This gives me a 100% fill chance even if it's not at the perfect price. It can backfire during spikes but that's not really a big deal on something I want to own for 6+ months anyway.

EDIT:

Also things seem to be recovering in the after hours, not sure if that is preparatory for a rally tomorrow and into black friday/thanksgiving or not though.