Investing General Discussion

Jackie Treehorn

Jackie Treehorn

<Gold Donor>
3,330
8,761
I’m obsessed with watching meme-stock bros fail. This is hilarious.

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Khane

Khane

Got something right about marriage
21,721
15,642
An AMC reference in 2026.

Should we make him change his forum name from a Big Lebowski reference to an Austin Powers reference?
 
M Power

M Power

Silver Squire
156
145
Rangoth said:
Fair point, I did pull the 20% out of a hat so to speak. I was more just expressing that we are crossing some fairly significant boundaries. Looking at the 5Y chart there was only 1-2 time that we dropped below the 200DMA and didnt linger there longer than a month.

Once we sorta touched it and bounced, another time we spiked down hard and within a month or so recovered, the rest seem to be extended stays. I'm mostly curious as to how long we linger below or fail to overcome. The longer that happens the stronger the chance for a more steady downward trend. I think the last drop below it was April 2025 where it basically nose-dived hard for what, 2 weeks(ish) and then proceeded to race to all time highs.

I'm not trying to be doom and gloom or perma-bear, just proceeding with caution at the moment.
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My personal opinion is Trump caves and gets out of Middle East in the next two weeks so the Strait opens back up and he can focus on midterms which aren't looking too good. The economy and oil was literally all he talks about before this and both are shit now.
 
nu_11

nu_11

Avatar of War Slayer
3,786
25,711
Bought about $20K worth of extended duration bonds. Here's to hoping that the 30-year treasury yields have peaked for now.
 
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M Power

M Power

Silver Squire
156
145
Rangoth

Rangoth

Vyemm Raider
2,281
2,578
To put in perspective, we did not leap above 200DMA. I still believe there are some important tests/levels over the next 2 weeks
 
M Power

M Power

Silver Squire
156
145

$580M in trades placed minutes before Trump's Iran post sparks insider trading fears​

Roughly $580 million in oil futures and $1.5 billion in S&P 500 futures traded hands in a sudden, isolated burst around 6:50 a.m. New York time on Monday — approximately 15 minutes before President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that the United States and Iran had engaged in "productive conversations" and that he was postponing planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure for five days. The timing has ignited calls for regulatory scrutiny and reignited concerns about potential insider trading tied to national security decisions.

Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf calling Trump's claims "fake news" aimed at manipulating "the financial and oil markets".

Suspicion extended beyond traditional markets. On the prediction platform Polymarket, at least ten recently created accounts had placed bets totaling roughly $160,000 on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire before the end of March — wagers that could yield over $1 million if correct.
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