There was a paper a couple years ago that plotted the possible number of civilizations in the galaxy and the chances that we would haven't seen any signs of them nor heard any modulated radio wave. The curve drops below 50% at 7 technological advanced civilizations.There is intelligent life out there but they could be so far away that we'll never meet.
And it might be Bad News.Fuckin' A. Just knowing if they are cells or not would be amazing.
The "biggest" great filter is most likely behind us, it was the long term stability for complex life to iterate long enough for intelligent life to exist. As far as we know we're the only creature that is/was capable of passing knowledge between generations well enough that we continuously improve our collective knowledge and our ability to exploit energy. We're the product of millions of years of uninterrupted primate evolution and even then we were almost wiped out entirely about 80 thousands years ago. Our hardest days are definitely behind us.There was a paper a couple years ago that plotted the possible number of civilizations in the galaxy and the chances that we would haven't seen any signs of them nor heard any modulated radio wave. The curve drops below 50% at 7 technological advanced civilizations.
And it might be Bad News.
One of the things from the above is the Great Filter (the missed factor in Drake's Equation that basically makes it less than 7 civs instead of 100k). If the Great Filter lies in our past (life is hard to start, life is difficult to go complex, intelligence is hard, technic civ is hard) then we've passed it and glorious future may lie ahead of us. If the Great Filter is still ahead (civs don't last and die out fast), then we're doomed.
Finding a separate and distinct instance of life in our own system means the "life is hard" filter does not exists, and thus we're more likely to have the Great Filter waiting for us.
(the exoplanet bonanza has already taught us that the possible Great Filters "stars usually don't have planets" "planets that are potentially habitable are rare" are incorrect)
There's two Drake factors in the above, and there are philosophical considerations that it might not be that difficult.The "biggest" great filter is most likely behind us, it was the long term stability for complex life to iterate long enough for intelligent life to exist. As far as we know we're the only creature that is/was capable of passing knowledge between generations well enough that we continuously improve our collective knowledge and our ability to exploit energy.
Wouldn't an alien civilization need to beam radio signals at us on purpose for them to be detected from earth.There was a paper a couple years ago that plotted the possible number of civilizations in the galaxy and the chances that we would haven't seen any signs of them nor heard any modulated radio wave. The curve drops below 50% at 7 technological advanced civilizations.
This is fantasy at this point and for the considerable future. Until we actually can perfect interstellar travel, there's a myriad of cosmic catastrophes we are powerless to stop and could doom us as a species if not the entire planet. Granted, the most likely extinction in the near term is self-inflicted. However, you can't simply dismiss extinction level events entirely until we have a means of stopping it or colonizing elsewhere.The "biggest" great filter is most likely behind us, it was the long term stability for complex life to iterate long enough for intelligent life to exist. As far as we know we're the only creature that is/was capable of passing knowledge between generations well enough that we continuously improve our collective knowledge and our ability to exploit energy. We're the product of millions of years of uninterrupted primate evolution and even then we were almost wiped out entirely about 80 thousands years ago. Our hardest days are definitely behind us.
We have the skill sets now to ensure that we can endure most major catastrophesand our ability to produce and use energy is only getting better. Going forward the only real threat to us is ourselves and how well we can maintain world stability to continue our advancements. I don't think anyone sane is looking to throw us back into the dark ages, so the future looks positive. It looks even more positive if you can get the rest of the world educated enough to start contributing, the more people working towards a better humanity the faster it's going to happen.
The film was so well received, it got him hired to make theNew Horizonspromo video from NASA.I saw this on imgur, tis lovelyWanderers - a short film by Erik Wernquist on Vimeo
Wow, amazing. And for some reason not able to be shared on Facebook because it's been reported as abusive content so the URL is blocked.I saw this on imgur, tis lovelyWanderers - a short film by Erik Wernquist on Vimeo
There was a time early this year when the Sagan voice over and credits at the end got dropped. They came back after two months, which I assume is due to some copyright madness stuff. Maybe that's why Facebook blocked it in the first place (and they forgot to unblock after the copyright issues got resolved)?Wow, amazing. And for some reason not able to be shared on Facebook because it's been reported as abusive content so the URL is blocked.