Like I was trying to get across, it was an upset, but mostly based on past accomplishments/experience and not current play. Losing Kempny last couple weeks of regular season was huge blow. I think it's a little amusing still we're framing it in a "no way the Caps could lose a Game 7 on home ice" style, since that's basically been our MO for years. Agreed on production, Wilson was the next highest goal scorer for us in the series behind Ovechkin and Backstrom. I've noted this elsewhere, but Backstrom piled up all 8 points in the 3 wins, had nothing in the 4 losses. Not trying to put it all on him, obviously other guys should have stepped up...but double OT in Game 7, any bounce or guy chipping one in would have flipped the results. It happens.
As I posted, it wasn't just you guys. The Blues obviously were the best team in the West the 2nd half of the season, and it carried over to the playoffs too. Boston and San Jose also played very well 2nd half of the year (Boston was good throughout, basically). You're right that Columbus was kind of like Colorado in that they had to heat up down the very final stretch to secure that last playoff spot. Still, Calgary was not Tampa, in that Tampa was an absolute juggernaut that should have had the answer to any potential question they came up against. Calgary finished first in the West, but many were noting they were lucky they were avoiding Vegas/Sharks until Round 2. No one really had a hard favorite out West because it's not like the Calgary team didn't have questions about it.
Frankly so many of the teams were so close together in the regular season, there really weren't a lot of mismatches in Round 1 other than the assumed Tampa match up. Both the Metro and the Central were so clumped together points wise, a lot of the match ups were toss ups. I'm not really sure how any coach/GM would go about trying to replicate Columbus' success against Tampa (or a similar underdog of that nature), what happened in that series was crazy. The other semi mismatch...Calgary and Colorado, good luck trying to get your goalie to put up ~0.950 sv % in 4 straight games, put together a top line that looks like MacKinnon, Rantanen, and Landeskog, and duplicating trying up two games with under 3 minutes to go that you eventually win in OT to turn the series. Apologies to Edmonton fans, but watching that series and them play the Sharks after...Nathan MacKinnon might be the scariest player in the league right now offensively.