Greece - A New Hope

khorum

Murder Apologist
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Lemme guess, MURDOCH/FOXNEWS brainrape amirite? If only those brits just listened and believed to all the butthurtitude among the poors and the browns you'd be back to Labourtopia this very minute.
 

Itzena_sl

shitlord
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If the Tories last the full five years of this Parliament I'll beverysurprised. They've got a tiny majority but are acting like they won by a landslide then are having to back-pedal when they do the maths re: actually counting the votes. Thereisgoing to be a no-confidence vote aimed at Cameron; it's just a matter of when.
 

khorum

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So did you toss a couple molotovs into some SNP campaign offices after that election or did you restrict yourself to beheading some jews after Galloway lost his seat?

I suppose it was a fair gamble that Americans didn't pay attention to how silly your first-past-the-post system shafted Labour, but believe me, some of us are still chuckling.
 

Flight

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Brilliant this.


Poor Alexis Tsipras, forced to crawl along the banks of the Rhine in a thong

The most perplexing part of the story is that it seemed as if the PM and his party, Syriza, were set to resist the orders being thrown at them


What a relief that the Greeks have finally seen sense, and agreed to Angela Merkel's demand that their Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras must scrub Berlin with a dishcloth, and crawl along the banks of the Rhine in a thong barking like a dog.
The week before he'd agreed to dress as a fairy and sing "The Good Ship Lollipop" while German children poked him with stinging nettles, but now that isn't enough. So he has to accept even more measures essential to stabilising the Greek economy, such as being hosed down with kebab fat while naming the German squad that won the 1954 World Cup.

Otherwise, as EU leaders made clear, there would be no way Greece could stay inside the solar system; they'd have to orbit a different star in a faraway galaxy, which could be extremely damaging to the Greek tourist industry.

Instead of inviting further chaos by leaving Greece in the hands of the Greeks, their finances have been handed over entirely to the only people we can trust to behave responsibly at all times: the banks. Thank the Lord we've got at least one institution that has never behaved irresponsibly or recklessly in any way.


Perhaps the Greeks should have gone to Brussels and said they were rebranding Greece, so it's no longer a country, but a bank. They'd have been bailed out by lunch and given a free set of steak knives as an extra gift.Instead they've got to sell off their entire country. By Christmas you'll be able to buy a family ticket for 300 quid to visit the Domino's Parthenon, where you can watch a parade of philosophers dressed as your favourite pizzas, with Pythagoras pepperoni proving a particular favourite, then scream your way down the Acropolis on a log flume.

One of the main demands in the final deal is that the Greek state must sell off ?50bn-worth of its assets, which amounts to everything it has. This is part of the drive to make the economy stable and efficient.This works as long as you assume privatisation unarguably makes an industry more efficient. Obviously there are examples such as the railways in Britain, where privatisation has resulted in cheap reliable trains on which you can always get a seat, it's easy to buy tickets across different rail networks, and customers are even offered delightful unscheduled 40-minute stops outside London Bridge station to give you the opportunity to paint the view of a gasworks in Bermondsey.

The demands placed on Greece are so extreme that even the International Monetary Fund has declared them "unsustainable". The IMF is the body that has spent 50 years forcing countries such as Tanzania and Haiti to cut wages and sell off its possessions, in return for loans it needs so it can pay off the interest on the last lot of money it borrowed (from the IMF). So when it says the demands on Greece are too harsh, it's like making the leader of Isis say, "Steady on, that's a bit too Islamic".



Still, someone has to tell the Greeks they can't expect to carry on getting something for nothing.And the European Central Bank and national central banks - who, according to the Jubilee Debt Campaign, "stand to make between ?10bn and ?22bn out of Greek repayments" - are exactly the right people to deliver that stern but fair message.


Christine Lagarde, managing director of the IMF, is paid a salary of ?550,000 a year, and by special arrangement pays no tax on that whatsoever. So she's certainly the right person to lecture the Greeks, because she's never been behind on her tax payments once. Every month she dutifully pays her nothing bang on time; she understands the importance of behaving responsibly with public money.

The most perplexing part of this story is that, a few days ago, it seemed as if Alexis Tsipras and his party, Syriza, were set to resist the orders being thrown at them, especially as they'd gone to the trouble of winning a referendum on whether to accept the EU demands. I suppose Tsipras thought that when the majority of Greeks voted against, it was because they felt those demands weren't harsh enough, and they deserved to be punished much more severely as they'd all been very naughty.

Because Tsipras went into negotiations making it clear he was desperate to keep Greece in the eurozone, the EU could demand whatever it liked, knowing he'd accept anything rather than abandon the euro.

That sounds like going into a car showroom and saying, "I desperately need a car right now and I'll have anything rather than leave without one". A salesman could say, "We've only got this one, it's got no engine and the windscreen's made of wood and it pongs as a family of weasels live on the back seat and the bonnet's on fire, it's ?10,000", and you'd have no choice but to take it.

But maybe he did have a choice, to tell the banks they've made plenty out of Greece as it is and so, on balance, the elected government had decided to go along with what the Greeks voted for twice in a few months - wasting their money on schools and old people in villages, rather than do the sensible thing and hand over every coin as interest payments to institutions such as Goldman Sachs.

They'd have been kicked out of the eurozone, and probably out of Uefa and the Eurovision Song Contest, and scratched off the Inter-rail map too. But they'd have been a little beacon for everyone across Europe who feels the banks aren't acting entirely in our interests, probably enough people to worry Angela Merkel just a bit.

Poor Alexis Tsipras, forced to crawl along the banks of the Rhine in a thong - Comment - Voices - The Independent
 

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Trump's Staff
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As an american, I wouldn't be making fun of the first the post system.. the irony...

As for greece.
 

Flight

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Random musings on things to understand about Greeces debt :


1. The IMF absolutely precludes lending money unless systems are in place which it believes will cause economic growth and comfortable repayments. Yet it has known from the very beginning that Greece would be incapable of repayments.

2. The loans to Greece didn't go into the pockets of the Greeks it went to banks.

3. Greek debt as a percentage of turnover was falling at the time the loans were made in 2008.

4. The austerity measures forced on Greece by Germany et al have caused the Greek economy to fall by 25% in 5 years. Unemployment is now 25%

rrr_img_103909.png


5. The loans made to Greece were never in their best interest but an attempt by Germany and France to prop up the EU, the Euro and the banking system.


The snowball of debt - which has largely gone on paying interest upon interest to banks - always was inescapable. It was not made by the Greek people but by the architects of the EU and the banking system.
 

khorum

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Aaaand the bankster-rapists somehow spared Spain, Portugal and Ireland that treatment somehow?

What witchcraft did the Spanish and Irish and Portuguese do to avoid having to pay those extortionate debt service and anarcho-rapist-capitalist interest costs then? Spanish unemployment remains high since they have another 18 months or so to return to pre-recession heights. Did they receive a different flavor of austerity than that applied to everyone in Europe in 2008-2009?:

Greece+Depression.png


We see everyone's economy taking a shit with the dysfunctional Greek economy performing at its usual place at the bottom of the pile, but what's that weird squiggle as the line nears 2013 and 2014? Did the Goldmans get distracted with raping someone else for a bit?
 

fanaskin

Well known agitator
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what caused that kind of contraction? what I mean by that is what specific sectors of the economy shrank or whatever?
 

khorum

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Same macro forces that pummeled everyone in 08, but Greece and the other PIIGS had lavish welfare social services and dominant public sector unions that fought tooth and nail against every austerity measure. The Greeks should've been out of the recession before everyone else; you see that bump in 2009 where they were back up near Spain and Belgium for most the year. But their socialists and unions revolted, set Athens on fire and they got their cuts restored.

Most importantly the Greek government is just fundamentally, systemically undisciplined. The recent round of negotiations barely impose more taxes because the creditors knowthe Greeks are utter failures at performing that most basic function of government:

Wall Street Journal_sl said:
At the end of 2014, Greeks owed their government about ?76 billion ($86 billion) in unpaid taxes accrued over decades, though mostly since 2009...

Billions more in taxes are owed on never-reported revenue from Greece's vast underground economy, which was estimated before the crisis toequal more than a quarter of the country's gross domestic product.
That 76 billion euros in uncollected taxes is A THIRD of Greece's entire debt. Had they spent every dime of the last bailout just hiring tax ninjas, they would never have needed any bailouts ever again. But nope, actually Greece's inability to conduct a real economy is getting worse, not better.

Just as the Greek socialist party PASOK had just managed to hit bottom and see a surplus late in 2014, the Greeks voted in the hardcore communist party Syriza in January.

6eSxkKZ.png
 

Merlin_sl

shitlord
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Simple lesson, you cannot continue to spend twice as much as you make for decades and be financially stable. It still amazes me that there are still people who claim "OMG, if only they hadn't cut spending they would have been fine"! Uhhhh seriously?
 

Gavinmad

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Simple lesson, you cannot continue to spend twice as much as you make for decades and be financially stable. It still amazes me that there are still people who claim "OMG, if only they hadn't cut spending they would have been fine"! Uhhhh seriously?
I realize that Macroeconomics is probably over your head, but cutting government spending can be one of the quickest ways to send your economy into a nose dive. It's a lot more complicated than 'if we spend less money, we'll have more money!'.

Spending cuts have rather authoritatively been linked to economic downturn on multiple occasions.
 

Palum

what Suineg set it to
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I realize that Macroeconomics is probably over your head, but cutting government spending can be one of the quickest ways to send your economy into a nose dive. It's a lot more complicated than 'if we spend less money, we'll have more money!'.

Spending cuts have rather authoritatively been linked to economic downturn on multiple occasions.
Not to agree with Merlin but while that makes sense in most countries, what does the Greek government actually do? It doesn't appear from most reports that they spend it on anything but pensions and paying people off.
 

Gavinmad

Mr. Poopybutthole
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Yeah cutting spending isn't just some magical fix. The government of Greece needs to be shaken out and reformed from head to toe, austerity isn't going to do it.
 

Ossoi

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What witchcraft did the Spanish and Irish and Portuguese do to avoid having to pay those extortionate debt service and anarcho-rapist-capitalist interest costs then?
a) You've clearly lost it on the last couple of pages, your inane rants have got worse
b) You do realise that the things that made Greece vulnerable in 2008-2009 aren't the things that made the rest of the PIIGS vulnerable, and that each Country/Economy is different?
 

Ossoi

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That 76 billion euros in uncollected taxes is A THIRD of Greece's entire debt. Had they spent every dime of the last bailout just hiring tax ninjas, they would never have needed any bailouts ever again. But nope, actually Greece's inability to conduct a real economy is getting worse, not better.
Did Greeks fail to pay 89.5% of taxes? - BBC News

A graphic published by the Washington Post on Sunday suggested that 89.5% of the country's tax receipts remained uncollected in 2010.

But that is a mistake.

The widely misinterpreted figure of 89.5% comes from an OECD report (see table 6.16) which actually relates to historic tax debts - not tax that Greece was due to collect from its citizens in 2010.

What we do know is that, according to the OECD, in 2010 the Greek government collected 70.3bn euros ($93.1bn), or 34% of the country's total gross domestic product (GDP) - slightly below the EU average of 38.5%.
 

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Trump's Staff
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Why do people keep saying that the 2008 bailout didn't go to the greek people, as it made any difference? Loans made to a government NEVER go to the people. Governments don't ask for loans from the IMF and proceed to hand them out to the population. If the government is wise, the loan money is invested, if it is not wise, then it is wasted. It is very simple.
The greek people are learning the hard way that you cant have a government without paying taxes.
And from the same article ossoi posted.

A study quoted by the IMF suggests that between 1999 and 2010 the shadow economy in Greece made up 27% of the country's GDP - compared to an average of 20.2% in other rich countries.
That means that nearly one in four euros that potentially could be taxed in the country's economy simply weren't declared to the authorities,and the Greek government missed out on approximately 28bn euros ($31bn) of additional revenue each year
...In 2011, an OECD survey ranked Greece as one of the worst rich countries in the world at collecting VAT receipts and social security payments.
When the OECD had tried to do similar surveys between 2005 and 2009 they found that the data was simply "missing".
In other words cry me a river Greece. Learn to collect taxes.
 

Flight

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Why do people keep saying that the 2008 bailout didn't go to the greek people, as it made any difference? Loans made to a government NEVER go to the people. Governments don't ask for loans from the IMF and proceed to hand them out to the population. If the government is wise, the loan money is invested, if it is not wise, then it is wasted. It is very simple.
Disagree. Loans often do go to the people - indirectly - by being used to implement economic stimuli and turning things around. In Greeces case the loans have gone significantly on interest on debt and interest on interest on debt.


I want to be clear here that I am not making excuses for Greece, rather I think a lot of people don't understand what austerity is and what it means for the Western world. Greece is just the first and the tip of the iceberg.

From the following article, which is outstandingThe end of capitalism has begun | Books | The Guardian:


Even now many people fail to grasp the true meaning of the word "austerity". Austerity is not eight years of spending cuts, as in the UK, or even the social catastrophe inflicted on Greece. It means driving the wages, social wages and living standards in the west down for decades until they meet those of the middle class in China and India on the way up.



The issue is that neoliberalism, our banks and capitalism generally are based on ever increasing growth.The bottom line is that those systems and our society are unsustainable.



In the meantime what we have is the worlds richest people owning our media and our politics while inundating us constantly with propaganda on a larger scale than that in 1930s Germany.


The sad thing is that so many people are buying this propaganda. "It's the fault of that country, it's the fault of the welfare scroungers, the poor get what they deserve". The thing is that our economic policies dictate large scale unemployment to enable cheap wages and control of the workforce. Then these people are demonized.

"Get of your arse and get a job". The truth is that under our economic policies it is impossible for there to be enough jobs to go around.


The ruling elite have demonized and crushed the poor. Now it's the turn of the middle classes and most of them don't even see it coming - they're too busy being down on Greece and the poor.
 

Ossoi

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Why do people keep saying that the 2008 bailout didn't go to the greek people, as it made any difference? Loans made to a government NEVER go to the people.
I don't think you have any idea how government spending works.

A government uses money it receives to build hospitals, libraries, schools and pay welfare benefits to the unemployed, the sick and the elderly - is that not for the people?

When a Country is virtually bankrupt a la Greece and you offer Greece a bailout as long as it promises to implement austerity measures (cut pensions, cut wages, increase retirement ages, increase taxes, reduce spending by cutting services) - then most people would expect the money to stay in the Greek economy somehow - whether by keeping libraries open, or investing in infrastructure or anything else needed to make Greece not look like a third world Country - but instead most of the money flowed out to the foreign banks that gorged themselves on cheap PIIGS sovereign debt.

I really don't see what's so difficult to understand
 

iannis

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The part where the people with the money got tired of throwing good money after bad. I guess.

You want to forget that in this not only is the Greek getting dicked, so is the taxpayer.

The difference is that the Greek will probably starve to death. I guess they probably shouldn't have tried the "fuck off we don't need your money" negotiating tactic. You can only use that one successfully when it isn't a bluff, or when the opposition is weak.

As long as everyone is willing to blame someone besides the Greek governmental structure for what a mess Greece is, Greece will never recover. I don't think anyone is actually saying that the fault liesentirelywith the Greeks. It's impossible to deny that European banks leveraged their weakness against them. But that weakness was already there to be leveraged.

That's what bankers do. I dunno man. Create a federal entity and regulate them so this sort of irresponsible soft warfare doesn't become catastrophic. [salmon]That's what works for America.[/salmon]
 

iannis

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A confederation will prey on it's weakest members. That's what happened in both American Confederacies. And it happens in European Confederacies. They tend to only be as Good as the King that rules them.

The one thing Obama did which I respect very much, and was conflicted about at the time, was to bail out Michigan. And his simple reasoning in the face of a complex problem was impressive. He basically said, "This is what the Republic is for". And that was that. I think it really might have been his best act as President.