Investing General Discussion

fred sanford

Sanford & Son: Owner, Operator
<Aristocrat╭ರ_•́>
1,979
5,982
It may well be worth it for AI to be a bubble, pop, tank the economy just to destroy Oracle.
They deserve it just for the recent changes to their support site. It’s the most pain in the ass implementation of AI on a site ever conceived by pajeets.
 

Borzak

<Bronze Donator>
27,468
36,962
Makes you wonder what sites and such they use for training the AI. Of course if they used the sites I visit often the bots would rise up and rebel.
 

Haus

I am Big Balls!
<Gold Donor>
17,779
72,382
QE back already baby. Also 25BP cut

View attachment 611849
This sounds like their positioning to know they're going to have to buy a mountain of treasuries for all those that are expiring and have to be reissued next year. It's an insane amount, I believe around 1/3rd of the entire national debt will have to be refinanced (they're even calling it the "debt maturity wall" or $10B). This is a big reason Trump has such a hard on for pushing interest rates lower, as that will affect how much the treasury will have to pay on it's re-issuance.

It's like the worst case scenario of an ARM mortgage, but on a national debt level scale.

So with that, there is probably immense pressure on the Fed to be ready to step in and soak a ton of debt issuance onto their balance sheets. Since a tepid market of buyers for our national debt would make the government have to pay more to get people to buy it. (Google "US Debt Auction" I believe).

The F-U would be if a group of large current debt holding countries (looking at China and Japan for instance) all boycotted US treasury issuance next year, but that would be tantamount to a declaration of war in the eyes of certain orange presidents.