Predict the Summer 2014 Domestic BoxOffice

Goatface · Apr 30, 2014

don't know if anyone else cares for predictions stuff like this, but figured would share and see.

first i went through a couple of different places to get releases and they all differ with a couple of flims
so not 100% sure this list is correct but it has to be close.

May to August Notable Releases

May 2
The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Action-Adventure-Fantasy)

May 9
Neighbors (Comedy) [Seth Rogen]
Legends Of Oz [Animation-Family-Musical]

May 16
Godzilla (Action-Adventure-Scifi)
Million Dollar Arm (Drama-Sport)

May 23
X-Men: Days Of Future Past (Action-Adventure-Fantasy-Scifi)
Blended (Comedy) [Adam Sandler]

May 30
Maleficent (Action-Adventure-Family-Fantasy-Romance)
A Million Ways To Die In The West (Comedy-Western)

June 6
Edge Of Tomorrow (Action-Scifi)
The Fault In Our Stars (Drama-Romance)

June 13
22 Jump Street (Action-Comedy-Crime)
How To Train Your Dragon 2 (Animation-Action-Adventure-Comedy-Family-Fantasy)

June 20
Think Like A Man Too (Comedy) [Kevin Heart]
Jersey Boys (Biography-Drama-Musical)

June 27
Transformers: Age Of Extinction (Action-Adventure-Scifi)

July 2
Deliver Us From Evil (Crime-Horror-Thriller)
Tammy (Comedy) [Melissa Mccarthy]
Earth To Echo (Adventure-Scifi)

July 11
Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes (Action-Drama-Scifi-Thriller)

July 18
Planes: Fire & Rescue (Animation-Adventure-Comedy-Family)
The Purge: Anarchy (Horror-Thriller)
Jupiter Ascending (Action-Adventure-Scifi)

July 25
Sex Tape (Comedy) [Jason Segel, Cameron Diaz]
Hercules (Action-Adventure)

August 1
Guardians Of The Galaxy (Action-Adventure-Scifi)
Get On Up [Biography-Drama-Music]

August 8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (Action-Adventure-Comedy-Fantasy-Scifi)
Lucy (Action-Scifi)

August 15
The Expendables 3 (Action-Adventure-Thriller)
The Giver (Drama-Fantasy-Scifi)

August 22
Sin City: A Dame To Kill For (Action-Crime-Thriller)

Went through a few sites to make a top 9 list for the poll

Prediction Lists (slightly modified)

Box Office Mojo

How To Train Your Dragon 2
X-Men: Days Of Future Past
Transformers: Age Of Extinction
Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes
Godzilla
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Guardians Of The Galaxy
Maleficent
Neighbors
22 Jump Street
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
A Million Ways To Die In The West
The Fault In Our Stars
Deliver Us From Evil
Planes: Fire And Rescue
Hercules
Tammy
Blended
Get On Up
Edge Of Tomorrow

Hitfix

Transformers: Age Of Extinction
X-Men: Days Of Future Past
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
How To Train Your Dragon 2
Maleficent
Godzilla
Guardians Of The Galaxy
Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes
22 Jump Street
Tammy

Buzzhub

Transformers: Age Of Extinction
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
How To Train Your Dragon 2
X-Men: Days Of Future Past
Godzilla
Guardians Of The Galaxy

Whatculture

Transformers: Age Of Extinction
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
How To Train Your Dragon 2
X-Men: Days Of Future Past
Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes
Godzilla

Flicksided

How To Train Your Dragon 2
X-Men: Days Of Future Past
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Transformers: Age Of Extinction
Godzilla
Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes
Maleficent
Guardians Of The Galaxy
22 Jump Street
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
Hercules
Neighbors
Tammy
A Million Ways To Die In The West
Think Like A Man Too
Edge Of Tomorrow
Get On Up
The Fault In Our Stars
Blended
Jupiter Ascending

User Predicted Metascore from Metacritic

Godzilla 68
Million Dollar Arm 58
Blended 35
X-Men: Days of Future Past 70
Maleficent 60
A Million Ways to Die in the West 60
Edge of Tomorrow 58
The Fault in Our Stars 62
22 Jump Street 65
How to Train Your Dragon 2 72
The Rover 73
Jersey Boys 68
Think Like a Man Too 40
Transformers: Age of Extinction 43
Tammy 52
And So It Goes 61
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes 70
Jupiter Ascending 58
The Purge: Anarchy 39
Hercules Watch 41
Sex Tape 50
Get on Up 67
Guardians of the Galaxy 69
The Hundred-Foot Journey 67
Lucy 62
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 41
Let's Be Cops 41
The Expendables 3 47
The Giver 62
Sin City: A Dame to Kill 68

------------------------------
think it will be
Transformers, Dragon2, Xmen, Godzilla, Spiderman
biggest flop will Jupiter

most looking forward to, Xmen and Godzilla

Rime · Apr 30, 2014

Would like it to be How to Train Your Dragon 2 or Godzilla, but it will probably be Transformers.

Chukzombi · Apr 30, 2014

i wanted it to be godzilla, but its too early for the big blockbusters. whatever comes out between memorial day and 4th of july weekend will own. my vote is for xmen.

Malakriss · Apr 30, 2014

Spiderman has a 14 day gap before Godzilla
Godzilla has a 7 day gap before X-men and 14 day gap before Maleficent and A Million Ways to Die in the West
X-Men has Godzilla before, Maleficent and A Million Ways to Die in the West after, Edge of Tomorrow after that
(non-contender separator) Edge of Tomorrow is preceded by all of that and followed by 22 Jump Street + How To Train Your Dragon 2
How to Train Your Dragon 2 has 14 days until Transformers
Transformers has a 14 day swing both ways with Dawn of the Planet of the Apes after
Guardians of the Galaxy has Hercules before, Lucy + TMNT after, Expendables 3 after that
Sin City 2 marks the end of summer

Transformers has the best slot, Dragons 2 has an okay one, Godzilla has a better time frame than X-men, Spiderman 2 still doesn't have as much hype as Marvel movies.

Juvarisx · Apr 30, 2014

It will be Transformers sadly, but How to train your dragon 2 will contest it.

Draegan_sl · Apr 30, 2014

Whatever is more popular among kids ages 5-14.

Neki · Apr 30, 2014

Top grossing movie of the summer = Transformers
Top movie of the summer = Godzilla
Honourable mention = Sin City 2

spronk · Apr 30, 2014

its probably easier betting which movies will bomb hard / not cover production costs with domestic box office. i'd guess planes, maleficent, and guardians of the galaxy

it is a pretty shitty summer movie list though. next year is gonna be ah-may-zing though

Neki · Apr 30, 2014

2014 has been shit so far

2015 is a jizz worthy movie year

Avengers: Age of Ultron
Star Wars: Episode VII
Jurassic World
Terminator: Genesis
James Bond 24
Mission: Impossible 5
Fifty Shades of Grey (ok, maybe not this one...)
Ant-Man
The Fantastic Four
Minions

Antarius · Apr 30, 2014

If frozen and HTTYD 1 is any indication, kids 3-12 will be watching HTTYD2 will be in the top 10 at the box office for 3-4 months, there is absolutely nothing else for kids that range to see, and repeat visits are likely. My girlfriends 3 year old watched HTTYD1 over 100 times (literally) last year.

edit: it'll only reign over the box office for 6 weeks before planes comes out, which won't do as well, but will still drop HTTYD off the map.

Gorillaz_sl · Apr 30, 2014

HTTYD2 is my pick. If not it'll be AS2 or TF4, just because that's how sequel's roll.

Mist · Apr 30, 2014

Neki_sl said:
2014 has been shit so far

2015 is a jizz worthy movie year

Avengers: Age of Ultron
Star Wars: Episode VII
Jurassic World
Terminator: Genesis
James Bond 24
Mission: Impossible 5
Fifty Shades of Grey (ok, maybe not this one...)
Ant-Man
The Fantastic Four
Minions

They're making another fucking Terminator movie? PLEASE STOP.

Also fuck the Fantastic Four.

iannis · Apr 30, 2014

I'm thinking the Dragon one. Kids movie.

It might be Transformers, but I would think that by the time you reach Transformers 4 audience fatigue becomes a thing.

Column_sl · Apr 30, 2014

Man that is a tough list. Amazing Spiderman has been getting poor reviews, but it may be huge.

Transformers, and the Dragon sequel also may destroy.
Big Monster movies have shown to be not huge box office earners, so I believe Godzilla is out.

Narrowing down the list these are off for me

Godzilla
Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes
Maleficent
22 Jump Street

Out of these

X-Men: Days Of Future Past
How To Train Your Dragon 2
Transformers: Age Of Extinction
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Guardians Of The Galaxy

Going with Spiderman , it's already at 150 mill, and the first dragon movie only made 44 mill opening.

If anything comes close it will be Transformers which made 99 million on openingl

Needless · May 1, 2014

Transformers movies blow, how do they do so well?

I say X-Men: DOFP will come out on top.
How to Train Your Dragon will probably do pretty well too since it'll appeal to both young and old audiences moreso

bixxby · May 1, 2014

Prediction: Only GotG, Gozdilla, and 22 jump street will be worth remembering this summer. rest looks like shit

Void · May 1, 2014

I voted Guardians of the Galaxy, simply because it is difficult to vote against Marvel right now, and the timeframe seems favorable for it.

Second choice would be How To Tame Your Dragon 2 because of the kid angle, and because the first one took everybody by surprise and I haven't heard a single person say that they have no desire to see the second one. That doesn't necessarily translate into ticket sales, but there are plenty of people that have no interest in superhero or monster movies just on general principles. I don't think many are opposed to great (fairly adult-oriented) animated movies just because. But I could be wrong. I do think that after rentals/DVD sales are taken into account though, that HTTYD2 will probably be the big winner by a good margin.

TrollfaceDeux · May 1, 2014

Gonna go with X Men. This is gonna be the biggest film for Sony this year.

Column_sl · May 1, 2014

Judging by the poll Transformers is in the lead. If you look at the previous Box office openings for the Transformers movies they do crazy good.

That will probly be the movie that wins the most money for an opening weekend this year.

Raes · May 2, 2014

I chose the ape movie. Who's with me?!!

Predict the Summer 2014 Domestic BoxOffice

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