Tuco
I got Tuco'd!
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Not even close to determined. People think it's certain because people don't anticipate surprises.
Who are you voting against the least?
- Thread starter Picasso3
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Tuco exists in the superposition state of political outcomes. He both is and is not.
Tuco
I got Tuco'd!
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What I'm saying is that I estimate there to be a 66% chance of a Trump nom and an 80% chance of a Hillary nomination. Which means that the odds of a Trump vs Hillary race are about 50%.
So the existence of all the other current candidates up there is totally legitimate. Is that the most likely outcome? Yes. By far. But it's still only 50%. And if it doesn't come to pass and something surprising happens whether it's Hillary being indicted, the RNC brokering to fucking Paul Ryan or Trump being offed by some liberal terrorist the people who think it's certain will be in here saying, "I was wrong about it being certain, but who could have predicted that will happen?".
So the existence of all the other current candidates up there is totally legitimate. Is that the most likely outcome? Yes. By far. But it's still only 50%. And if it doesn't come to pass and something surprising happens whether it's Hillary being indicted, the RNC brokering to fucking Paul Ryan or Trump being offed by some liberal terrorist the people who think it's certain will be in here saying, "I was wrong about it being certain, but who could have predicted that will happen?".
Soygen
The Dirty Dozen For the Price of One
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Surprise by definition is unexpected. If you expect it, it is no longer a surprise and simply another possible outcome. That said, I agree with you that nothing is settled yet.
khorum
Murder Apologist
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I certainly get hype for a Trump-Sanders CLEGANEBOWL-style general. I think we all do, right? There needs to be a video for that shit.
But nah, sorry, Snowden is spot on as with this one. You're gonna go out there to vote AGAINST the Donald or AGAINST Goldman Sachs.
But nah, sorry, Snowden is spot on as with this one. You're gonna go out there to vote AGAINST the Donald or AGAINST Goldman Sachs.
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Negative feedback loops are more stable. There.
Picasso I demand you change the thread title to: By which mechanism will you choose to perpetuate the continual negative feedback loop of human opinion?
Picasso I demand you change the thread title to: By which mechanism will you choose to perpetuate the continual negative feedback loop of human opinion?
Kriptini
Vyemm Raider
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This is true for me, at least.
RIP Rand, I miss you.
I don't care about amnesty one way or the other. I think I like the idea of locking up the border but I could easily be swayed to either side of amnesty. I think Trump is a good choice to handle national affairs and Kasich can set a good tone for domestic affairs.
Tuco
I got Tuco'd!
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I can't edit the thread title but i was going to change it to "who are you voting against the least"
Noodleface
A Mod Real Quick
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Hoss
Make America's Team Great Again
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khorum
Murder Apologist
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