I hear what you are saying. Lots of Eagles fans said that too. And as an Eagles fan since the Buddy days I have heard and made a lot of excuses too. Then we hire Pederson. Certain talking heads were eviscerating the hire. "I am not even sure what a real coach is anymore."
Year 1 9-7
Year 2...well we know how last year went.
Dont let the good times obscure the fact the endgame is still a Super Bowl victory. Sure lots of franchises would love the 5 NFC championship games. But sometimes you're not getting over the hump and Andy just was good enough to make you disappointed.
KC in Andy ALREADY has had a meltdown in the playoffs against the very team they are playing this week. Dont count on Andy Reid. You'll just be disappointed.
Andy Reid looks like a good coach until he's coaching your team. Then he's wasting timeouts, absolutely dreadful at clock management, and losing when it really matters.
Despite all of that, I thought he might finally win with this Chiefs team until Kareem Hunt went bye-bye. Reid would not have won a super bowl with last year's Eagles team, and I expect him to ultimately retire without ever winning the big one.
A lot of the Colts' number has been boosted by some very strong defensive efforts in the 2nd half of the season against some decent offenses, though. Like shutting out the Cowboys, and holding the Texans to 7 points in Houston last week.
Also Pats SoS might have been poor overall, but they did face (and beat) a number of the high scoring offenses: Chiefs (W), Colts (W), loss to Steelers but held them to 17 points, Bears (W). All were top 10 scoring offenses this year.
I can look at the remaining teams and honestly think each have the potential to go the whole way. The team I think that honestly doesn't look that strong to me right now is the Pats, but now that its the post season you can't deny there ability to step up there game.
DVOA rankings offense w/ playoff teams in Bold: 1. KC
8. ATL 9. SEA
DVOA rankings defense w/ playoff teams in Bold: 1. CHI
2. BUF 3. BAL
6. JAX 7. HOU
It's pretty even between Offense and Defensive rankings and making the playoffs. Granted the offensive teams that didn't make the playoff had a better shot in comparison to the defensive teams that didn't.
The teams with the best defenses have absolutely awful offenses though, hence why they're gone. The Bears and Ravens were fucked from the get go. The best offense of those top 5 is probably the Vikings and they just made it a point to shit the bed in the regular season.